Composite of political party leaders.

The Ipsos Issues Monitor survey showed Labour rated most capable of managing seven of the top 10 concerns.
Photo: RNZ

Concern about fuel prices has surged 17 points to become the fourth-biggest issue for New Zealanders, with Labour rated best able to tackle the problem.

The Ipsos Issues Monitor survey showed Labour rated most capable of managing seven of the top 10 concerns, despite a dearth of policy proposals – including on fuel.

The results will be quite a blow to a government that has prioritised supply-side responses to the crisis, though Labour’s declining ratings on four of the top five concerns will be some comfort to National.

Labour still leads on 9 of the top 20 concerns, while National leads on four – and they are equal on two (drug/alcohol abuse; population/overcrowding).

Ratings of the government remained at 4.2 out of 10 – the same rating achieved in February and just three points up from the record-low 3.9 reported in November.

A graph showing the rating of government performance.

Pollsters’ rating of government performance.
Photo: Supplied / Ipsos

The quarterly survey asked New Zealanders what they thought were the top three most important issues facing the country today, and which party was best able to manage them.

A total 1001 New Zealanders aged 18+ were surveyed between 15 and 20 May, with results weighted by age, gender and region and a maximum margin of error of +/-3.1% at a 95 percent confidence level.

The study had no external sponsors or partners and was initiated by Ipsos.

The top five concerns

Cost of living remained the top concern, gaining two points to 61 percent, with Labour rated most capable of managing it – although both major parties dropped two points compared to the previous survey, Labour down to 33 percent and National to 26 percent.

The Greens gained 2 points to 8 percent, with NZ First on 6 percent, ACT on 4 percent, and Te Pāti Māori on 1 percent; 12 percent were not sure and 9 percent did not respond.

A graphic showing which political party pollsters thought could best manage an issue.

A graphic showing which political party pollsters thought could best manage an issue.
Photo: Supplied / Ipsos

Healthcare remained the second-biggest concern, rising 1 point to 39 percent, with Labour gaining 1 point to 38 percent and National remaining steady at 25 percent.

National regained its lead over Labour on the third-rated concern – the economy – up 1 point to 33 percent while Labour dropped four points to 28 percent. The Greens gained a statistically significant three points to 7 percent – again beating NZ First (6 percent) and ACT (4 percent).

Concern about the economy remained steady at 33 percent.

Fuel – rated 9th-equal in the previous survey in February – shot up 17 points to 26 percent, becoming the fourth-most pressing concern, with Labour rated at 28 percent – a 2-point fall – compared to National’s 25 percent, down 1.

Housing was the 5th-biggest concern, falling four points to 21 percent, with Labour (29 percent, down 5) rated most capable – although National narrowed the gap, gaining 3 points to 27 percent, and a statistically significant four-point bump for the Greens to 9 percent.

Other trends

Crime/Law and order – one of the few concerns National has consistently outrated others on, and previously in the top five – fell a statistically significant four points to 16 percent, overtaken not only by fuel but by unemployment (19 percent, steady) and poverty/inequality (17 percent, up 1 point).

A graphic showing which political party pollsters thought could best manage an issue.

A graphic showing which political party pollsters thought could best manage an issue.
Photo: Supplied / Ipsos

The Greens gained on all of the top-five concerns, as well as unemployment, (up 2 to 7 percent), Poverty/inequality (up 4 to 12 percent), Education (up 1 to 7 percent) and immigration (up 3 to 7 percent).

New Zealand First has been pushing immigration as an election issue, and at 20 percent (up 2 points) was rated just below National’s 21 percent, (down 2), gaining on Labour’s lead at 27 percent (down 1).

Of those who chose immigration as a top concern, 20 percent said NZ First was best able to manage it, but the matter remained a low priority for New Zealanders – at 13th, down 2 points to 6 percent.

National also narrowed the gap on Education, gaining 1 point to 31 percent – just behind Labour which continued to slide, down 2 points to 32 percent.

Labour leader responds

Asked about the poll findings on Morning Report, Labour leader Chris Hipkins said Labour would be waiting until closer to the election before it decides what to do on petrol as an “awful lot could” happen in the meantime and it wasn’t able to commit to anything so far out.

Hipkins said the Budget on Thursday was the government’s “last chance” to show New Zealand it understood how difficult the cost of living is for Kiwis.

He said Labour would take some time to go through the Budget once it’s released.

The party would be releasing its policies for the election in its “own good time” but said there would “certainly” be some policy announcements in June.

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