{"id":130546,"date":"2025-11-12T02:14:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T02:14:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/130546\/"},"modified":"2025-11-12T02:14:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T02:14:08","slug":"coalition-would-hold-power-but-labour-gains-points-after-capital-gains-tax-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/130546\/","title":{"rendered":"Coalition would hold power but Labour gains points after capital gains tax – poll"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"COALITION<\/p>\n

\nTogether, the coalition parties would have a majority with 62 seats, to the opposition’s 60.
\nPhoto: RNZ\n<\/p>\n

A new Curia-Taxpayers Union poll shows the coalition holding on to power – but Labour gaining 2 points following its capital gains tax announcement<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, National’s Christopher Luxon rose in both the preferred prime minister and net favourability scores – while Labour’s Chris Hipkins’ scores were largely unchanged.<\/p>\n

Labour: 33.3 percent, up 2.1 (42 seats)
\nNational: 30.2 percent, up 0.6 (39 seats)
\nGreens: 9.2 percent, down 2.8 (12 seats)
\nNZ First: 9.1 percent, down 1.5 (12 seats)
\nACT: 8.6 percent, up 2.0 points (11 seats)
\nTe P\u0101ti M\u0101ori: 3.3 percent, down 1.1 (6 seats)<\/p>\n

Together, the coalition parties would have a majority with 62 seats, to the opposition’s 60.<\/p>\n

For parties outside Parliament, NZ Outdoors and Freedom was on 1.5 percent, TOP was on 1.2 percent, New Conservatives on 1.2 percent, and Vision NZ on 0.4 percent.<\/p>\n

There were 5.6 percent undecided voters and 3.2 percent of respondents refused the vote question.<\/p>\n

The results presume Te P\u0101ti M\u0101ori would retain their electorate seats.<\/p>\n

The explusion of two of the party’s MPs on Monday – which was after the polling period of 2 to 6 November – throws significant doubt on those assumptions.<\/p>\n

On the preferred prime minister stakes, Luxon regained the top spot – just – with a one-point boost overshadowing the minor drop for his main rival Hipkins.<\/p>\n

Preferred prime minister:<\/p>\n

Christopher Luxon: 20.8 percent – up 1 point
\nChris Hipkins: 20.6 percent – down 0.3 points
\nWinston Peters: 8.5 percent, down 1.4
\nDavid Seymour: 7.7 percent, up 3.7
\nChl\u00f6e Swarbrick: 4.1 percent, down 2.2<\/p>\n

However, those are rankings based on voters’ preference, and the net favourability score – which asks voters views on leaders – found Hipkins still outranking Luxon and Winston Peters overshadowing them both.<\/p>\n

Peters’ net favourability was 2 percent – a five-point increase – which lifted him above Hipkins’ score of -2 percent, which held steady. Luxon gained four points to -10 percent, while David Seymour gained 16 points to -11 percent.<\/p>\n

The poll surveyed 1000 eligible voters and was weighted for demographics, with a margin of error of 3.1 percent at the 95 percent confidence interval.<\/p>\n

Curia is a long-running and established pollster in New Zealand. It recently resigned its membership from the Research Association New Zealand (RANZ) industry body.<\/p>\n

Polls compare to the most recent poll by the same polling company, as different polls can use different methologies. They are intended to track trends in voting preferences, showing a snapshot in time, rather than be a completely accurate predictor of the final election result.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Together, the coalition parties would have a majority with 62 seats, to the opposition’s 60. Photo: RNZ A…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":130547,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[48,47,42,43,49,46,44,45,40,38,41,39],"class_list":{"0":"post-130546","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-headlines","8":"tag-audio","9":"tag-current-affairs","10":"tag-headlines","11":"tag-news","12":"tag-podcasts","13":"tag-public-radio","14":"tag-radio-new-zealand","15":"tag-rnz","16":"tag-top-news","17":"tag-top-stories","18":"tag-topnews","19":"tag-topstories"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/130546","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=130546"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/130546\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/130547"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=130546"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=130546"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=130546"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}