{"id":640761,"date":"2026-10-09T02:13:20","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T02:13:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/640761\/"},"modified":"2026-10-09T02:13:20","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T02:13:20","slug":"heres-what-a-world-without-arctic-ice-would-actually-look-like","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/640761\/","title":{"rendered":"Here\u2019s what a world without Arctic ice would actually look like"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>For decades, scientists have been sounding the alarm about the Arctic\u2019s impending collapse. And now, we may have crossed the tipping point.<\/p>\n<p>Warming nearly four times faster than the rest of the planet, the Arctic could see its first ice-free summer as soon as 2027, far earlier than once feared.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-024-54508-3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">research<\/a> from the University of Gothenburg, in Sweden, and the University of Colorado Boulder, in the US.<\/p>\n<p>Worryingly, the data suggest that no matter how much we reduce greenhouse gas emissions from this point on, the ice will continue to disappear.<\/p>\n<p>That, as you can guess, is one huge problem for planet Earth. The Arctic\u2019s unravelling would send ripples far and wide, triggering a range of environmental shifts that are already being felt beyond the region.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat happens in the Arctic is profoundly important globally, and change is occurring at pace. It should not be considered a remote and frozen wilderness, way over the northern horizon, of little relevance to most of humanity,\u201d says <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stir.ac.uk\/people\/256423\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Prof Philip Wookey<\/a>, biological and environmental scientist at the University of Stirling.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1801\" height=\"1201\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Polar-bear.jpg\" alt=\"Polar bear walking\" class=\"wp-image-220482\"\/>Polar bears rely on Arctic ice, using it as a platform to hunt their favourite prey, ice seals &#8211; Credit: Getty<\/p>\n<p>But what would really happen if all the ice melted? Some effects would be obvious to anyone \u2013 polar bear populations, for instance, would face a steep decline.<\/p>\n<p>But there are far more unexpected \u2013 even bizarre \u2013 consequences. And some of these changes are already unfolding before our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencefocus.com\/the-human-body\/the-human-eye\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">eyes<\/a>\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Buried diseases are waking up<\/p>\n<p>In 2016, a remote corner of Siberia experienced an outbreak that seemed ripped from the script of a horror movie.<\/p>\n<p>Anthrax, a disease long thought to be under control in the region, re-emerged, infecting dozens of people and killing thousands of reindeer.<\/p>\n<p>The source? A 75-year-old reindeer carcass that had been buried in permafrost, until rising temperatures <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/sections\/goatsandsoda\/2016\/08\/03\/488400947\/anthrax-outbreak-in-russia-thought-to-be-result-of-thawing-permafrost\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">thawed it out<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>This case was a stark warning: as permafrost melts, long-frozen bacteria and viruses could be unearthed \u2013 even if they\u2019ve been dormant for tens of thousands of years.<\/p>\n<p>In recent years, researchers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.biorxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2022.11.10.515937v1.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">managed to successfully revive<\/a> a 48,500-year-old latent amoeba virus, raising the possibility that pathogens from ancient epidemics, or even entirely unknown diseases, could be unleashed.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image2-copy.jpg\" alt=\"Microscopic image of Anthrax spores\" class=\"wp-image-220472\"\/>Anthrax spores (like the above) are incredibly resilient; they can survive dormant in soil for decades &#8211; Credit: Getty<\/p>\n<p>The greater threat, however, likely stems from the re-emergence of more \u2018modern\u2019 diseases.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe diseases that pose the greatest risk are likely the ones that have most recently been frozen, and therefore most recently interacted with contemporary populations,\u201d explains <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northumbria.ac.uk\/about-us\/our-staff\/p\/david-pearce\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Prof David Pearce<\/a>, environmental microbiologist at Northumbria University.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe 2016 Siberian anthrax outbreak is one example, but another might be the 1918 influenza outbreak.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There are currently victims of this epidemic buried on Svalbard, and concern has been raised about the fate of such viruses, were these graves to defrost.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Read more:<\/p>\n<p>The Arctic is greening<\/p>\n<p>As the Arctic tundra melts, it\u2019s making way for expanding boreal forests. Sounds like a good thing, right? More trees, more greenery \u2013 what\u2019s not to love?<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, the reality is far more complicated \u2013 and the future a lot less bright. Quite literally.