{"id":424240,"date":"2026-05-04T04:28:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T04:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/424240\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T04:28:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T04:28:09","slug":"trumps-hormuz-gambit-lands-with-a-whimper","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/424240\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump&#8217;s Hormuz gambit lands with a whimper"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>U.S. Marines from the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit board M\/V Blue Star III, a commercial ship suspected of attempting to transit to Iran in violation of the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports, April 28, 2026. U.S. forces released the vessel after conducting a search and confirming the ship\u2019s voyage would not include an Iranian port call.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. Marine Corps | CENTCOM<\/p>\n<p>Hello, this is Anniek Bao writing to you from Singapore. Welcome to another edition of CNBC&#8217;s Daily Open.<\/p>\n<p>Sometimes, actions produce the opposite of the desired outcome. Washington&#8217;s attempt to assert\u00a0control over the Iran conflict, whether through oil diplomacy or tough talk,\u00a0has had the opposite effect. Instead of calming markets, they have highlighted just how little has been resolved. <\/p>\n<p>Peace talks are stalling. Shipping lanes remain choked. And even a modest OPEC+ output hike landed with a shrug. <\/p>\n<p>Markets, for now, appear to have made their peace with the stalemate. S&amp;P 500 futures edged higher while oil barely moved. But the relative calm may prove fragile as the week unfolds.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline0\"\/>What you need to know today<\/p>\n<p>Seven OPEC+ members agreed Sunday to raise production targets by 188,000 barrels per day in June, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/03\/opec-announces-188000-barrels-per-day-output-increase-.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the third consecutive \u200bmonthly increase<\/a>. But with the Strait of Hormuz still effectively closed, the real-world impact is likely limited. The meeting was also the cartel&#8217;s first since the United Arab Emirates&#8217; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/04\/28\/uae-opec-oil-iran.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">shock exit<\/a> from the group last week. <\/p>\n<p>Oil prices ticked down modestly, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/03\/stock-market-today-live-updates.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">S&amp;P 500 futures rose slightly<\/a> on Sunday as investors reacted to continued uncertainty surrounding progress in talks between the U.S. and Iran. The international benchmark <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@LCO.1\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brent crude<\/a> prices slipped less than 1% to about $107 a barrel, while the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@CL.1\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. West Texas Intermediate<\/a> crude edged lower to around $101 per barrel. <\/p>\n<p>The U.S. will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/03\/trump-iran-strait-of-hormuz-trapped-ships.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">begin freeing ships<\/a> stranded in the Strait on Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump said in a social media post on Sunday, describing the effort as a &#8220;humanitarian gesture&#8221; for neutral countries not involved in the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran. The president offered scant details about how the process would unfold.<\/p>\n<p>Hours earlier, Tehran confirmed that it had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/03\/trump-iran-war-peace-proposal.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">received a U.S. response<\/a> to its 14-point peace offer. Trump said over the weekend he had yet to review the exact wording of the Iranian peace proposal but was likely to reject it because &#8220;they have not paid a big enough price.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>Iranian state media quoted Foreign Ministry Esmaeil Baghaei as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/03\/trump-iran-war-peace-proposal.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">saying that nuclear talks are off the table<\/a> until a ceasefire is reached and blockades in the vital energy artery are lifted on both sides. <\/p>\n<p>Amid prolonged disruption to the Gulf oil flows, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/03\/us-crude-oil-exports-surge-to-record-as-tankers-flock-to-gulf-coast.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. oil exports surged<\/a> to a record high, shipping 5.2 million barrels per day in April, up more than 30% from February, according to Kpler.  <\/p>\n<p>U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said energy prices, which have surged since the war started in late February, are likely to ease <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/media\/trumps-iran-crackdown-suffocating-regime-oil-wells-could-shut-within-days-bessent-says\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">later this year<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Oil prices on the other side of this conflict are going to be much lower,&#8221; Bessent said on Fox Business Network&#8217;s &#8220;Sunday Morning Futures&#8221; program.<\/p>\n<p>Geopolitical tensions extended beyond the Middle East. China&#8217;s Commerce Ministry <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/chinas-commerce-ministry-blocks-us-sanctions-against-five-refineries-2026-05-02\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">moved to block<\/a> U.S. sanctions targeting five Chinese refiners <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/04\/29\/us-treasury-warns-sanctions-china-refineries-iran-oil-malaysian-blend.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">accused of buying Iranian crude<\/a>, signaling renewed strain between Beijing and Washington. <\/p>\n<p>A U.S. delegation led by Republican Senator Steve Daines <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/news\/china\/diplomacy\/article\/3351219\/trump-ally-visit-china-us-turns-pressure-may-summit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">was reportedly scheduled to visit China<\/a> last week, with planned stops in Beijing and Shanghai, less than two weeks before Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping are due to meet. <\/p>\n<p>Across the region, finance ministers from China, Japan, South Korea, and ASEAN said they are closely monitoring markets and stand ready to respond to\u00a0volatility if needed, following talks held on the sidelines of the Asian Development Bank&#8217;s annual meeting in Samarkand, Uzbekistan.<\/p>\n<p>CNBC is on the ground in Uzbekistan, covering the gathering, including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.adb.org\/annual-meeting\/20276\/events\/cnbc-debate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">moderating a debate<\/a> at the event. On Sunday, the bank unveiled a $70 billion program to expand energy grids and digital infrastructure across the Asia-Pacific region by 2035. <\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Anniek Bao <\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline1\"\/>And finally&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/02\/warren-buffett-berkshire-hathaway-annual-meeting-2026-live-updates.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Berkshire annual meeting recap: Buffett says investing environment not ideal, sees &#8216;gambling&#8217; in markets<\/a><\/p>\n<p>In his first annual meeting as CEO,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/BRK.B\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Berkshire Hathaway<\/a>&#8216;s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/greg-abel\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Greg Abel<\/a>\u00a0discussed a wide array of topics from artificial intelligence to his efforts to grow the conglomerate.<\/p>\n<p>Abel said the Omaha-based firm was thinking critically about how to use AI to add value, saying that Berkshire wasn&#8217;t &#8220;going to do AI for the sake of AI.&#8221; Abel also walked through efforts to improve its railway and insurance businesses at the event, which has long been called &#8220;Woodstock for Capitalists.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>In a special sideline interview, Buffett told CNBC&#8217;s Becky Quick that he did not see the ideal investing environment. Buffett compared &#8220;markets to a church with a casino attached,&#8221; making a distinction between traditional value investing and current enthusiasm for short-term options trading, along with increasing interest in prediction markets.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;People can move between the church and the casino, and I would say there are more people in the church [than] people in the casino, but the casino has gotten very attractive,&#8221; he said. &#8220;If you&#8217;re buying one-day options or selling them, that&#8217;s not investing, it&#8217;s not speculating \u2013 it&#8217;s gambling.&#8221;  <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We&#8217;ve never had people in a more gambling mood than now,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Yun Li, Alex Harring, Sarah Min, Tobias Burns<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"U.S. Marines from the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit board M\/V Blue Star III, a commercial ship suspected 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