{"id":643427,"date":"2026-10-11T19:44:09","date_gmt":"2026-10-11T19:44:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/643427\/"},"modified":"2026-10-11T19:44:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-11T19:44:09","slug":"israel-and-saudi-arabia-consider-benefits-risks-of-regional-alliance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/643427\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel and Saudi Arabia consider benefits, risks of regional alliance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">US President Donald Trump lives in a transactional foreign policy universe. You give, you get. You don\u2019t give, don\u2019t expect much.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Israel has given a lot and, in return, gotten a lot. It has fought wing to wing with the US in Iran, provided valuable intelligence and demonstrated the military capabilities Washington wants to see in an ally.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">In April, US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said, \u201cTo our Israeli allies, thanks for being a brave, capable and willing ally on this battlefield. The rest of the world and the rest of our so-called allies saw what real capabilities look like. They should take some notes.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">America\u2019s \u201clegacy\u201d allies \u2013 from NATO countries to South Korea \u2013 have not stepped up to anywhere near the same degree. They have consequently been on the receiving end of more than just harsh words.<\/p>\n<p>Trump ordered joint military exercises with South Korea scaled back, citing Seoul\u2019s refusal to help with the Iran campaign, and threatened to cut off trade with Spain after Madrid denied Washington the use of its bases for strikes on Iran.<br \/>And then there is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/middle-east\/article-911351\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Saudi Arabia<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Smoke rises from a fire at the Aramco refinery south of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, October 3, 2026. Picture taken with a mobile phone.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"822\" height=\"829\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1791747849_352_740281.jpeg\"\/>Smoke rises from a fire at the Aramco refinery south of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, October 3, 2026. Picture taken with a mobile phone. (credit: REUTERS\/STRINGER)<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Many have been puzzled by Washington\u2019s reluctance to intervene directly in the Saudis\u2019 battle with the Houthis. This battle took a particularly deadly turn on Saturday when the King Khalid Airport in Riyadh was struck by a missile, killing 12 people and injuring more than 300, the most serious attack in Saudi Arabia in a decade.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">This came as tensions between the Saudis and the Houthis steadily escalated \u2013 Saturday\u2019s attack was the third such attack in a week, since the Saudis launched a counter-offensive against the Houthis to push them back from the strategic Bab el-Mandeb Strait.<\/p>\n<p>Despite all that, Trump has wavered. Washington has provided intelligence and targeting assistance, but the president has so far stopped short of direct military intervention. On Saturday, he said he was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/international\/article-911243\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">considering joining the Saudi strikes<\/a>.<br \/>Why the hesitation?<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">The explanations offered range from reluctance to become engaged in another major military campaign less than a month before the midterm elections to concern about weapons stocks depleted by the war in Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Saudi Arabia&#8217;s refusal to join the Abraham Accords<\/p>\n<p>Another possible explanation is Trump\u2019s frustration with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman\u2019s steadfast <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/middle-east\/abraham-accords\/article-897252\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">refusal to join the Abraham Accords<\/a>. Saudi normalization with Israel would have given Trump an important diplomatic prize before the elections.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">If this is indeed the case, then it fits into a pattern. In July, the US and Saudi Arabia signed a nuclear cooperation agreement, opening the door to a major commercial role for American companies. Trump then said he would not proceed unless the Saudis joined the Abraham Accords.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">You give, you get.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Saudi normalization with Israel has long been the Middle East\u2019s diplomatic holy grail.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu\u2019s former military secretary, Avi Gil, said in a long, revealing interview with Israel Hayom on Thursday that the desire to bring Saudi Arabia into the Abraham Accords helped explain Israel\u2019s restraint toward Hamas and Hezbollah in the run-up to October 7.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Israel wanted to avoid an escalation that could derail the normalization process. He said the two countries were \u201ccloser than people realize\u201d to a deal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">But Israeli action didn\u2019t scuttle the process. Hamas did that all on its own.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Since then, the Saudis have made clear \u2013 even as the Iranian threat loomed larger and normalization with Israel made good strategic sense in trying to create a new security architecture for the region \u2013 that without a pathway to a Palestinian state, they were not going to normalize.