{"id":99518,"date":"2025-10-26T21:11:19","date_gmt":"2025-10-26T21:11:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/99518\/"},"modified":"2025-10-26T21:11:19","modified_gmt":"2025-10-26T21:11:19","slug":"like-javier-milei-trump-also-cant-stop-argentinas-peso-from-falling-will-the-u-s-get-paid-back","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/99518\/","title":{"rendered":"Like Javier Milei, Trump also can\u2019t stop Argentina\u2019s peso from falling \u2014 \u2018Will the U.S. get paid back?\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Argentina\u2019s peso continues to sell off despite a U.S. rescue package, ahead of a key election that could trigger another steep bout of depreciation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">On Friday, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/quote\/USDARS:CUR\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:currency slipped 0.4%;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">currency slipped 0.4% <\/a>against the U.S. dollar, which now trades at nearly 1,492 pesos. The exchange rate has already hit a record low and is below its level before the Trump administration announced a <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2025\/10\/09\/treasury-argentina-bailout-20-billion-scott-bessent-milei\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:$20 billion currency swap;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">$20 billion currency swap<\/a> agreement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">While news of that lifeline briefly triggered a sharp rally earlier this month, the peso has since given up those gains and has tumbled by more than 40% against the greenback so far this year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">That\u2019s despite Argentine President Javier Milei\u2019s efforts to secure an IMF rescue and defend the peso by draining the country\u2019s foreign-exchange reserves.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The financial turmoil comes as voters have become disillusioned with Milei\u2019s libertarian economic program, which has drawn praise from Trump and other Republicans. While he has made <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2025\/01\/25\/javier-milei-free-market-shock-therapy-argentina-economy-moodys-upgrade-gdp-growth-outlook\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:major progress;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">major progress <\/a>in curbing deficits and inflation, growth has slowed, and Argentina\u2019s so-called crawling peg to the dollar is seen as unsustainable.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Recent regional elections dealt Milei a major defeat, raising odds that he will devalue the peso. And congressional elections this Sunday are expected to further go against his party, putting additional pressure on the currency.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Trump has defended his rescue amid growing pushback from supporters who say it doesn\u2019t align with his \u201cMake America Great Again\u201d agenda.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u201cThey have no money, they have no anything, they\u2019re fighting so hard to survive,\u201d Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One last weekend.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has defended aid to Argentina as necessary to prevent a \u201cfailed state\u201d and called the currency swap line \u201ca bridge to a better economic future for Argentina, not a bailout.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">But U.S. intervention has so far failed to arrest the peso\u2019s slide to fresh record lows, even as market participants have reportedly seen signs that the Treasury Department is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-10-22\/argentina-peso-snaps-five-day-losing-streak-amid-fx-intervention-mh22mk28\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:selling hundreds of millions of dollars;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">selling hundreds of millions of dollars<\/a> to prop it up.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Wall Street has taken a dim view of Argentina\u2019s prospects and the Trump administration\u2019s ability to keep Milei\u2019s economic reforms on track.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, said in a <a href=\"https:\/\/realeconomy.rsmus.com\/market-minute-in-argentina-bailout-conditionality-and-collateral-are-absent\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:blog post on Wednesday;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">blog post on Wednesday<\/a> that the currency intervention has failed and predicted a 15%-30% plunge for the peso is highly likely if voters reject Milei again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">He pointed out that the U.S. is also trying to arrange additional loans for Argentina from American banks, which are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/argentina-bailout-banks-collateral-721bc2b5?gaa_at=eafs&amp;gaa_n=AWEtsqezF3e6hj_zUumgM4KaHhkYzg4ft_301dgzjAo_Yru9LgkyL_qs6x89zu_Nsfc%3D&amp;gaa_ts=68fbdb4a&amp;gaa_sig=_8ou-xzHfIySFPrs32zTVtjPr9hvtsNeU_TcPvmBSYdbkGSuBPwcW0Yj5z9PUDOF9rHiz0QY1gCGDNpSBd1SXQ%3D%3D\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:reportedly seeking collateral or guarantees;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">reportedly seeking collateral or guarantees<\/a> that they will be made whole again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u201cGiven that the Milei government has already exhausted $20 billion in aid from the International Monetary Fund, it is necessary to ask the question: Will the U.S. get paid back?\u201d Brusuelas said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">He said Buenos Aires will probably devalue the peso and possibly default on its debt, noting that the country is a \u201cserial defaulter\u201d that has tried to renegotiate its foreign debt nine times since 1816.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">In fact, Argentina has dollar-denominated debts coming due soon, requiring at least $18 billion in repayments next year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">In a note on Tuesday, Mauricio Monge, senior Latin America economist at Oxford Economics, said the U.S. currency lifeline would be most effective if it was front-loaded and immediate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">But it\u2019s not clear that\u2019s the case, especially since Trump has said further aid would depend on the increasingly unlikely scenario that Milei\u2019s allies win on Sunday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u201cIf history has taught us anything about Argentina, it is that past bailouts, when political support wanes, have proven futile,\u201d he added. \u201cAs Milei\u2019s approval ratings decline and political support fades, the likelihood of reimposing capital controls and currency depreciation increases, prompting depositors to shift to dollars.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">This story was originally featured on <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2025\/10\/25\/argentina-bailout-javier-milei-trump-peso-devaluation-default-election\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Fortune.com;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Fortune.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Argentina\u2019s peso continues to sell off despite a U.S. rescue package, ahead of a key election that could&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":99519,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[9877,114,66103,66102,184,85,46,26738,65350,40042],"class_list":{"0":"post-99518","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-argentina","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-currency-intervention","11":"tag-currency-swap","12":"tag-economy","13":"tag-il","14":"tag-israel","15":"tag-peso","16":"tag-president-javier-milei","17":"tag-u-s-dollar"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99518","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99518"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99518\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/99519"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99518"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99518"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99518"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}