PLC elections<\/a>, could create constitutional instability and potentially trigger a constitutional deadlock if a newly elected PLC challenged Abbas\u2019s executive authority.
\u00a0
Assuming the PLC elections take place as scheduled, or after a short delay, PCPSR noted that it would center around five distinct political forces: Fatah leaders, Fatah dissidents, Hamas and its potential coalition partners, leftist parties, and civil society groups.<\/p>\nDespite polls demonstrating widespread dissatisfaction with Abbas\u2019s leadership, the official Fatah movement has substantial institutional advantages, including patronage networks, party discipline, and administrative experience, the brief noted. \u00a0The official leadership may also attempt to appeal to more voters by recruiting youth leaders, civil society figures, and respected independents; however, such efforts would likely be hindered by voter frustration with PA corruption, security coordination, and economic stagnation.<\/p>\n
The Fatah dissident faction list, centered around imprisoned Fatah leader Marwan Barghouti and prominent figures such as Qaddoura Fares, has tremendous appeal to voters. Polls indicate that Barghouti is the most popular Palestinian figure, likely to receive 54% of votes in the presidential election. However, should Barghouti’s list run separately against an official Fatah list, Barghouti’s would capture 33% of the vote, while the Fatah official list would receive just 14%, according to PCPSR polls.<\/p>\n
Anti-Abbas coalition centered on Hamas, other terrorist factions<\/p>\n
The third, which PCPSR claimed could be the most decisive force, is a broad anti-Abbas national opposition coalition centered on Hamas, but extending beyond it. The ongoing talks with Hamas by Mohammed Dahlan\u2019s Democratic Reform faction, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP), Nasser al-Qudwa’s political movement, and independent figures, could provide Hamas the opportunity to run through a unified national list.<\/p>\n
PCPSR said that by nominating independent technocrats, respected national figures, and non-partisan candidates, Hamas could broaden its electoral reach while also shielding the list from international sanctions.<\/p>\n
The fourth camp, which consists of leftist lists like the Palestinian National Initiative (Mubadara), PFLP, Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine (DFLP), and Palestinian People’s Party (PPP), collectively commands around 18% support among likely voters.<\/p>\n
The final camp, comprising independent and civil society lists, faces significant structural hurdles and limited financial resources, making a substantial parliamentary presence unlikely.<\/p>\n
A fragmented parliament<\/p>\n
Predicting the outcome of the election, PCPSR published that it is unlikely that the 2006 results would be repeated, as the November election will most probably produce a more fragmented parliament.<\/p>\n
The August 2026 poll found that Fatah would receive 32% among likely voters, Hamas 29%, and third parties combined 18%. However, at the time, a crucial 21% of likely voters remained undecided.<\/p>\n
The emerging Hamas-Dahlan coalition could, however, consolidate multiple small voting blocs into a dominant parliamentary force, especially given that the anti-Abbas opposition coalition started with a base of at least one-fifth of the electorate.<\/p>\n
Fatah\u2019s official faction, PCPSR, insisted that it could not secure a parliamentary majority unless opposition forces remain deeply divided.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Voting for the Palestinian Legislative Council should be delayed by three to four months to allow authorities to…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":616759,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4410,50,51,85,46,116021,3893,43,48,6608,5243,194230,6604],"class_list":["post-616758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-israel","tag-elections","tag-gaza","tag-hamas","tag-il","tag-israel","tag-israeli-election","tag-mahmoud-abbas","tag-news","tag-palestine","tag-palestinian","tag-palestinian-authority","tag-palestinian-elections","tag-plo"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/616758","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=616758"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/616758\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/616759"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=616758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=616758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=616758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}