{"id":613991,"date":"2026-09-12T16:30:10","date_gmt":"2026-09-12T16:30:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/613991\/"},"modified":"2026-09-12T16:30:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-12T16:30:10","slug":"prediction-owning-100-shares-of-amazon-stock-will-turn-25000-into-50000-by-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/613991\/","title":{"rendered":"Prediction: Owning 100 Shares of Amazon Stock Will Turn $25,000 Into $50,000 by 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Amazon (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/quote\/nasdaq\/amzn\/\" class=\"font-bold hover:underline\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">AMZN<\/a> +1.94%) stock has a real shot at doubling over the next four years. Analysts are projecting about 20% annual earnings growth, while the stock trades at 20 times forward earnings.<\/p>\n<p>Using Amazon&#8217;s recent share price of $251.35 on Sept. 9, 2026, 100 shares would cost $25,135. Four years of 20% earnings growth would roughly double earnings. If the stock is still trading at 20 times earnings in four years, which is a reasonable <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/how-to-invest\/stocks\/how-to-value-stock\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">valuation<\/a>, the stock could double too, turning that stake into about $50,000.<\/p>\n<p>What analysts seem to be counting on is double-digit revenue growth with higher margins driving faster earnings growth. This is definitely in the cards, given management&#8217;s recent comments and the sources of revenue growth.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Amazon logo on orange filter, over photo of Amazon truck.\" fetchpriority=\"high\" width=\"880\" height=\"587\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"h-auto max-w-full rounded object-contain\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1789230610_796_.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Image source: The Motley Fool.<\/p>\n<p>Amazon&#8217;s most profitable business just grew 37% year over year<\/p>\n<p>Amazon&#8217;s trailing 12-month revenue hit $775 billion in the second quarter of 2026, up 15.8% year over year. Most of Amazon&#8217;s growth is coming from non-retail businesses that generate much higher margins than e-commerce. This includes revenue from advertising, seller services, subscriptions, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). Overall, revenue from all non-retail sources grew 24% year over year in Q2, reaching $124 billion.<\/p>\n<p>AWS is the main engine, with its revenue rising 37% year over year in Q2 2026 to $42 billion. Growth is accelerating, with a massive $496 billion backlog to work through.<\/p>\n<p>Demand for cloud services and AI compute &#8212; especially workloads running on Amazon-designed chips &#8212; has CEO Andy Jassy bullish about AWS&#8217;s trajectory. He believes AWS could become a $1 trillion annual revenue business over time. That is significant because AWS is already doing all the heavy lifting for Amazon&#8217;s profits, generating 60% of the company&#8217;s operating income last quarter.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Amazon Stock Quote\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"64\" height=\"64\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"w-full flex-none object-contain\" style=\"color:transparent\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1789230610_645_.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Today&#8217;s Change<\/p>\n<p>(1.94%) $4.89<\/p>\n<p>Current Price<\/p>\n<p>$256.78<\/p>\n<p>Key Data Points<\/p>\n<p>Market Cap<\/p>\n<p>$2.8TMarket cap calculated using publicly traded shares outstanding only. Does not include unlisted, private, or dual-class non-traded shares. Implied market cap may vary.<\/p>\n<p>Day&#8217;s Range<\/p>\n<p>$253.14 &#8211; $257.59<\/p>\n<p>52wk Range<\/p>\n<p>$196.00 &#8211; $287.20<\/p>\n<p>Volume<\/p>\n<p>26.7M<\/p>\n<p>Avg Vol<\/p>\n<p>47.1M<\/p>\n<p>Gross Margin<\/p>\n<p>50.77%<\/p>\n<p>Custom chips can lower costs and improve AWS margins<\/p>\n<p>Amazon&#8217;s earnings rose 242% year over year in Q2 to $5.75 per share, though much of that increase came from non-operating gains tied to its investment in Anthropic.<\/p>\n<p>Even so, margins are improving. Amazon&#8217;s trailing 12-month operating margin climbed to 12.7%, up from 6.5% in 2023. That points to real leverage as revenue grows faster than operating expenses.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, demand for Amazon&#8217;s custom chips (Trainium and Graviton) is now generating more than $25 billion in annualized revenue and growing at triple-digit rates. That can lower costs for customers and, more importantly, lift AWS margins.<\/p>\n<p>In the 2025 shareholder letter, Jassy wrote: &#8220;At scale, we expect Trainium will save us tens of billions of capex dollars per year, and provide several hundred basis points of operating margin advantage versus relying on others&#8217; chips for inference.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Amazon&#8217;s earnings may not grow every quarter, as the company absorbs higher transportation costs and ramps up spending on new data center capacity.<\/p>\n<p>Still, analysts see the same tailwinds and headwinds and are modeling a little over 20% annualized earnings growth over the next several years. Billionaire <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/how-to-invest\/famous-investors\/bill-ackman\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bill Ackman<\/a>, whose Pershing Square holds a large position in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/how-to-invest\/stocks\/how-to-invest-in-amazon-stock\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Amazon<\/a>, has the same forecast. If AWS continues to track toward management&#8217;s expectations, Amazon can deliver, putting the share price on track to potentially double by 2030.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Amazon (AMZN +1.94%) stock has a real shot at doubling over the next four years. Analysts are projecting&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":613992,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[114,85,46],"class_list":["post-613991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-business","tag-il","tag-israel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/613991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=613991"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/613991\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/613992"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=613991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=613991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=613991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}