“His call for the Iranian people to prepare to take control underscores that the ambitions here are more akin to regime change,” Yacoubian said, also noting that according to intelligence assessments, Iran’s nuclear programme was “still not close to weaponising”.
Trump had repeatedly claimed to have obliterated Tehran’s nuclear programme in June 2025 strikes, and the US military did not mention nuclear-related sites in a list of targets it had struck on Saturday local time.
Progress in negotiations?
Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi, who has been mediating talks between Tehran and Washington, said on Friday local time that Iran had agreed to cease stockpiling nuclear material needed to make a weapon – a major concession he said would have eliminated the nuclear threat.
“If you cannot stockpile material that is enriched then there is no way you can actually create a bomb,” Albusaidi told CBS.
“If the ultimate objective is to ensure forever that Iran cannot have a nuclear bomb, I think we have cracked that problem through these negotiations,” the foreign minister said.
Trump’s assertion that Iranian missiles could “soon” strike the US is called into question by a 2025 Defence Intelligence Agency assessment that said Tehran did not have intercontinental ballistic missiles then, and that it could take until 2035 for it to develop 60 such weapons.
Tehran possesses short- and medium-range ballistic missiles with ranges that top out at about 3000km, according to the US Congressional Research Service.
Aside from nuclear and missile issues, Trump cited other sources of tension with Iran, including the 1979 takeover of the US embassy in Tehran, attacks by Iranian proxy groups on US forces and international shipping in the region, as well as Iran’s deadly crackdown on protesters.
Proxy attacks on American forces were not currently ongoing, and Trump had hailed a ceasefire last year as having halted attacks on shipping by Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels.
And while Trump had repeatedly threatened military intervention if Iran killed protesters, he pulled back from ordering strikes last month at the height of Tehran’s crackdown on dissent.
– Agence France-Presse