{"id":420684,"date":"2026-05-01T20:18:14","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T20:18:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/420684\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T20:18:14","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T20:18:14","slug":"kalshi-traders-think-u-s-oil-prices-are-set-to-hit-new-2026-highs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/420684\/","title":{"rendered":"Kalshi traders think U.S. oil prices are set to hit new 2026 highs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gas prices over $6.00 are displayed at a Shell station across from the Marathon Petroleum Corp&#8217;s Los Angeles Refinery on April 02, 2026 in Carson, California. <\/p>\n<p>Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@CL.1\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Western Texas Intermediate crude futures<\/a> haven&#8217;t hit their highs in 2026 yet, according to traders on Kalshi.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Users on the prediction markets platform think that there&#8217;s a more than <a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/kxwtimax\/wti-oil-yearly-high\/kxwtimax-26dec31\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">50% chance<\/a> that prices will reach nearly $127 per barrel this year, far higher than the current closing high of nearly $113 per barrel on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/04\/06\/stock-market-today-live-updates.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">April 7<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Traders also estimate there&#8217;s a 63% chance that prices will cross $120 per barrel.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>While WTI prices remain off their highs from before the U.S. and Iran announced a ceasefire to the war in the Middle East, they&#8217;re considerably higher than their lows of $82.59 on April 17. <\/p>\n<p>Prices are above again $100, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@LCO.1\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brent crude<\/a> prices hit a new post-war high this week.\u00a0However, oil prices <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/01\/oil-prices-today-brent-wti-us-iran-war-trump-war-powers-deadline.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">retreated on Friday<\/a> after Iran sent a revised peace proposal to the U.S., though President Donald Trump said <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/01\/trump-rejects-iran-peace-deal.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">he&#8217;s not satisfied<\/a> with the country&#8217;s proposals. <\/p>\n<p>Some of the post-ceasefire decline in WTI oil prices has been reversed as there&#8217;s no clear path to Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz nor to the U.S. ending its naval blockade of the passageway.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>While traders think the highs in oil prices haven&#8217;t been hit this year, the range they think prices will trade has shrunk. In early April, before the ceasefire, traders thought there was a more than 50% chance prices traded above $150 per barrel. Traders now place just a 26% chance of that happening. <\/p>\n<p>Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes a CNBC minority investment.<\/p>\n<p>Markets shift and headlines fade, but the core principles of building long-term wealth remain constant. Join us for our third CNBC Pro LIVE, where investors of all backgrounds &#8211; from financial professionals to everyday individuals &#8211; come together to cut through the noise and gain actionable strategies for smarter, more disciplined investing. No matter where you&#8217;re starting from, you&#8217;ll leave with clearer thinking, stronger strategies. Enter your email <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/newsletter\/pro-live\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a> to get a discount code<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Gas prices over $6.00 are displayed at a Shell station across from the Marathon Petroleum Corp&#8217;s Los Angeles&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":420685,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[941,357,54,42,30937,942,87,64251,190,43,151323,1760,40,38,41,39,1032,151247,150424,196,30938],"class_list":["post-420684","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-headlines","tag-breaking-news-markets","tag-business-news","tag-donald-trump","tag-headlines","tag-ice-brent-crude-oct25","tag-investment-strategy","tag-iran","tag-lp","tag-markets","tag-news","tag-proshares-ultra-bloomberg-crude-oil","tag-stock-markets","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-topnews","tag-topstories","tag-united-states","tag-united-states-brent-oil-fund","tag-united-states-oil-fund","tag-wall-street","tag-wti-crude-sep25"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/420684","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=420684"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/420684\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/420685"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=420684"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=420684"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=420684"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}