{"id":7404,"date":"2025-09-10T13:52:17","date_gmt":"2025-09-10T13:52:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/7404\/"},"modified":"2025-09-10T13:52:17","modified_gmt":"2025-09-10T13:52:17","slug":"politicians-love-comparing-nzs-economy-to-singapore-or-ireland-but-its-simplistic-and-misleading","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/7404\/","title":{"rendered":"Politicians love comparing NZ\u2019s economy to Singapore or Ireland \u2013 but it\u2019s simplistic and misleading"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Unveiling Amazon Web Services\u2019 long-awaited NZ$7.5 billion \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/political\/571774\/christopher-luxon-hypes-amazon-data-centre-opening\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">cloud region<\/a>\u201d \u2013 a cluster of local data centres \u2013 Prime Minister Christopher Luxon <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=jOOvihvCCp0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">specifically referenced<\/a> Ireland and Singapore as \u201ctwo economies we often look to for inspiration on investment and technology\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>This kind of comparison has been a familiar refrain in New Zealand politics. More than a decade ago, then prime minister John Key <a href=\"https:\/\/newzealandinc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/2016-09-27-Mood-of-the-Boardroom.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">imagined the country<\/a> as the \u201cSwitzerland of the South Pacific\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>Earlier this year, Luxon described his proposed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzte.govt.nz\/page\/invest-or-raise-capital-with-nzte\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Invest New Zealand<\/a> agency as being \u201cmodelled off the success of Ireland and Singapore\u201d, pitched as a \u201cconcierge\u201d service for large foreign investors.<\/p>\n<p>But based on my research on how big-tech cloud providers expand and dominate markets across the globe, I argue such comparisons are simplistic and misleading.<\/p>\n<p>Unlike Ireland, New Zealand does not sit at the junction of the European Union and the United States. And it is not a logistics-finance hub strategically perched on global shipping routes like Singapore. <\/p>\n<p>Rather, New Zealand is a distant, mid-sized economy whose digital sector has largely grown by meeting domestic demand rather than exporting at scale.<\/p>\n<p>The limits of comparison<\/p>\n<p>The comparisons suffer in deeper ways too. Singapore\u2019s success in capitalising on foreign investment has always rested on massive state-led investment and equity in infrastructure and firms. <\/p>\n<p>Sovereign wealth funds such as Temasek and GIC own majority stakes in airlines, banks, ports and telecommunications. Government planning also underpinned the famous Changi Airport and Jurong Industrial Estate \u2013 cornerstones of Singapore\u2019s global hub status.<\/p>\n<p>This is the opposite of the current New Zealand government\u2019s policy of shrinking the public sector and the country\u2019s lack of long-term infrastructure planning and spending.<\/p>\n<p>Ireland\u2019s path has been different again. It became the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ey.com\/en_ie\/insights\/government-public-sector\/how-is-irelands-digital-connectivity-vital-for-europes-transformation?utm_source\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">European gateway for big tech<\/a>, drawing in Amazon, Microsoft, Google and Meta through low taxes, EU membership and access to transatlantic data flows.<\/p>\n<p>The so-called \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/observer.com\/2024\/07\/us-big-tech-companiess-complicated-role-in-irelands-booming-economy\/?utm_source\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Double Irish<\/a>\u201d tax loophole allowed companies to funnel profits through Ireland. But beyond enjoying a tax haven, this foreign investment also created real jobs, industry clusters and export capacity. <\/p>\n<p>Amazon, Microsoft and Google did not simply book profits there; they built major European operations anchored in Dublin\u2019s \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/the-hottest-startups-in-dublin-in-2024\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Silicon Docks<\/a>\u201d \u2013 plots of cheap land with favourable tax status.<\/p>\n<p>Amazon Web Services\u2019 own expansion illustrates the point. Ireland and Singapore were its first cloud regions outside the US and were meant to take advantage of their unique political and economic geographies. Each was chosen because it provided a genuine hub: Dublin gave access to the EU market, Singapore to Asia.<\/p>\n<p>New Zealand, by contrast, is a latecomer. For nearly 13 years, much of its public and private digital needs have been met seamlessly out of Amazon Web Services\u2019 Sydney cloud region.