{"id":634912,"date":"2026-10-03T05:50:09","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T05:50:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/634912\/"},"modified":"2026-10-03T05:50:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T05:50:09","slug":"mexico-vs-usa-prediction-what-do-history-and-the-latest-numbers-say-about-who-has-the-edge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/634912\/","title":{"rendered":"Mexico vs. USA prediction: What do history and the latest numbers say about who has the edge?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph ue-c-article--first-letter-highlighted\">Few FIFA dates generate as much excitement among fans as a Mexico vs. USA matchup. This Saturday, October 3, both national teams will meet again at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, in another chapter of a rivalry that already spans decades. But this time, there is something that makes the matchup even more interesting: Mexico enters a new process under Rafael M\u00e1rquez, the United States continues its run with Mauricio Pochettino, and the numbers tell a different story when looking at the present compared with the overall head-to-head history.<\/p>\n<p>Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 puts his injury behind him and spends a romantic evening with Ester Exp\u00f3sito at a well-known Parisian nightclub<\/p>\n<p>Mexico is unbeaten, but still searching for its first win<\/p>\n<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph\">Mexico&#8217;s current form has one detail that is difficult to ignore. El Tri has yet to lose during this new chapter, but it also has not managed to win.<\/p>\n<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph\">Its two most recent matches ended in draws: 1-1 against Colombia and 1-1 against Peru. In both games, Mexico had to respond to rescue the draw, meaning M\u00e1rquez&#8217;s team arrives at the Clasico with a particular mix of results: it has not lost, but it is still looking for the game that will mark its first victory under the new leadership.<\/p>\n<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph\">For the United States, the immediate picture is different.<\/p>\n<p>United States enters with two straight wins<\/p>\n<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph\">The USMNT arrives after earning two consecutive victories in its preparation matches. First, it defeated Peru 4-1 and then beat Chile 4-2, two results that allow the U.S. to face Mexico with a winning streak.<\/p>\n<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph\">But when the picture is widened a little, the story changes again.<\/p>\n<p>The last five Mexico vs. USA matches are completely split<\/p>\n<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph\">The five most recent meetings show a rivalry that is much more balanced than a single winning streak might suggest.<\/p>\n<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph\">Mexico won two. The United States won two. And there was one draw.<\/p>\n<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph\">The results were:<\/p>\n<p>United States 1-2 Mexico, July 6, 2025, Gold Cup final.Mexico 2-0 United States, October 15, 2024, friendly.Mexico 0-2 United States, March 24, 2024, Concacaf Nations League final.United States 3-0 Mexico, June 15, 2023, Concacaf Nations League semifinal.United States 1-1 Mexico, April 19, 2023, friendly.<\/p>\n<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph\">There is also one detail that changes the way that list can be read: Mexico won the two most recent meetings, including a Gold Cup final. The United States, meanwhile, won the two matches before those, both in the Concacaf Nations League.<\/p>\n<p data-mrf-recirculation=\"Links P\u00e1rrafos\" class=\"ue-c-article__paragraph paragraph\">So the last five meetings do not produce a clear dominant side. They produce something much more interesting for this new chapter: a 2-2-1 record that leaves almost everything open.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Few FIFA dates generate as much excitement among fans as a Mexico vs. USA matchup. This Saturday, October&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":634913,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[85,46,105],"class_list":["post-634912","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-sports","tag-il","tag-israel","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/634912","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=634912"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/634912\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/634913"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=634912"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=634912"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=634912"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}