{"id":531126,"date":"2026-07-08T11:31:31","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T11:31:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/531126\/"},"modified":"2026-07-08T11:31:31","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T11:31:31","slug":"us-recession-risk-dashboard-econbrowser","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/531126\/","title":{"rendered":"US Recession Risk Dashboard | Econbrowser"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>From Francesco Furno and Domenico Giannone, continuously updated risk assessment, at <a id=\"anchor-926f41b0-0664-6d5c-2a15-a2fe8cef5e04\" class=\"x_gmail-underline x_gmail-underline x_gmail-underline-offset-2 x_gmail-decoration-1 x_gmail-decoration-current\/40 x_gmail-hover:decoration-current x_gmail-focus:decoration-current\" title=\"https:\/\/urldefense.com\/v3\/__https:\/\/recessionrisk.com\/__;!!Mak6IKo!McXawg14VI4s6gxyI3LUUP0EOAYmLJhVCtjProyswqdsj6i2e1r6Hx4B53wNJrdWMzHcCmG0udLcC2M0USaDi3pIVqHEx4LIYFI$\" href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.com\/v3\/__https:\/\/recessionrisk.com\/__;!!Mak6IKo!McXawg14VI4s6gxyI3LUUP0EOAYmLJhVCtjProyswqdsj6i2e1r6Hx4B53wNJrdWMzHcCmG0udLcC2M0USaDi3pIVqHEx4LIYFI$\" data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/recessionrisk.com\/<\/a> (discussed previously in this <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/04\/recession-now-the-message-from-final-revd-michigan-expectations-vs-pmi-and-ciss\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">post<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>The dashboard refreshes automatically on the first business day of each month when the ISM PMI is released, so it provides a real-time pulse on recession risk.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/furno_gianonne_recrisk_1jul26.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-61309\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/furno_gianonne_recrisk_1jul26.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"638\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: recessionrisk.com accessed 7\/6\/2026.<\/p>\n<p>Note this is the risk of a recession now (well, June), not into the next 12 months etc.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tThis entry was posted on <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2026\/07\/us-recession-risk-dashboard\" title=\"1:36 pm\" rel=\"bookmark nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">July 6, 2026<\/a> by <a class=\"url fn n\" href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/author\/menzie_chinn\" title=\"View all posts by Menzie Chinn\" rel=\"author nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Menzie Chinn<\/a>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"From Francesco Furno and Domenico Giannone, continuously updated risk assessment, at https:\/\/recessionrisk.com\/ (discussed previously in this post). The&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":531127,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[114,184,85,46],"class_list":["post-531126","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-il","tag-israel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/531126","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=531126"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/531126\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/531127"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=531126"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=531126"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=531126"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}