{"id":660667,"date":"2026-10-29T13:40:15","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T13:40:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/660667\/"},"modified":"2026-10-29T13:40:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T13:40:15","slug":"ai-buildout-hits-snag-as-google-and-microsoft-hold-capex-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/660667\/","title":{"rendered":"AI buildout hits snag as Google and Microsoft hold capex forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sundar Pichai, CEO, Google and Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft.<\/p>\n<p>Denis Balibouse | Ruben Sprich | Reuters<\/p>\n<p>The past few quarters of hyperscaler earnings have been marked by ever-increasing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/07\/28\/hyperscalers-face-higher-capex-scrutiny-after-alphabet-report-panned.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">capital expenditure forecasts<\/a> as tech giants race to build out artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet what they describe as insatiable demand.<\/p>\n<p>At least for the moment, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/MSFT\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Microsoft<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/GOOGL\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alphabet<\/a> are telling a slightly different story. <\/p>\n<p>In their earnings reports Wednesday, both companies shared capex figures that came up shy of analysts&#8217; estimates. Microsoft <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/10\/28\/microsoft-msft-q1-earnings-report-2027.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">reduced<\/a> its capex forecast for the year to $170 billion from $175 billion, and Alphabet held its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/10\/28\/alphabet-googl-earnings-q3-2026.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">guidance<\/a> at $195 billion to $205 billion. <\/p>\n<p>The numbers suggest a slowdown is nowhere in sight, but they do represent another potential point of concern for the AI build-out. Shares of neoclouds <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/CRWV\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CoreWeave<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/NBIS\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nebius<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/IREN\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">IREN<\/a> all dropped after the reports, as did <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/ORCL\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Oracle<\/a>, which is one of the biggest spenders on AI infrastructure. <\/p>\n<p>Microsoft CFO Amy Hood said on the software company&#8217;s earnings call that third-party providers of graphics processing units had delays that will push out some available capacity until the first half of 2027. She didn&#8217;t provide names, but Microsoft relies on CoreWeave, IREN and Nebius, among others.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/10\/28\/alphabet-googl-earnings-q3-2026.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Anat Ashkenazi<\/a>, Alphabet&#8217;s finance chief, told analysts that outside computing power &#8220;came online only at the very end of Q3.&#8221; Alphabet shares tumbled about 10% in extended trading as the company missed on earnings and revenue and reported negative free cash flow of more than $9 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Plenty of Alphabet shareholders remain faithful.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We are pleased with what we see and what we heard, and trust management&#8217;s approach to their AI spending,&#8221; Chris Ballard, managing director of Check Capital Management, wrote in an email to CNBC. <\/p>\n<p>Investors will get a final read on hyperscaler capex for the quarter when <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/AMZN\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Amazon<\/a> reports results after the close Thursday. In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/META\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Meta&#8217;s<\/a> earnings <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/10\/21\/meta-earnings-q3-2026-live-updates.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">report<\/a> last week, the company said it expects full-year capex of $135 billion to $145 billion, raising the bottom of the range from $130 billion. Like with Alphabet, Meta shares sank as the company reported negative free cash flow. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/108477803-17932322811793232279-49294846118-1080pnbcnews.jpg\" alt=\"Free cashflow or AI capex? Markets don't know what they want, says Albion's Ware\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Delays from emerging neocloud partners have <a href=\"https:\/\/view.officeapps.live.com\/op\/view.aspx?src=https:\/\/cdn-dynmedia-1.microsoft.com\/is\/content\/microsoftcorp\/TranscriptFY24Q2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">occurred before<\/a> at Microsoft, but they&#8217;re more critical now as Anthropic gets set to go public. Anthropic counts on infrastructure from Amazon, Google and Microsoft for much of its computing needs, alongside capacity from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/SPCX\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SpaceX<\/a>, Lambda and Nscale, which <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/09\/nscale-ai-data-center-nvidia-raise.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">filed<\/a> to go public <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/09\/nscale-ai-data-center-nvidia-raise.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">in September<\/a> but hasn&#8217;t updated its prospectus in weeks.<\/p>\n<p>At times this year, Anthropic&#8217;s Claude assistant <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/02\/anthropic-claude-ai-outage-apple-pentagon.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">has been unavailable<\/a> due to climbing demand. Rival <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/OPENAI.FG\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">OpenAI<\/a>, which has said an initial public offering in 2027 is likely, is also in constant need of more capacity. <\/p>\n<p>One big challenge for the market is that the neoclouds require billions of dollars in outside capital to fuel their build-outs but don&#8217;t have investment-grade credit ratings. With interest rates rising and concerns about their debt loads mounting, lenders are pulling out of the market. <\/p>\n<p>Last week, analysts at Gartner <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/10\/19\/gartner-analyst-warns-about-ai-neccloud-build-out.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">shared with CNBC<\/a> the firm&#8217;s prediction that, by 2030, 80% of neocloud companies will either be absorbed or completely cease operations. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/NVDA\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nvidia<\/a>-backed neocloud Firmus, based in Australia, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/10\/09\/nvidia-ai-firmus-ipo-.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">withdrew plans<\/a> to go public earlier this month, despite boasting large usage commitments from Meta and OpenAI.<\/p>\n<p>None of that is to suggest the AI build-out is over, or even close to plateauing. <\/p>\n<p>Microsoft&#8217;s Hood said Wednesday that she sees capital spending accelerating in the first half of 2027 thanks to higher component costs and the delayed deliveries. As a group, hyperscaler capex is expected to top $1 trillion next year and, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-09-25\/goldman-sees-hyperscaler-ai-capex-rising-50-to-1-2-trillion\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">some estimates<\/a>, continue rising from there.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the third-quarter capex shortfall, investors cheered Microsoft&#8217;s report on Wednesday as the company beat earnings and revenue estimates, driven by 48% sales growth in its Azure cloud business.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We view the quarter as further validation of Microsoft&#8217;s AI-led growth opportunity,&#8221; Cantor analysts led by Thomas Blakey wrote in a Wednesday note to clients. They recommend buying Microsoft stock, and they pushed up their one-year price target to $630 from $608.<\/p>\n<p>WATCH: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/video\/2026\/10\/28\/this-could-end-up-being-googles-worst-earnings-reaction-as-a-public-company-says-bespokes-hickey.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Could be Google&#8217;s worst earnings reaction as a public company, says Bespoke&#8217;s Hickey<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/108476746-17932212271793221225-49292083008-1080pnbcnews.jpg\" alt=\"This could end up being Google's worst earnings reaction as a public company, says Bespoke's Hickey\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Sundar Pichai, CEO, Google and Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft. Denis Balibouse | Ruben Sprich | Reuters The&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":660668,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[345,1684,356,343,344,354,114,357,2767,3313,11304,85,145063,50373,144654,46,10809,355,50367,1677,228660,936,87068,193809,125,28315],"class_list":["post-660667","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-ai","tag-alphabet-class-a","tag-amazon-com-inc","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-breaking-news-technology","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-coreweave","tag-earnings","tag-enterprise","tag-il","tag-invesco-qqq-trust","tag-iren-ltd","tag-ishares-expanded-tech-software-sector-etf","tag-israel","tag-meta-platforms-inc","tag-microsoft-corp","tag-nebius-group-nv","tag-nvidia-corp","tag-openai-forge-global","tag-oracle-corp","tag-pacer-data-and-digital-revolution-etf","tag-space-exploration-technologies-corp","tag-technology","tag-technology-select-sector-spdr-fund"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/660667","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=660667"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/660667\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/660668"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=660667"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=660667"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=660667"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}