{"id":507720,"date":"2026-06-23T20:22:17","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T20:22:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/507720\/"},"modified":"2026-06-23T20:22:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T20:22:17","slug":"netanyahu-cant-run-the-playbook-he-used-to-fight-the-2015-iran-deal-and-trump-knows-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/507720\/","title":{"rendered":"Netanyahu can&#8217;t run the playbook he used to fight the 2015 Iran deal \u2014 and Trump knows it"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>When Benjamin Netanyahu decided to address the US Congress in 2015 to mount a no-holds-barred attack on then-US president Barack Obama\u2019s Iran nuclear deal, it alienated Democrats, energized Republicans, and put US Jews in an uncomfortable position. It also placed the prime minister on the world\u2019s biggest stage two weeks before a bruising Israeli election.<\/p>\n<p>One thing the speech didn\u2019t do: achieve its stated goal.<\/p>\n<p>Netanyahu could hardly have been more explicit: Obama\u2019s deal to curb Iran\u2019s nuclear program, the prime minister <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/full-text-netanyahus-speech-to-congress\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">argued at the time<\/a>, actually \u201cpaves Iran\u2019s path to the bomb.\u201d He implicitly compared the danger to the Holocaust, singling out Elie Wiesel in the gallery, and called on Congress to prevent the agreement from going through.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMy friends, for over a year, we\u2019ve been told that no deal is better than a bad deal,\u201d he said. \u201cWell, this is a bad deal. It\u2019s a very bad deal. We\u2019re better off without it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Less than a year later, the deal did go into effect. An effort to stop it in Congress failed, despite a full-court press by the Israeli government, the Republican Party, the pro-Israel lobby AIPAC and a lineup of American Jewish organizations.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\tGet The Times of Israel&#8217;s Daily Edition<br \/>\n\t\t\tby email and never miss our top stories\n\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tBy signing up, you agree to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/terms\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">terms<\/a><\/p>\n<p>A decade on, the Netanyahu government is again confronting an Iran deal negotiated by a US president. Again, Israeli security officials <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/liveblog_entry\/senior-israeli-officials-us-agreed-to-irans-main-conditions-israels-concerns-left-unaddressed\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">fear it<\/a> because it lifts sanctions on the Islamic Republic, may leave much of its nuclear infrastructure in place, and doesn\u2019t address other threats posed by Iran.<\/p>\n<p>But this time, there\u2019s no speech to Congress, no national campaign by Jewish groups, and the outcry from AIPAC is far more timid.<\/p>\n<p>Anyone who\u2019s surprised by that difference shouldn\u2019t be. In 2015, Netanyahu\u2019s campaign went as far as it did because he was somewhat popular in the United States; commanded the loyalty, if not the affection, of many US Jewish organizations; and was able to leverage a Republican-led Congress against a Democratic president. And he still failed.<\/p>\n<p>This year, basically none of those conditions exist, and many of them have flipped. That\u2019s left Netanyahu, facing an emerging agreement that many Israelis view as a grave danger, with few options to mount a robust attack. And the problem for the prime minister is that Trump knows it.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBibi actually went to Congress and pleaded with them, and he got nowhere,\u201d Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/trump-recalls-netanyahus-failed-push-kill-obama-iran-deal-says-he-finished-job\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">said last week<\/a> at the G7 summit of global leaders. \u201cAnd they had this horrible deal. It was horrible for Israel.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>At the same press conference, he quipped, \u201cWe\u2019re the big partner, and he\u2019s the very small partner.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\t<a href=\"https:\/\/static-cdn.toi-media.com\/www\/uploads\/2026\/06\/AFP__20260619__2282397304__v1__HighRes__PresidentTrumpDepartsDCForCampDavidForTheWee.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-3846448\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/AFP__20260619__2282397304__v1__HighRes__PresidentTrumpDepartsDCForCampDavidForTheWee-640x400.