Labour would get 42 seats and the Greens would get 12 seats.
The poll assumes Te Pāti Māori or ex-Te Pāti Māori MPs retain their seats, giving that group six seats.
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has gained support as preferred Prime Minister, rising 1 point to 20.8%. Labour leader Chris Hipkins has dropped marginally, falling 0.3 points to 20.6%.
NZ First leader Winston Peters is down 1.4 points to 8.5%, Act leader David Seymour is up 3.7 points to 7.7% and Green co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick is down 2.2 points to 4.1%.
Hipkins has favourability of -2%%, unchanged from the last poll. Luxon’s favourability has lifted 4 points to -10%.
The poll has a margin of error on 3.1% and was conducted between Sunday 02 and Thursday 06 November 2025.