{"id":649812,"date":"2026-10-18T03:44:29","date_gmt":"2026-10-18T03:44:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/649812\/"},"modified":"2026-10-18T03:44:29","modified_gmt":"2026-10-18T03:44:29","slug":"spacexs-456-launch-gamble-could-unlock-a-massive-ai-opportunity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/649812\/","title":{"rendered":"SpaceX\u2019s 456-Launch Gamble Could Unlock a Massive AI Opportunity"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">SpaceX (SPCX) just dropped huge news for the space industry. The company is asking the Federal Aviation Administration for permission to launch as many as 456 Starship rockets every single year from its Starbase facility in South Texas. That&#8217;s up from just 25 launches currently allowed.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">But on Tuesday, the FAA announced it would be undertaking a comprehensive environmental impact statement on the proposal that involves as many as 912 landings annually. Sometimes it&#8217;s news like this that gets your attention as a SpaceX investor.  <\/p>\n<p>            More News from Barchart              <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The true story is, however, that SpaceX is taking a large risk that Starship will emerge as a high-frequency transportation vehicle. Once a party to some of these proposals receives a thumbs-up from the regulator, the company would significantly reduce the cost of putting satellites into orbit and have the potential to launch thousands more of them, as well as new lines of business in space-based AI computing.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">But the stock trades at a nosebleed valuation. Shares could plummet if the regulations are delayed or there is a technical glitch. A story with a ton of danger and great rewards, it requires patience and bravery.  <\/p>\n<p>            Morgan Stanley Sees Value in SpaceX Growth          <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">SPCX stock has been up 12% over the past 3 months despite sinking 9% over the last five days. But the valuation numbers are really concerning. SPCX currently trades at roughly 68 times trailing 12-month sales. The median price-to-sales ratio for the broader technology sector sits around 8 times. Even by the generous standards of high-growth tech, SpaceX is expensive.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">On a forward basis, Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas notes the stock trades at 30 times 2028 estimated earnings. That&#8217;s nearly double the median of 16 for big tech companies.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">However, when you adjust for SpaceX&#8217;s expected earnings growth rate, the picture changes. The stock&#8217;s price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio comes in at 0.3, well below the 0.5 median for large-cap companies. Jonas calls it one of the cheaper ways to play the space and intelligence economy.  <\/p>\n<p>     <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/1437dac3a80e1561c76555850d3ad2e5c902d3ee69d954654c18bd8fb0181660\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefit_w960%3Bquality_80%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fbarchart_com_477%2Feeab3c6f668a3377ce5de9ffa73a029c.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"\" height=\"457\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-1f8hkhu loader\"\/><\/a> www.barchart.com          The FAA News Is a Big Deal         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">This 456-launch proposal is not just about flying more rockets. It&#8217;s about fundamentally changing the economics of space. SpaceX currently has authorization for just 25 Starship launches per year. Starship has never flown more than five times in a calendar year, and the company has completed only three launches so far in 2026.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The proposal outlines a two-phase expansion. Phase one would allow up to 100 launches and 200 landings annually, with flights around the clock throughout the week. Phase two would raise the ceiling to 456 launches and 912 landings, limited to weekdays. The higher landing allowance reflects the possibility that both Starship&#8217;s upper stage and its Super Heavy booster could return to Texas.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">If Starship achieves rapid reusability, each launch could carry 60 Starlink V3 satellites, adding roughly 61 terabits per second of network capacity. At full scale, this could generate billions in recurring annual revenue.  <\/p>\n<p>       SpaceX Reports Strong Revenue Growth         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">SpaceX reported its first earnings as a public company on August 4, and the numbers were really impressive. Revenue hit $7.8 billion for the second quarter of 2026. That&#8217;s a 92% increase from the $4.1 billion reported in the same quarter last year. The company beat Wall Street&#8217;s consensus estimate of $6.72 billion by a wide margin. Not just that, Net loss came in at $541 million, an improvement of $467 million from the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA soared 191% to $3.5 billion.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Free cash flow remained negative at $15.96 billion for the quarter, driven by massive capital expenditures of $18.37 billion, mostly for AI infrastructure. Cash and cash equivalents stood at $93.5 billion.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">CEO Elon Musk said on the earnings call, &#8220;We&#8217;re making great progress developing a fully and rapidly reusable, reliable rocket with Starship.&#8221; Management did not provide formal guidance for the next quarter or fiscal year, which disappointed some investors.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Analysts currently project third-quarter revenue of $12.9 billion and earnings of $0.11 per share. For the full year 2026, the consensus estimate is $44.6 billion in revenue with $0.07 per share.  <\/p>\n<p>       What the Analysts Are Saying About SPCX Stock         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Wall Street is overwhelmingly bullish on SpaceX, though price targets vary wildly. Morgan Stanley&#8217;s Adam Jonas reiterated a Buy rating with a $300 price target. He wrote that SpaceX looks &#8220;cheap and getting cheaper&#8221; when growth is factored in.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Similarly, Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan upped his price target on the back of improving expectations for AI capacity and revenue, to $230 from $220. He estimates that at present, the figures for AI are still on the conservative side when compared to the other Wall Street projections.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Additionally, Raymond James analyst Brian Gesuale has the most bullish stance with a Strong Buy rating and target price of $800. He says there&#8217;s a change in the emphasis from the technical feasibility of Starship to its operational scale.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Overall, the consensus rating on SPCX is &#8220;Moderate Buy&#8221; with an average price target of $225. That implies roughly 44% upside from the recent levels.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">SpaceX is definitely not a stock for the faint of heart. The plan is ambitious, if not super-ambitious, to be launching 456 at the same time. Unfortunately, this is what investors have been accustomed to from Musk. The payoff if the company can do it could be huge. If not, this one&#8217;s no better.  <\/p>\n<p>   <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/265577e39f1ea9900382bdb94323f8716ea8938a3c66b1b0bfc6319a25e620a1\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefit_w960%3Bquality_80%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fbarchart_com_477%2Ff6129692dfdbe54f34f6947de9b2e92c.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"\" height=\"520\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-1f8hkhu loader\"\/><\/a> www.barchart.com          <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"> On the date of publication, Nauman Khan did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.barchart.com\/story\/news\/8097733\/spacexs-456-launch-gamble-could-unlock-a-massive-ai-opportunity?utm_source=yahoo&amp;utm_medium=syndication&amp;utm_content=footer_link\" data-ylk=\"slk:Barchart.com;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Barchart.com&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Barchart.com<\/a>  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"SpaceX (SPCX) just dropped huge news for the space industry. The company is asking the Federal Aviation Administration&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":649813,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[6638,114,357,184,268,13368,85,4141,13516,9445,46,2450,8553,9331,266,13517,4861,688,141,145,5615,13369,13370,5268,13518,270,13519],"class_list":["post-649812","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-space","tag-401k","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-economy","tag-finance","tag-financial-information","tag-il","tag-investing","tag-investment-tools","tag-investor","tag-israel","tag-market-news","tag-mortgage","tag-mutual-funds","tag-personal-finance","tag-quote","tag-real-estate","tag-retirement","tag-science","tag-space","tag-stock","tag-stock-research","tag-stock-valuation","tag-stocks","tag-suze-orman","tag-tax","tag-track-portfolio"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/649812","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=649812"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/649812\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/649813"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=649812"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=649812"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=649812"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}