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMore vegetation generally makes the ground darker, increasing the amount of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencefocus.com\/space\/the-sun\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the Sun<\/a>\u2019s energy that remains in the system, enhancing warming,\u201d explains <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spri.cam.ac.uk\/people\/macias-fauria\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Marc Macias-Fauria<\/a>, professor of physical geography at the University of Cambridge.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Arctic-forests.jpg\" alt=\"Forest covered in snow\" class=\"wp-image-220471\"\/>Temperature rises mean that Arctic forests, also known as boreal forests or taiga, are at increased risk of wildfires &#8211; Credit: Getty<\/p>\n<p>But wouldn\u2019t more greenery help absorb greenhouse gases? In theory, yes \u2013 but only temporarily. While a greener Arctic may act as a short-term carbon sink, its long-term impact on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencefocus.com\/news\/climate-change\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">climate warming<\/a> is likely to outweigh any benefits.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41558-024-02234-5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">evidence<\/a> is already clear: nearly half of the Arctic is greening, yet only 12 per cent of these areas are actually absorbing more carbon than they release.<\/p>\n<p>Why? The answer lies beneath the surface \u2013 in the permafrost.<\/p>\n<p>This frozen ground, which has remained intact for at least two consecutive years (and in some Arctic regions for as long as 700,000 years), holds a vast amount of trapped carbon.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, soils in the northern permafrost region contain between <a href=\"https:\/\/arctic.noaa.gov\/report-card\/report-card-2019\/permafrost-and-the-global-carbon-cycle\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">1,460 and 1,600 billion<\/a> metric tonnes of organic carbon \u2013 roughly twice as much as is currently found in the atmosphere.<\/p>\n<p>As temperatures rise, microbial processes accelerate the conversion of permafrost carbon into greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane, which are then released into the atmosphere.<\/p>\n<p>Greenland is rising<\/p>\n<p>Greenland, which a certain US president is eyeing for purchase, is changing faster than ever. In fact, the Danish territory\u2019s ice sheet is losing <a href=\"https:\/\/arctic-council.org\/explore\/topics\/climate\/cryosphere\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">30 million tonnes<\/a> of ice an hour.<\/p>\n<p>When the ice finally melts completely, raising global sea levels by 7.4m (24.2ft) \u2013 which will, incidentally, put Mar-a-Lago and most of Florida at significant risk of flooding \u2013 Greenland will be unrecognisable.<\/p>\n<p>And we\u2019re seeing significant changes today. In a process called isostatic rebound, Greenland\u2019s landmass is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/doi\/10.1126\/sciadv.1600931\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">rising by up to 12mm per year<\/a> (around half an inch) as the immense weight of the ice is gradually lifted.<\/p>\n<p>This natural process is expected to continue for decades, altering the island\u2019s topography, and making it more difficult to implement the infrastructure needed for mineral mining.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, Greenland\u2019s coastline is experiencing a very different fate. While the land rises inland, the edges of the island are crumbling.<\/p>\n<p>As the permafrost \u2013 once a stabilising force \u2013 thaws, it\u2019s breaking down and making the coastline increasingly vulnerable to collapse and erosion. Greenland\u2019s capital and the island\u2019s biggest port, Nuuk, will be at significant risk.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Ilulissat-Glacier.jpg\" alt=\"Glacial landscape\" class=\"wp-image-220473\"\/>The Ilulissat Glacier, one of Greenland\u2019s fastest-moving glaciers, is rapidly retreating due to climate change &#8211; Credit: Getty<\/p>\n<p>In the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-024-52124-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">past three decades<\/a> alone, approximately 28,707km\u00b2 (11,000 square miles) of Greenland\u2019s ice sheet and glaciers have melted \u2013 an area roughly the size of Albania. That\u2019s 1.6 per cent of its total ice cover, gone.<\/p>\n<p>What was once a frozen expanse of ice and snow is rapidly becoming a landscape of exposed rock, wetlands and vegetation.<\/p>\n<p>Could this newly revealed land be prime real estate for future development? Not exactly. Rising temperatures aren\u2019t just melting the ice; they\u2019re also destabilising the land itself.<\/p>\n<p>As permafrost thaws, it releases greenhouse gases, fuelling further warming.<\/p>\n<p>And as we\u2019ve mentioned, the loss of frozen ground along Greenland\u2019s coast is making the land more vulnerable to erosion, crumbling away under the forces of wind and water.<\/p>\n<p>So, if you were dreaming of beachfront property in Greenland, think again.<\/p>\n<p>Read more:<\/p>\n<p>Costly relocations are nigh<\/p>\n<p>When you think of melting ice, you probably picture polar bears and reindeer losing their natural habitats \u2013 but a surprising number of humans are set to lose their homes too, and it\u2019s happening right now.<\/p>\n<p>One immediate example is <a href=\"https:\/\/tuktoyaktuk.ca\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Tuktoyaktuk<\/a>, a village in Canada\u2019s Northwest Territories, which is rapidly being eroded into the sea. Rising temperatures are thawing the permafrost that once kept the land stable, causing it to collapse beneath people\u2019s feet.