{"id":583292,"date":"2026-08-13T08:28:09","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T08:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/583292\/"},"modified":"2026-08-13T08:28:09","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T08:28:09","slug":"the-war-for-israels-home","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/583292\/","title":{"rendered":"The war for Israel\u2019s home"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u2018When I assumed my position as chairman of HaBithonistim,\u201d says Brig.-Gen. (res.) Erez Winner, \u201cI defined the greatest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/tags\/security\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">threat to Israel<\/a> as the war for our home.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Winner, who succeeded the organization\u2019s founder, Brig.-Gen. (res.) Amir Avivi this past June, says that Israel faces a reality in which hundreds of thousands of illegal weapons are now in the hands of criminal gangs in the Arab sector.<br \/>These weapons, he says, have been smuggled in, particularly during the past two years, from Jordan and Egypt, while others have been stolen from IDF bases. Those gangs are responsible for most of the violent incidents in Israel in recent years, Winner adds, and the violence has continued to rise.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"AN ISRAELI ARMORED CAT D9 seen near the Israeli-Gaza border.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"632\" height=\"492\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/images.jpost.com\/image\/upload\/f_auto,fl_lossy\/c_fill,g_faces:center,h_537,w_822\/733646\"\/>AN ISRAELI ARMORED CAT D9 seen near the Israeli-Gaza border. (credit: FLASH90)<\/p>\n<p>About a month ago, Winner continues, Raed Salah, head of the Northern Branch of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/tags\/islamic-movement\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Islamic Movement<\/a> \u2013 who is outside the law and has served time in prison \u2013 brokered a reconciliation between the two largest crime families in the Israeli Arab sector. \u201cIf he can reconcile the two largest criminal organizations, he can also send them to do other things tomorrow,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n<p>Winner recalls a terror attack that took place in early June, when an Israeli Arab terrorist, armed with an improvised Carlo submachine gun, went to the Tzur Yitzhak-Kochav Yair area, carried out an attack, and killed and wounded civilians. <br \/>\u201cThis is only a very small example of what could happen tomorrow morning in six or 10 places simultaneously, using more sophisticated weapons,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, he says, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/tags\/palestinian-authority\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Palestinian Authority<\/a> is a hostile, armed, and dangerous group with tens of thousands of armed personnel. \u201cWhen they decide that they want to open a war against us, and if they join forces with the illegal weapons spread throughout Israel, that will constitute the true, significant, and, in my opinion, the only existential threat to Israel.\u201d<br \/>Along with these internal threats, he observes, Israel faces threats from numerous countries in the region. \u201cThis does not mean we are finished with Iran, Lebanon, or Gaza; that Turkey should not concern us; or that Egypt \u2013 and even Jordan, should it fall into the hands of the Muslim Brotherhood tomorrow \u2013 does not present a potential threat.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Victories over Israel\u2019s external enemies, says Winner, will only be achieved if Israel shifts its security doctrine away from the policy of containment that took shape over the past twenty years and returns to the traditional doctrine of decisive victory. When Israel acts in this manner, he continues, it can deter its enemies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cDeterrence is a very elusive concept,\u201d he shares. \u201cIf you were to ask me for an example of Israeli deterrence, I would point to the past two weeks, during which the Iranians have attacked every country in the Middle East except Israel. Neither Iran nor the United States wants Israel to take part in the war at present. That is deterrence: the Iranians know that Israel can strike them extremely hard and is also fairly capable of defending itself.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cThe Americans likewise know that Israel can strike very hard, and at present they do not want that. So that is deterrence. The problem is that it is difficult to manage this concept on its own. To claim that you genuinely possess deterrence, you must also employ the method I mentioned: enforcement and prevention. You must continually prevent the enemy from building up or becoming too strong, and make it understand that you can strike it anywhere.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Winner says that Israel can balance the need to eliminate immediate threats with the pursuit of long-term stability. In fact, he says that the only way that either can be achieved is by pursuing them together.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cFor many years,\u201d he asserts, \u201cfrom the Camp David agreements through Oslo, the withdrawal from Lebanon, and the disengagement, we approached matters on the assumption that if we only gave the Arabs more territory, better terms, or permission to do various things, they would sign a piece of paper and we would have peace.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cWe have seen that this does not work. The current approach, as reflected in the agreements we signed concerning Gaza and Lebanon, is peace through strength. Israel\u2019s doctrine over the past two years \u2013 a doctrine of peace through strength \u2013 is the approach that can truly produce peace.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">This type of approach, he says, will enable Israel to expand the Abraham Accords to other countries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cOur opportunity is now, when we are strong. The Gulf states see what we did in Iran. They see our relationship with the United Arab Emirates, our partner in the Abraham Accords, and they have an interest in cooperating with us. When the United States and Israel fight side by side, people understand that we are a regional power.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Returning to the lessons that Israel has learned since Oct. 7, Winner says that the size of the IDF must be enlarged. \u201cIt is not that we did not know this \u2013 we have been saying it for years \u2013 but the army is too small for the missions assigned to it.<br \/>\u201cWe see that today, as it is stretched throughout Lebanon, Judea and Samaria, and Syria. The IDF does not have enough combat formations in either the standing army or the reserves. That is the first thing that must be addressed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Second, he says Israel needs to improve its capability to defend itself against drones and other autonomous systems. <br \/>\u201cIf there is one thing this war has taught us \u2013 although we should not have waited for this war, because it was already evident in the Russia-Ukraine war, which we did not examine closely enough \u2013 it is the importance of autonomous systems and drones of various kinds. We are already beginning to see these drones operated by AI systems and in swarms. This is the next major threat.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A third important lesson is what Winner calls security sustainability. Israel must ensure that it is not overly dependent on the decisions of one person, government, or administration, as happened during the war under the Biden Administration.