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"375\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n\t\tUS President Donald Trump delivers remarks after touring the newest aircraft in the presidential fleet on June 19, 2026 at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland (ALEX WONG\/Getty Images via AFP)<\/p>\n<p>Netanyahu styles himself a keen observer of American political dynamics, but it doesn\u2019t take a sleuth to spot the difference between how Congress responded to the 2015 deal and how it\u2019s responding to this one.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere is a serious threat that exists in the world, and the president last night kind of papered over it,\u201d John Boehner, who was then the Republican speaker of the House, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Zy4ZT56hIj4\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">said<\/a> in 2015 in defense of his invitation to Netanyahu. \u201cAnd the fact is, there needs to be a more serious conversation in America about how serious the threat is from radical Islamic jihadists and the threat posed by Iran.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s the current Republican speaker, Mike Johnson, when asked whether he believes Trump is still committed to denying Iran nuclear weapons in the wake of the memorandum of understanding signed by Tehran and Washington: \u201cI\u2019m very confident,\u201d he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=7QA7xnbrj1E\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">said<\/a>. \u201cHe\u2019s as resolute as he\u2019s been from the beginning\u2026 His number-one condition has been that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\t<a href=\"https:\/\/static-cdn.toi-media.com\/www\/uploads\/2025\/02\/AFP__20250207__36XD8HV__v1__HighRes__UsIsraelDiplomacyNetanyahu-e1751927034782.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-3477502\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/AFP__20250207__36XD8HV__v1__HighRes__UsIsraelDiplomacyNetanyahu-e1751927034782-640x400.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"375\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n\t\tPrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (L) and US Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (R) speak to the press at the US Capitol following their closed-door meeting in Washington, DC, on February 7, 2025. (Oliver Contreras\/AFP)<\/p>\n<p>But the key change is an obvious difference in the political calculus. In 2015, the Iran deal was a can\u2019t-miss opportunity for Republicans in Congress to attack a Democratic president. It didn\u2019t hurt that at the time, 70 percent of Americans <a href=\"https:\/\/news.gallup.com\/poll\/702440\/israelis-no-longer-ahead-americans-middle-east-sympathies.aspx\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">viewed Israel favorably<\/a>, including majorities of both parties.<\/p>\n<p>A plurality of Americans also <a href=\"https:\/\/news.gallup.com\/poll\/692948\/u.s.-back-israel-military-action-gaza-new-low.aspx\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">viewed Netanyahu favorably<\/a>. Inviting the prime minister gave Republicans the perfect opportunity to show how Obama was throwing a beloved ally under the bus.<\/p>\n<p>But this year, the realities are starkly different. Republicans control both Congress and the White House, and it would be an understatement to say the speaker of the House isn\u2019t likely to invite a foreign leader to the rostrum to bash a president from his own party just months ahead of crucial midterm elections.<\/p>\n<p>This year, the speaker of the House isn\u2019t likely to invite a foreign leader to the rostrum to bash a president from his own party just months ahead of crucial midterm elections.<\/p>\n<p>Israel\u2019s standing also isn\u2019t what it once was. As of February 2026, according to Gallup, just 46% of Americans viewed Israel favorably \u2014 and that was before Israel joined the US in launching a deeply unpopular war that has jacked up prices.\n<\/p>\n<p>Nor can Netanyahu count on the opposition party to take up his cause in the halls of Congress this time: Polls show that Israel\u2019s ratings among Democrats have plunged underwater.<\/p>\n<p>Netanyahu\u2019s personal popularity has also tanked: In 2015, 38% of Americans liked him and 28% disliked him. Now, 52% view him unfavorably.<\/p>\n<p>\t<a href=\"https:\/\/static-cdn.toi-media.com\/www\/uploads\/2026\/06\/AP26172489257715.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-3847068\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/AP26172489257715-640x400.