{"id":153477,"date":"2025-11-25T20:40:14","date_gmt":"2025-11-25T20:40:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/153477\/"},"modified":"2025-11-25T20:40:14","modified_gmt":"2025-11-25T20:40:14","slug":"ghana-could-become-a-victim-of-its-own-success-as-borrowing-costs-raise-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/153477\/","title":{"rendered":"Ghana could become a victim of its own success, as borrowing costs raise concerns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n        According to the country\u2019s central bank, Ghana\u2019s inflation rate has fallen faster than projected; as a result, real borrowing cost has remained elevated, inadvertently harming the economy.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        The central bank is now considering an interest rate cut, following its previous record-level alteration.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        In September, the bank&#8217;s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) cut its main interest rate by a record 350 basis points to 21.5%.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        At the time, Ghana\u2019s inflation had dipped from 11.5% in August to a single-digit rate of 9.4% in September.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        The rate drop was 3 months ahead of schedule as the country had projected that it would have a <a href=\"https:\/\/africa.businessinsider.com\/local\/markets\/ghana-races-toward-single-digit-inflation-in-stunning-economic-rebound\/k53nnn0\" id=\"50234315-8669-41f9-82a1-b2e5f1f71da2\" data-link-role-code=\"open_new_tab\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">single-digit inflation<\/a> rate by the end of the year.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        This swift recovery appears to have also stunned the financial sector, as Johnson Asiama, governor of the Central Bank, recently disclosed during his introductory remarks at the rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting that aligning the reduction in the interest rate with the inflation rate presents a significant challenge.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        In the past two sessions, the Bank of Ghana has lowered its policy rate as inflation has decreased from crisis levels.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        The next rate decision is anticipated on Wednesday, as seen on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/africa\/bank-ghana-weighs-rate-cut-inflation-cools-faster-than-expected-2025-11-24\/\" id=\"43660c28-c624-4cf2-b76e-3b6256307238\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Reuters<\/a>.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        According to the central bank governor, consumer inflation was expected to settle between 4 and 6% by year&#8217;s end before stabilizing around the goal band of 8% with a margin of error of two percentage points on either side in 2026.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        This indicated that Ghana was about to enter what could turn out to be a multi-year phase of price stability.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        &#8220;As inflation declines faster than projected, real interest rates have risen sharply. Staff analysis shows scope for gradual easing, but the balance must preserve credibility and avoid undermining the disinflation gains,&#8221; he said.\n    <\/p>\n<p>                    <img width=\"650\" height=\"450\" alt=\"Ghana cedis [PunchNewspapers]\" title=\"Ghana cedis [PunchNewspapers]\" class=\"image lazyloaded imgWithMetaData\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf8,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg'%20width%3D'650'%20height%3D'450'%20data-ring-placeholder%3D'1'%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\" data-original=\"https:\/\/ocdn.eu\/pulscms-transforms\/1\/DYdktkpTURBXy9hYjllNmI1NmIzOWEwNzYwNmY0OTY3MmNkM2NjNTM2Yy5qcGeRlQLNAorNAcLCww\" fetchpriority=\"low\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>        Ghana\u2019s debt recovery<\/p>\n<p>\n        Earlier this month, Ghana disclosed that it was looking to come out of its debt program with the International Monetary Fund on its own terms.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        Cassiel Ato Forson, Ghana&#8217;s finance minister, claims that the nation has so far complied with the IMF&#8217;s fiscal responsibility framework standards.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        According to the finance minister&#8217;s forecasts, the West African nation may have a primary budget surplus of 1.5% of its GDP by 2026.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        <a href=\"https:\/\/africa.businessinsider.com\/local\/markets\/ghana-stays-on-track-with-imf-targets-as-it-prepares-to-end-its-bailout-strong\/763sw1v\" id=\"b86b9057-e659-4ec2-90f8-2b4da25b98e4\" data-link-role-code=\"open_new_tab\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ghanaian officials have pledged<\/a> to uphold a high level of fiscal management in the wake of this estimate, particularly as the country approaches the conclusion of its three-year IMF bailout agreement.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        According to the forecast numbers, Ghana&#8217;s overall budget deficit is expected to decrease from an estimated 2.8% of GDP this year to 2.2% of GDP in 2026.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        Additionally, spending is expected to increase by 20% to 302.5 billion cedis, while revenue and grants are expected to increase by 18% to 268.1 billion cedis ($24.4 billion).\n    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"According to the country\u2019s central bank, Ghana\u2019s inflation rate has fallen faster than projected; as a result, real&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":153478,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":["post-153477","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153477","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=153477"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153477\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/153478"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=153477"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=153477"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=153477"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}