{"id":52188,"date":"2025-10-02T22:46:09","date_gmt":"2025-10-02T22:46:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/52188\/"},"modified":"2025-10-02T22:46:09","modified_gmt":"2025-10-02T22:46:09","slug":"boom-or-bubble-how-long-can-the-ai-investment-craze-last","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/52188\/","title":{"rendered":"Boom or bubble: How long can the AI investment craze last?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> The staggering investments in artificial intelligence keep coming: Last week, AI chip giant Nvidia announced it would invest $100 billion to help OpenAI, the frontrunner in generative AI, build data centers. <\/p>\n<p> How are these enormous sums possible when the returns on investments, at least for now, pale in comparison?<\/p>\n<p> AI-related spending is soaring worldwide, expected to reach approximately $1.5 trillion by 2025, according to US research firm Gartner, and over $2 trillion in 2026 &#8212; nearly 2 percent of global GDP. <\/p>\n<p> Even though tangible returns fall short of the investments going in, the AI revolution appears unstoppable. <\/p>\n<p> &#8220;There&#8217;s no doubt among investors that AI is the major breakthrough technology&#8221; &#8212; on par with harnessing electricity, said Denis Barrier, head of investment fund Cathay Innovation. <\/p>\n<p> Silicon Valley&#8217;s mindset &#8220;is more about seizing the opportunity&#8221; than worrying about any risks, he said. <\/p>\n<p> Geopolitical tensions are helping drive the frenzy, primarily to build massive data centers housing tens of thousands of expensive chips that require phenomenal electrical power and large-scale, energy-hungry cooling. <\/p>\n<p> From 2013 to 2024, private AI investment reached $470 billion in the United States &#8212; nearly a quarter in the last year alone &#8212; followed by superpower rival China&#8217;s $119 billion, according to a Stanford University report. <\/p>\n<p> Just a handful of giants are on the receiving end, with OpenAI first in line. <\/p>\n<p> In March 2025, ChatGPT&#8217;s parent company raised approximately $40 billion, bringing its estimated valuation to around $300 billion, according to analysts.<\/p>\n<p> OpenAI is now the world&#8217;s most valuable company, surpassing SpaceX, worth $500 billion in a deal for employees to sell a limited number of shares. <\/p>\n<p> The company led by CEO Sam Altman sits at the center of an AI investment bonanza: It oversees the Stargate project, which has secured $400 billion of the $500 billion planned by 2029 for Texas data centers spanning an area the size of Manhattan. <\/p>\n<p> The White House-backed consortium includes Softbank, Oracle, Microsoft and Nvidia. <\/p>\n<p> Nvidia, which completed over 50 venture capital deals in 2024 according to PitchBook data, is often chided for practicing &#8220;circular funding&#8221; &#8212; investing in startups that use the funds to buy its chips. <\/p>\n<p> Some analysts criticize this as bubble-fueling behavior. <\/p>\n<p> The OpenAI deal &#8220;will likely fuel those concerns,&#8221; said Stacy Rasgon, a Bernstein Research analyst. <\/p>\n<p> In the first six months of 2025, OpenAI pulled in around $4.3 billion in revenue, specialist outlet The Information reported this week. <\/p>\n<p> Therefore, unlike Meta or Google with substantial cash reserves, OpenAI and competitors like Anthropic or Mistral must be creative in their search for funds to bridge the gap. <\/p>\n<p> For AI believers, an explosion in revenue is only a matter of time for a company whose ChatGPT assistant serves 700 million people &#8212; reaching nearly 9 percent of humanity less than three years after launch.<\/p>\n<p> Nothing is certain, however. <\/p>\n<p> Feeding AI&#8217;s computing appetite will cost up to $500 billion annually in global data center investments through 2030, requiring $2 trillion in annual revenues to make the expenses viable, according to consulting firm Bain &amp; Company. <\/p>\n<p> Even under optimistic assumptions, Bain estimates the AI industry faces an $800 billion deficit. <\/p>\n<p> OpenAI itself plans to spend over $100 billion by 2029 &#8212; meaning turning a profit is still a ways off. <\/p>\n<p> On the energy front, AI&#8217;s global computing footprint could reach 200 gigawatts by 2030 &#8212; the annual equivalent of Brazil&#8217;s electric consumption &#8212; half of that in the United States. <\/p>\n<p> Despite the daunting figures, many analysts remain optimistic. <\/p>\n<p> &#8220;Even with concerns about a possible &#8216;AI bubble&#8217;&#8230; we estimate the sector is in its 1996&#8221; moment during the internet boom, &#8220;absolutely not its 1999&#8221; before that bubble burst, said Dan Ives, a Wedbush Securities analyst. <\/p>\n<p> Long-term, &#8220;many dollars will go up in smoke, and there will be many losers, like during the internet bubble, but the internet remained,&#8221; said the Silicon Valley investor. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The staggering investments in artificial intelligence keep coming: Last week, AI chip giant Nvidia announced it would invest&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":52189,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[345,39874,343,344,3132,85,46,4136,1748,125],"class_list":["post-52188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-ai","tag-ai-investments","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-data-centers","tag-il","tag-israel","tag-nvidia","tag-openai","tag-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52188","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52188"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52188\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/52189"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52188"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52188"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}