After the oil shock: What economists now expect on inflation, GDP and interest rates – Inside Economics
That’s a good question. While there’s no shortage of speculation about what might happen, it’s all limited by…
Survey shows investors turn away from housing, plus … are Aussie bank profits too big? – Inside Economics
Be wary of overly dramatic headlines. The numbers will tell the best story. That’s because when it comes…
An OCR alternative…could KiwiSaver be used to control inflation? – Inside Economics
I was reminded of option (2) when Matthew Hooton recently (January 30, 2026) mentioned how the New Zealand…
RBNZ to reveal path for rate rises … here’s why we shouldn’t panic – Inside Economics
When it is released at 2pm, the full MPS with new forecasts and a new projected interest rate…
Inside Economics: Is AI to blame for pushing unemployment rate higher? Plus Aussies headed for downturn
You have described employment as a lagging indicator both going into and coming out of recessions, but what…
‘National’s worst fears’: Why it’s back to the future as pre-election rate hikes loom – Inside Economics
Owen V. A: Thanks, Owen. The answer is yes. Here’s what political journalist Vernon Small wrote in the…
Inside Economics: GDP or not GDP? That is the last question for 2025
They say nothing about inequality/distribution of wealth, natural resources available, mitigation factors for climate change, perceived happiness, and…
Why fixed mortgage rates are headed up already after Reserve Bank cuts – Inside Economics
Banks’ answer is that their rates had already “priced in” the OCR reductions. But they need to produce…
The unavoidable reason New Zealand will need to tax capital – Inside Economics
Terry A: Great idea Terry. Let’s take another look at that speech last month by Treasury’s chief strategist,…
Inside Economics: The real reason economists are confident the recovery is coming
“I saw your recent columns where you mentioned ‘green shoots’ – a term I try to avoid but…
Inside Economics: Is the brain drain keeping unemployment down? Plus, green shoots ahead
Regards, Gil Laurenson A: Good question Gil. I’ve also tended to assume the numbers leaving New Zealand must…
Inside Economics: Is the housing wealth effect a mass delusion? Plus CGT debate unleashed
My first house in 1986 was three times my salary and there were plenty of jobs. Now it…