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">That leaves a familiar gap between strategic logic and political feasibility, since \u2013 with October 7 so fresh and raw \u2013 it is highly unlikely that any Israeli government in the foreseeable future would agree to a Palestinian state.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Israel and Saudi Arabia face threats from Iran and its allies. Both have an interest in preventing the Houthis from threatening shipping, airports, and regional stability. Those shared interests provide a strong argument for cooperation. They have not, however, proven enough to overcome the political obstacles to establishing an open relationship.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Further evidence of where Riyadh was looking for its regional security architecture came in August, when it signed a joint defense pact with Pakistan and Turkey. Rather than bringing its relationship with Israel into the open, Saudi Arabia was strengthening an alternative framework with two Muslim powers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">The pact\u2019s promise was sweeping: an attack on one would be considered an attack on all. So far, the response to the Houthi campaign has not matched that rhetoric. Turkey has reportedly begun providing defensive and technical assistance, but that is a long way from joining Saudi Arabia in striking the enemy attacking it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Signing this pact showed that Saudi Arabia \u2013 while interested in maintaining intelligence cooperation with Israel and keeping it discreet \u2013 was seeking far-reaching security arrangements elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p>Then an Omani pilot <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/international\/islamic-terrorism\/article-910544\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">planned to crash a flydubai plane<\/a> full of Israeli passengers into Ben-Gurion Airport, only to be thwarted by some brave and resourceful passengers and crew members, and Jerusalem got an unvarnished view of where it stands with the Saudis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Yes, the Saudis allowed a distressed plane full of Israeli passengers to land at a civilian-military airfield in Tabuk. And, yes, Saudi medical personnel cared for Israeli passengers. Both were consequential acts of assistance in a moment of acute danger.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">But Riyadh adamantly refused Israel\u2019s request to send its own aircraft to collect the passengers. A replacement flydubai plane brought them home.<\/p>\n<p>Cooperation, but to a point<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">This exposed the boundary between practical cooperation and public acceptance. Allowing an Israeli plane to pick up the passengers would be one gesture too far on the road to normalization: one which would have been staunchly opposed by much of the Saudi public and undoubtedly weaponized against the Saudis by the Iranians.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Whatever the precise calculations behind that refusal, the political message was clear: cooperation could proceed, but only so far.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Ten days later, Saudi Arabia\u2019s own airport was targeted, and all of a sudden it is looking for allies in its fight with the Houthis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">That attack inevitably led to speculation that this might bring Israeli-Saudi security cooperation into the open and lead to closer ties to combat a common threat. Weakening the Houthis, after all, would serve Israeli interests as well as Saudi ones. The group\u2019s hostility toward Israel is not exactly a secret.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">But shared enemies don\u2019t necessarily lead to joint military operations. Public Israeli involvement could carry political costs for Riyadh and provide ammunition for those seeking to portray the Saudi campaign as serving Israel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">The Saudi leadership would have to weigh those costs against the benefits of the assistance. Israel, in turn, would have to decide what risks it should take on the Saudis\u2019 behalf and what it could expect in return.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">While the airport attack does not guarantee a breakthrough between Israel and Saudi Arabia, it does force Riyadh to face this question: does it make sense to keep one of its potentially strongest regional partners at arm\u2019s length?<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">And for Israel, the question is a variation on Trump\u2019s transactional theme: How much should it give when the Saudis are still unwilling to publicly be seen taking?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"US President Donald Trump lives in a transactional foreign policy universe. You give, you get. You don\u2019t give,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":643428,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[285901,8954,85,46,80,87738,47,66318,43,1829,78,2896,2893],"class_list":["post-643427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-israel","tag-flydubai-attempted-hijacking","tag-houthis","tag-il","tag-israel","tag-israel-and-saudi-arabia","tag-mbs","tag-middle-east","tag-mohammed-bin-salman","tag-news","tag-riyadh","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-terrorist","tag-yemen"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/643427","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=643427"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/643427\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/643428"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=643427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=643427"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=643427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}