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"375\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n\t\tUS Vice President JD Vance speaks at the Lake Lucerne Summit at the Burgenstock resort in Obbuergen, near Lucerne, Switzerland, Sunday, June 21, 2026. (Urs Flueeler, Pool Photo via AP)<\/p>\n<p>Jewish groups are also relatively muted in their opposition, with a few signaling that they\u2019re waiting for US-Iran negotiations to produce a final deal before mounting a campaign, according to an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/jewish-groups-push-back-against-trumps-iran-deal-but-for-now-more-quietly-than-in-2015\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">extensive JTA report<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>They may also be reading the tea leaves. Antisemitism is rising. Israel is getting less and less popular \u2014 and its supposed influence on US policy, along with AIPAC\u2019s, has become the central issue in several Democratic congressional primaries.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans support Trump, and Democrats oppose the war. According to a March poll by the liberal Israel lobby J Street, <a href=\"https:\/\/jstreet.org\/press-releases\/j-street-poll-finds-majority-of-american-jews-are-opposed-to-war-with-iran\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">most US Jews do<\/a>, too. Members of both parties \u2014 including the lead American negotiator, Vice President JD Vance \u2014 are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/liveblog_entry\/vance-israel-must-respect-this-peace-process-heavy-idf-strikes-in-beirut-unacceptable\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">publicly attacking Israel<\/a>. Across that landscape, it\u2019s hard to imagine a national Jewish advocacy campaign against a deal with Iran gaining traction.<\/p>\n<p>\t<a href=\"https:\/\/static-cdn.toi-media.com\/www\/uploads\/2026\/06\/AP26166663676884.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-3845589\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/AP26166663676884-640x400.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"375\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n\t\tPrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu holds a news conference in Jerusalem, June 15, 2026. (Ronen Zvulun, Pool Photo via AP)<\/p>\n<p>Netanyahu, so far, has distanced himself from the deal but refrained from attacking it. That could be because he\u2019s terrified of Trump, who hasn\u2019t been shy about criticizing or even humiliating the premier when the mood strikes. It could be because he has tied his reputation so closely to Trump\u2019s \u2014 and relied on the US president\u2019s outspoken support in a brazen bid to waive his corruption trial \u2014 that an attack on the president could end up as a political suicide mission.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s also possible that Netanyahu is still hoping for the best. After all, Obama spearheaded the 2015 Iran deal shortly after tangling with Netanyahu over a failed bid for Israeli-Palestinian peace. Trump\u2019s deal is coming after he led the US, for the first time ever, into a joint war with Israel against its chief adversary.<\/p>\n<p>The common denominator for Netanyahu is that both deals preceded a tough Israeli election. In 2015, the speech was seen by some as an attempt to boost his campaign, which he ended up winning.<\/p>\n<p>Now, it seems like Netanyahu\u2019s best bet is, somehow, to talk about this year\u2019s Iran deal as little as possible.<\/p>\n<p>A Channel 12 poll found that 52% of Israelis feel Netanyahu\u2019s conduct harmed Israeli interests in the US-Iran agreement. A Hebrew University survey found that 92% of Israelis say Iran won the war, and 72.5% don\u2019t believe Netanyahu\u2019s statements about the war\u2019s achievements.<\/p>\n<p>The level of concern in Israel about this deal is so broad and so significant that Netanyahu presumably is also alarmed. But if he does decide to broadcast that message, it\u2019s unclear who \u2014 in the US or in Israel \u2014 will still want to listen to what he has to say.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"When Benjamin Netanyahu decided to address the US Congress in 2015 to mount a no-holds-barred attack on then-US&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":507721,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[229277,190507,209872,8990,49,54,85,93,46,11487,233310,43],"class_list":["post-507720","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-israel","tag-2026-us-iran-memorandum-of-understanding","tag-2026-us-israel-war-with-iran","tag-aipac-american-israel-public-affairs-committee","tag-barack-obama","tag-benjamin-netanyahu","tag-donald-trump","tag-il","tag-iran-nuclear-deal","tag-israel","tag-jd-vance","tag-netanyahus-speech-to-congress","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/507720","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=507720"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/507720\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/507721"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=507720"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=507720"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=507720"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}