<br \/>Together with Prof. Gabi Siboni, a senior researcher at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security, Winner wrote the draft of a new national security doctrine that would include this feature.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cWe must diversify our sources,\u201d he says. He cites the example of D9 bulldozers, which the army needed for the war in Gaza.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cI remember how much time we spent at Southern Command dealing with the issue when President Biden halted their supply. Bulldozers can be purchased from many companies, not just one. Caterpillar is not the only company in the world that sells them. In an article we wrote on this subject, we cited German, Austrian, Japanese, and Indian companies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cThat is a very simple example, but the same principle must be applied in other critical fields: diversify our procurement sources rather than buying from only one supplier; find several sources; increase our stocks of raw materials; and restore our domestic manufacturing capacity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Finally, Winner touches on how division within Israeli society can affect the country\u2019s national security, and how political uncertainty can affect the defense establishment\u2019s preparedness.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">He is deeply troubled about the divisions within Israeli society. \u201cIt is no secret that historically we have tended to fight among ourselves. If you read Josephus\u2019s The Jewish War, it tells a story from 2,000 years ago; if you look at our conflicts here, you see the same tendency.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis polarization is not unique to us,\u201d he continues. \u201cYou see it throughout the world, certainly in the Arab world, in the United States today, and elsewhere. The center is shrinking, and the extremes are growing. In terms of the familiar bell curve, the curve is becoming flatter and larger at its edges. Extremism is increasing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Regarding Israel&#8217;s upcoming elections in October, Winner is concerned about two factors \u2013 what he terms \u201cthe extraordinary intervention by international actors, and the polarization of the political system.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Winner says that online bots, created by countries hostile to Israel, such as Iran, Qatar, Turkey, and possibly Russia and China, are being used to fan the flames of hatred within the country between different sectors. In professional terms, it is called \u201csoft warfare,\u201d and its usage has increased in recent years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">The polarization of the electorate into those who want to keep Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and those who want him to be defeated is unfortunate, he says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cBecause of this polarization \u2013 and particularly the \u2018Netanyahu or not Netanyahu\u2019 question that divides the Israeli political system in two \u2013 we see an absurd reality in which parties that define and declare themselves Zionist say, \u2018We will not sit with the Likud or with Netanyahu, but we will be willing to sit with the Muslim Brotherhood party.\u2019<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cAssessing every issue according to whether it advances the effort to topple Netanyahu, rather than according to what is important, ignores the threats \u2013 particularly the security threats \u2013 that do not disappear.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">The most important legislation that must be dealt with after the elections, he says, is enacting a national civil service law: \u201cSuch a law would say something very simple: every citizen of Israel must share the burden. The military receives priority because we still face a significant security threat. The army selects first and takes those whom it needs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cYet we know that even today it does not need everyone. It needs more combat soldiers, but if you walk around the Kirya you will see many people whom the army probably needs less, and the same is true elsewhere. Under a National-Civil Service Law, everyone would serve: Haredim, Arabs, and women who wish to serve, each according to their circumstances and ability to contribute.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cThis could also solve many problems in Israeli society \u2013 for example, the shortage of caregivers. Instead of continually seeking another Filipina caregiver for our grandparents, people could serve in nursing care, firefighting, the police \u2013 which must be expanded considerably \u2013 and agriculture in the periphery.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cPlans were also proposed but unfortunately fell victim to the foolish dispute over the conscription law and its clauses, to establish haredi yeshivas in border areas, in the Jordan Valley, the Arava, and elsewhere, along the lines of Nahal groups, where participants could study Torah and also provide security.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cThere are many other possibilities. I believe this is the most important legislation that any government defining itself as Zionist should advance after the elections.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Winner concludes by pointing out that the HaBithonistim organization is not only invested in safeguarding Israel\u2019s security, but in improving Israel\u2019s educational system.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cOur educational activity ranges from lectures in schools and pre-military academies to a pre-military academy that we established a year ago in memory of Omer Smadga, z\u201dl, in Tekuma in the south, near the Gaza border. [Smadga, 25, was killed in a Hamas mortar attack in the central Gaza Strip on June 20, 2024.]<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cWe are also establishing the first pre-police academy of its kind, preparing students for combat roles in the Border Police and the Israel Police, in memory of Ran Gvili, a heroic police fighter who was killed fighting Hamas terrorists near Kibbutz Alumim on Oct. 7, 2023.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn addition, as part of the recruitment effort we discussed, we are establishing a haredi pre-police academy that will bring haredi personnel into the police. This concern for future generations includes these fields, as well as international affairs, antisemitism, and many other matters. They are all pieces of the same puzzle.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>This article was written in cooperation with HaBithonistim.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u2018When I assumed my position as chairman of HaBithonistim,\u201d says Brig.-Gen. (res.) Erez Winner, \u201cI defined the greatest&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":583293,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[42,1031,526,263895,43,5243,98,40,38,41,39],"class_list":["post-583292","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-headlines","tag-headlines","tag-idf","tag-in-focus","tag-national-service-israel","tag-news","tag-palestinian-authority","tag-terrorism","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-topnews","tag-topstories"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/583292","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=583292"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/583292\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/583293"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=583292"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=583292"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=583292"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}