{"id":456538,"date":"2026-05-23T18:29:15","date_gmt":"2026-05-23T18:29:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/456538\/"},"modified":"2026-05-23T18:29:15","modified_gmt":"2026-05-23T18:29:15","slug":"cannes-awards-predictions-deadlines-critics-picks-for-the-palme-dor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/456538\/","title":{"rendered":"Cannes Awards Predictions: Deadline\u2019s Critics’ Picks For The Palme D\u2019Or"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n\tThe rumors are currently swirling about which film delegations have been called back to the Cannes<\/a> closing ceremony this evening. The buzz is strong that Minotaur<\/a>, Fjord<\/a>, The Dreamed Adventure<\/a>, Fatherland<\/a>, La Bola Negra and La Gradiva are among those that have been told to return to the Palais. <\/p>\n

\n\tBelow, Deadline\u2019s critics reflect on this year\u2019s potential winners\u2026<\/p>\n

\n\tPETE HAMMOND<\/p>\n

\n\tThere are a number of ways the jury can go, and based on past experience it is almost impossible to predict the mood. We can suggest that, because Park Chan-Wook is leading the jury, the Palme d\u2019Or might go to something he would prefer, but that isn\u2019t always the case. Remember, Steven Spielberg\u2019s jury chose Blue is the Warmest Color and that movie hardly reminded you of anything Spielberg had ever made. Critics this year seem highest on Pawel Pawlikowski\u2019s Fatherland and Hamaguchi Ryusuke\u2019s All Of a Sudden. The black and white 82 minute Fatherland seems like a lock to get something. I\u2019m not as sure, despite critical huzzahs, that the Ryusuke film will fly as high, especially since the near 220-minute film is awfully talky and feels like a lecture much of the time. I\u2019m not sure it will work with this jury the way it worked with most critics (myself not included, though it had some things to admire).<\/p>\n

\n\tThen again I really liked Asghar Farhadi\u2019s Parallel Tales \u2014 but critics didn\u2019t, so maybe they will prevail on that one. I would love to see a surprise there, but it\u2019s probably not a good bet. Gentle Monster, with L\u00e9a Seydoux, and The Beloved, with Javier Bardem, had those stars giving near-career-best performances, so they may be hard to beat in the overcrowded acting categories, but you never know. There have been some obscure picks in the past, and Rami Malek in The Man I Love could be also in the mix, as could any number of women, including Scarlett Johansson in Paper Tiger, a movie from James Gray that marks his sixth time in competition so far with not a single prize to the man.<\/p>\n

\n\tThis week saw some real promising prospects bringing up the rear and charging towards the head of the pack, including former Palme d\u2019Or winner Cristian Mungiu\u2019s magnificent Fjord, and then, on Thursday night, the biggest ovations of the fest went to back-to-back movies about the gay experience: Spain\u2019s epic La Bola Negra and Belgium\u2019s intimate Coward<\/a>. Both could well figure in the winning column. This is just too hard to predict, but I will anyway. Warning: Last year I think I went 2 for 7 so keep that in mind.<\/p>\n

\t\tPete Hammond\u2019s Predictions\t<\/p>\n

\n\tPalme d\u2019Or: La Bola Negra, Javier Calvo & Javier Ambrossi
Grand Prize: Fjord Cristian Mungiu
Jury Prize: Fatherland Pawel Pawlikowski
Director: Lukas Dhont, Coward
Screenplay: Ira Sachs, The Man I Love
Actor: Javier Bardem , The Beloved
Actress: Lea Seydoux, Gentle Monster<\/p>\n

If they give any added awards I might suggest a prize for technical achievement to South Korea\u2019s HOPE , perhaps a tip of the hat from the Jury President.<\/p>\n

\n\tDAMON WISE<\/p>\n

\n\tAs the awarding hour draws closer, the jungle drums begin to deafen, but this year is a very tricky year to predict, much as it always is. For one thing, critics are never simpatico with the jury, and the fourth estate is already building a ring fence around the most austere European offerings, those being Pawel Pawlikowski\u2019s Fatherland and Andrey Zvyagintsev\u2019s Minotaur. What the great bores of Europe often forget, however, is that that juries don\u2019t think along the same lines as they do; indeed, festival director Thierry Fremaux often leave a trail of breadcrumbs for the jury president, in this case Park Chan-wook.<\/p>\n

\n\tThus Director Park will likely be mulling over the sprawling monster sci-fi Hope, by his countryman Na Hong-Jin, and possibly L\u00e9a Mysius\u2019s thriller-romp The Birthday Party, which contains a lot of Park\u2019s trademark black humor. But will the jury be feeling those films too? Like Pete, I think La Bola Negra has an open goal here; it\u2019s too long, and a bit messy, but it has a big heart that has been missing from (most of) the Competition. So too does Lukas Dhont\u2019s Coward, but in a festival over-stuffed with writer-directors, Dhont\u2019s award could go to either one of his two young leads (he doesn\u2019t half know how to pick them).<\/p>\n

\n\tThis year\u2019s stealth bomb, for me at least, is Valeska Grisebach\u2019s The Dreamed Adventure, which could easily take Director, Grand Prix and Best Actress. But the theme of the festival this year appears to be French politics, both in and out of Competition; if I had my druthers, I\u2019d go for Gilles Lellouche in Moulin, but I think the French r\u00e9sistance film to get behind might be Emmanuel Marre\u2019s A Man of His Time (but don\u2019t tell anyone, or say it more than once). In a year light on studio fare, it seems very likely that the actress award will go to a French film, with L\u00e9a Seydoux (Gentle Monster) and Ad\u00e8le Exarchopoulos (Garance) in the running. Personally, I\u2019d like it to go to Ayase Haruka for Sheep in the Box.<\/p>\n

\n\tHow will the heavyweights fare? James Gray\u2019s Paper Tiger was a major player in this year\u2019s announcement (was it in or out?). Almod\u00f3var doesn\u2019t seem likely to win with Bitter Christmas either, not that he\u2019ll mind with his name all over La Bola Negro. Returning Palme winner Cristian Mungiu\u2019s Fjord, though, has plenty of admirers \u2014 but where will it land? As Pete says, Cannes is the hardest of all the awards to predict.<\/p>\n

\t\tDamon Wise\u2019s Predictions\t<\/p>\n

\n\tPalme d\u2019Or: La Bola Negra, Javier Calvo & Javier Ambrossi
Grand Prize: Minotaur, Andrey Zvyagintsev
Jury Prize: Fatherland, Pawel Pawlikowski
Director: The Dreamed Adventure, Valeska Grisebach
Screenplay: Notre Salut, Emmanuel Marre
Actor: Emmanuel Maccia, Coward
Actress: Ayase Haruka, Sheep in the Box<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The rumors are currently swirling about which film delegations have been called back to the Cannes closing ceremony…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":456539,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[27993,6403,211735,146,212856,205227,85,46,212857,212185],"class_list":["post-456538","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-entertainment","tag-cannes","tag-cannes-film-festival","tag-coward","tag-entertainment","tag-fatherland","tag-fjord","tag-il","tag-israel","tag-minotaur","tag-the-dreamed-adventure"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/456538","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=456538"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/456538\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/456539"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=456538"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=456538"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=456538"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}