{"id":491813,"date":"2026-06-14T04:22:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-14T04:22:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/491813\/"},"modified":"2026-06-14T04:22:14","modified_gmt":"2026-06-14T04:22:14","slug":"supergirl-box-office-projections-cut-again-as-dcu-film-tracks-below-the-flash","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/491813\/","title":{"rendered":"Supergirl Box Office Projections Cut Again As DCU Film Tracks Below The Flash"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Supergirl box office projections<\/a> are heading in the wrong direction with less than two weeks to release.<\/p>\n

Box Office Theory has cut its forecast for the DC Studios film by 9%, now estimating a U.S. opening of $51 million when Supergirl hits theaters June 26.<\/p>\n

For everything we know about the upcoming DC movie, check out our full Supergirl guide<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"Supergirl<\/p>\n

The Company It\u2019s Keeping<\/p>\n

A $51 million opening would land Supergirl below a string of DC titles that aren\u2019t the comparison Warner Bros. wants, including one of the studio\u2019s most notorious recent disappointments:<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

RELATED<\/p>\n


\n
\n \"Hollywood
\n
\n Hollywood Keeps Blaming Fans For Star Wars, Marvel, DC Failures
\n There’s a reflex in modern Hollywood that’s become impossible to miss: a movie underperforms or a show gets canceled, and instead of…
\n
\n <\/a> <\/p>\n

Green Lantern \u2014 opened to $53.1 million in 2011 (roughly $78.7 million adjusted for inflation)<\/p>\n

Shazam! \u2014 opened to $53.5 million in 2019 (roughly $69.7 million adjusted)<\/p>\n

The Flash \u2014 opened to $55.1 million in 2023<\/p>\n

Black Adam \u2014 opened to $67 million in 2022<\/p>\n

The Flash comparison is the one that stands out. <\/p>\n

That film is widely regarded as one of DC\u2019s bigger box office misfires, and it still opened higher than Supergirl\u2018s current projection. <\/p>\n

Green Lantern and Black Adam are likewise benchmarks for DC releases that underdelivered, and once inflation is factored in, all four cleared where Supergirl is now tracking. <\/p>\n

It\u2019s worth noting these were three-day domestic openings, so they\u2019re a direct, apples-to-apples comparison to Supergirl\u2018s projected debut.<\/p>\n

Also recall that James Gunn and Peter Safran took over following Black Adam flopping and the plan to bring back Henry Cavill as Superman. The Flash was also setting up the return of Ben Affleck as Batman<\/a>, which Gunn reportedly changed.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

RELATED<\/p>\n


\n
\n \"Milly
\n
\n Milly Alcock Says Supergirl Tells Young Girls It\u2019s OK To Be \u2018Bad\u2019 And \u2018Messy\u2019
\n Milly Alcock is teasing the kind of message audiences can expect from Supergirl, and it sounds like this version of Kara Zor-El…
\n
\n <\/a> <\/p>\n

\"David<\/p>\n

The Total Run May Equal Superman\u2019s Opening Weekend<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s the number that stings: Box Office Theory projects Supergirl to finish its entire domestic run at $125 million, the exact figure Superman (2025) earned in its opening weekend alone.<\/p>\n

David Corenswet\u2019s Superman went on to gross more than $600 million worldwide off that $125 million domestic start.<\/p>\n

For Supergirl, that same $125 million is now the projected ceiling for its whole theatrical life in the U.S.<\/p>\n

\"Supergirl<\/p>\n

The Projection Keeps Sliding<\/p>\n

The estimate has been trending down as release approaches; earlier tracking had Supergirl opening around $55 million<\/a>, and Box Office Theory\u2018s revised figure now drops that further.<\/p>\n

It lines up with the rest of the picture we\u2019ve been tracking. The latest audience data shows interest stuck flat while awareness climbs<\/a>, presales have been running behind comparable titles<\/a>, and the math on whether the film can reach break-even<\/a> only gets tougher as the opening number comes down.<\/p>\n

\"Supergirl<\/p>\n

Supergirl on shaky ground<\/p>\n

These are projections, not results. Tracking estimates can move in either direction in the final stretch, and a strong presale surge or positive word of mouth could push the opening above the current forecast. <\/p>\n

Supergirl also enters a crowded summer corridor that makes the number harder to read. Toy Story 5 opens the week prior, and Disney\u2019s Moana hits July 10, followed by Christopher Nolan\u2019s The Odyssey. Spider-Man: Brand New Day swings in at the end of July.<\/p>\n

But with the estimate falling rather than rising this close to release, the trend isn\u2019t the one DC Studios was hoping for.<\/p>\n

Supergirl opens in theaters June 26.<\/p>\n

Matt McGloin is the editor-in-chief and publisher of Cosmic Book News, the independent entertainment news site he founded in 2008. He covers movies, comics, TV, video games and pop culture and has reported major industry scoops over the years, including revealing the Avengers: Endgame title ahead of its official announcement. Through Cosmic Book News, he helped Marvel Comics promote Guardians of the Galaxy and Nova through exclusive previews, artwork, and interviews, with the site also quoted in solicitations and on comic covers. He also reported on Marvel\u2019s Daredevil: Born Again retooling before it was later confirmed by the trades.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Supergirl box office projections are heading in the wrong direction with less than two weeks to release.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":491814,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[146,85,46,12959,397,58002],"class_list":["post-491813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-movies","tag-entertainment","tag-il","tag-israel","tag-james-gunn","tag-movies","tag-supergirl"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/491813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=491813"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/491813\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/491814"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=491813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=491813"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=491813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}