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, coastal erosion is devouring roads, homes and infrastructure, leaving residents with no choice but to consider relocating.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/inuit-fishing.jpg\" alt=\"Nunavut villager fishing from a hole in the ice\" class=\"wp-image-220474\"\/>Inuit communities are experiencing rapid and profound changes due to climate change, including shifts in sea ice patterns that disrupt traditional hunting and travel &#8211; Credit: Getty<\/p>\n<p>Tuktoyaktuk may be a small village with just 937 residents, but it\u2019s far from alone in facing this crisis. Across Scandinavia, Alaska and Russia, much larger communities are also being threatened by melting ice and coastal erosion.<\/p>\n<p>In Russia, the problem is on a massive scale. A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thebarentsobserver.com\/climate-crisis\/russias-arctic-coast-loses-7000-hectares-annually-due-to-climate-changes\/125945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">study<\/a> by Lomonosov Moscow State University found that 7,000 hectares of land \u2013 an area nearly the size of Manhattan \u2013 is lost to the sea every year.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s alarming, considering 5.4 million people currently live in Russia\u2019s permafrost zone.<\/p>\n<p>Manhattan itself \u2013 and plenty of other US coastal cities \u2013 are also under threat. Research shows that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/investigates\/special-report\/waters-edge-the-crisis-of-rising-sea-levels\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">$1.4tr (approx \u00a31tr)<\/a> worth of real estate sits within 215m (700ft) of the US coastline \u2013 areas that could face major flooding within the next 30 years.<\/p>\n<p>By 2050, between 4 and 13 million Americans could be directly impacted by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ucs.org\/resources\/looming-deadlines-coastal-resilience?read-online-content=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">rising seas and worsening storms<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Miami.jpg\" alt=\"Miami skyline\" class=\"wp-image-220475\"\/>Miami\u2019s low elevation and porous limestone bedrock make it exceptionally vulnerable to sea-level rise &#8211; Credit: Getty<\/p>\n<p>If just 10 per cent of these people or properties need to relocate, the cost could skyrocket to $140bn (approx \u00a3107bn) \u2013 a financial and humanitarian crisis that the country may soon be forced to confront.<\/p>\n<p>Major cities like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/world-asia-44636934\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Jakarta<\/a>, the capital city of Indonesia, are already sinking due to a combination of rising sea levels and groundwater extraction.<\/p>\n<p>Projections suggest that large portions of Jakarta could be underwater by 2050, which has led the Indonesian government to begin plans to build a new capital further inland.<\/p>\n<p>Marine ecosystems are being decimated<\/p>\n<p>Again, it\u2019s not just the polar bears. As the Arctic warms, its fragile food chains are crumbling. Fish species that have long thrived in cold waters, like <a href=\"https:\/\/pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/articles\/PMC12615573\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Arctic charr<\/a>, are struggling to survive temperature rises.<\/p>\n<p>Across the region, species that depend on cold, stable environments are seeing their populations decline, threatening biodiversity.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1201\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Sea-ice.jpg\" alt=\"Walruses on a block of sea ice\" class=\"wp-image-220476\"\/>Loss of sea ice due to climate change drives walruses to overcrowded haul-outs, resulting in fatalities &#8211; Credit: Getty<\/p>\n<p>The Alaskan crab industry has been hit particularly hard. In 2015, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fisheries.noaa.gov\/feature-story\/research-confirms-link-between-snow-crab-decline-and-marine-heatwave\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">NOAA Fisheries<\/a> scientists recorded a record number of juvenile snow crabs during their annual survey in the eastern Bering Sea. But, just three years later, the situation had drastically changed.<\/p>\n<p>Between 2018 and 2019, juvenile snow crab populations plummeted by roughly half. By 2021, the survey found the lowest number of snow crabs on the eastern Bering Sea shelf since the survey began in 1975.<\/p>\n<p>Over the span of just a few years, more than 10 billion snow crabs had vanished from the region, a decline directly linked to warming waters altering breeding and feeding conditions.<\/p>\n<p>The message is becoming clearer every day: the fate of the Arctic isn\u2019t just a distant concern \u2013 it\u2019s deeply intertwined with all life on Earth.<\/p>\n<p>Read more:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"For decades, scientists have been sounding the alarm about the Arctic\u2019s impending collapse. And now, we may have&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":640762,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[242,85,46,141],"class_list":["post-640761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-environment","tag-il","tag-israel","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/640761","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=640761"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/640761\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/640762"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=640761"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=640761"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=640761"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}