<\/p>\n<p>The Auckland mystery \u2013 a warning<\/p>\n<p>Long before the Auckland cloud region went live, Amazon Web Services built substantial revenue from New Zealand markets, particularly the public sector. Company documents show that after its coordinated cloud region announcement with the Labour government in 2021, <a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.co.nz\/2025\/09\/02\/amazon-aborts-construction-of-west-auckland-data-centre\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">New Zealand revenues jumped<\/a> from $93.7 million in 2021 to $364.1 million in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>This near-300% increase was likely driven by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/national\/497352\/revealed-amazon-s-efforts-to-work-its-way-into-the-nz-healthcare-system\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">pandemic-era contracts<\/a> for critical infrastructure. Amazon provided cloud services for contact tracing, small business loans and Ministry of Health infrastructure, among other things.<\/p>\n<p>While Amazon has undoubtedly captured significant domestic value, the promised economic multipliers \u2013 jobs, exportable digital industries, global competitiveness \u2013 remain largely hypothetical.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the <a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.co.nz\/2024\/03\/11\/amazon-cloud-pays-barely-1m-tax-on-391m-revenues\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tax benefits to New Zealand are minimal<\/a>. Amazon Web Services books most of its local revenue through its Irish subsidiary, using inter-company \u201cservice fees\u201d to shift profits offshore and minimise tax liabilities, a longstanding practice.<\/p>\n<p>The Auckland development itself has been shrouded in mystery. The original 2021 announcement promised the first data centres would go live in 2024. Instead, the <a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.co.nz\/2024\/03\/08\/silver-lining-to-amazons-stalled-plan-for-a-nz-cloud-region\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">project was delayed<\/a>, with little clarity about construction sites or the scale of local employment.<\/p>\n<p>When Amazon finally declared the region open last week, again it offered little transparency on construction progress, workforce numbers, or the scale of its footprint. For New Zealand\u2019s largest ever digital infrastructural investment, the lack of clarity is striking.<\/p>\n<p>Sovereignty, regulation and risk<\/p>\n<p>The Ireland and Singapore analogies obscure more than they reveal. New Zealand is not an anchor point in global trade and data flows, and Amazon Web Services\u2019 delays, lack of clarity and tax avoidance on domestic consumption make that plain. <\/p>\n<p>The Auckland cloud region will likely cut the time it takes for data to travel between users and servers, enable some local innovation, and support jobs. But the coalition government needs to be honest about what it represents and the appropriate way to respond.<\/p>\n<p>The economic advantages of Singapore and Ireland are not just hard to reproduce, they reflect very different sets of political commitments that have turned those countries into rare winners in the global race to the bottom to attract foreign capital.<\/p>\n<p>Ireland has been willing to compete as a tax haven <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/apples-tax-bust-up-in-ireland-is-a-warning-to-big-tech\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">despite repeated reprimands<\/a> from the EU, and Singapore\u2019s success depends on a tightly controlled political system that prioritises stability and growth over open democratic debate. <\/p>\n<p>Neither represents a path that can, or should, be easily transplanted elsewhere. <\/p>\n<p>What New Zealand needs, and what is already underway in many quarters, is a sustained debate over sovereignty, regulation and the <a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.co.nz\/2024\/08\/09\/crowdstrike-or-cloud-strife-why-cloud-monopolies-are-a-risk-to-society\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">risk foreign monopolies<\/a> pose to our digital landscape.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Unveiling Amazon Web Services\u2019 long-awaited NZ$7.5 billion \u201ccloud region\u201d \u2013 a cluster of local data centres \u2013 Prime&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7405,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[114,184,85,46],"class_list":["post-7404","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-il","tag-israel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7404","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7404"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7404\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7405"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7404"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7404"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7404"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}