{"id":597101,"date":"2026-08-27T01:16:13","date_gmt":"2026-08-27T01:16:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/597101\/"},"modified":"2026-08-27T01:16:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-27T01:16:13","slug":"interest-rates-anz-cba-tipping-november-hike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/597101\/","title":{"rendered":"Interest rates: ANZ, CBA tipping November hike"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Two of Australia\u2019s big four banks on Thursday reversed their forecast for interest rates, predicting they will rise by 0.25 per cent in November.<\/p>\n<p>The Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) believe Wednesday\u2019s inflation figures will pressure the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to lift the cash rate to 4.6 per cent in five weeks.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"ANZ are still looking to resolve the problem.\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/8d81c4427934a94def0be5b4eb38ced4de65d2cd.jpeg\"  width=\"100%\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"_0b53bae146db0b62 _7475dd3391ee1518\" style=\"--text-color:var(--color-text-secondary)\">The Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) is now forecasting a rise for interest rates in November.\u00a0Supplied<\/p>\n<p>If that happens, it would be the highest cash rate setting the country has seen since October 2011.<\/p>\n<p>The moves come after Wednesday\u2019s figures put inflation for the 12 months to July at 3.5 per cent, and the all-important trimmed mean \u2013 the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nine.com.au\/topic\/reserve-bank-of-australia-619\" class=\"sc-ZStEl fijHCo\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Reserve Bank of Australia\u2019s<\/a>\u00a0favoured underlying measure \u2013 at 3.6 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>The National Australia Bank (NAB) also confirmed on Thursday its cash rate forecast is under review on the back of the new inflation figures.<\/p>\n<p>While the headline inflation figure was a 0.3 per cent slowdown from June and the trimmed mean was steady, both remain well beyond the 2-3 per cent target, and both were higher than market forecasts of 3.2-3.3 and 3.5 per cent respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Prior to this, all big four banks were predicting the RBA\u2019s next move would be a rate cut, albeit not until 2027.<\/p>\n<p>But now economists believe the central bank has little choice but to raise the cash rate from 4.35 per cent when it holds a board meeting during the first week of November.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signage for Commonwealth Bank of Australia at a branch in Sydney, Australia, on Monday, Aug. 5, 2024. CBA is scheduled to release full year earnings results on Aug. 14. Photographer: Brendon Thorne\/Bloomberg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/78b49cb5e9e03944eabcaca7d199c54928dbd576.jpeg\"  width=\"100%\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"_0b53bae146db0b62 _7475dd3391ee1518\" style=\"--text-color:var(--color-text-secondary)\">CBA now also forecasts a rate hike in November.\u00a0Bloomberg via Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Impact felt by mortgage holders<\/p>\n<p>A 0.25 percentage point rate hike in November would add about $91 to the monthly repayment on a $600,000 loan with 25 years remaining, according to comparison site Canstar.<\/p>\n<p>Taking into account the four rises during 2026, the total increase to monthly repayments would be $363.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Australia money. Australian dollars, paper bills. Financial concept, business background. close up\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/55cd20bd01efdd67ade4cde535b86348ed337d91.jpeg\"  width=\"100%\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"_0b53bae146db0b62 _7475dd3391ee1518\" style=\"--text-color:var(--color-text-secondary)\">Mortgage holders can expect no relief due to stubborn inflation, say economists.\u00a0Getty<\/p>\n<p>Canstar data insights director, Sally Tindall, says the ANZ and CBA u-turns are a reminder of how quickly forecast\u2019s change. The stubborn inflation figures will force the RBA board to debate the merits of a rates hike when it meets in five weeks.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor those with a $1 million mortgage, the impact is significant, adding an extra $152 per month to repayments. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s an extra $605 these borrowers would have to stump up every single month compared to what they were paying at the start of the year.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The RBA will hand down its next interest rates decision on September 29.<\/p>\n<p>Building, takeaway food, fuel drive prices<\/p>\n<p>The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Wednesday identified three key drivers of inflation.<\/p>\n<p>Housing costs were a chief culprit.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHousing rose by 5.0 per cent in the 12 months to July due to rising costs for New dwellings,\u201d ABS head of price statistics Rachael McCririck said.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"New complex of apartment buildings under construction, Szczecin, Poland\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/a46e9ff9fd8fd8e240659ce78a64b1820f38b57e2c3e4bfa5f111f2a18b6ab6f.jpeg\"  width=\"100%\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"_0b53bae146db0b62 _7475dd3391ee1518\" style=\"--text-color:var(--color-text-secondary)\">Rising construction costs are helping to keep inflation above the RBA\u2019s target.\u00a0iStock<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNew dwellings prices rose 5.7 per cent in the 12 months to July as builders passed on higher costs for materials and labour.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It also appears consumers have been enjoying dining out recently.<\/p>\n<p>Annual food inflation is at 3.2 per cent for the 12 months to July, driven primarily by meals out and takeaway \u2013 that measure was up 4.5 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>And, in news that will come as no surprise to anyone who\u2019s had to fill up the car in the last two months, petrol is also getting more expensive.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOn a monthly basis, Automotive fuel prices rose 7.5 per cent in July after falling for three months in a row,\u201d McCririck said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis was driven by higher world oil prices and the partial unwinding of the federal government\u2019s fuel excise relief measures in July.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Two of Australia\u2019s big four banks on Thursday reversed their forecast for interest rates, predicting they will rise&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":597102,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[114,184,85,46],"class_list":["post-597101","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-il","tag-israel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/597101","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=597101"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/597101\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/597102"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=597101"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=597101"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=597101"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}