{"id":158793,"date":"2025-11-28T23:38:26","date_gmt":"2025-11-28T23:38:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/158793\/"},"modified":"2025-11-28T23:38:26","modified_gmt":"2025-11-28T23:38:26","slug":"dollar-retreats-kiwi-leaps-as-rate-direction-diverges","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/158793\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar retreats, kiwi leaps as rate direction diverges"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The dollar was on the back foot on Thursday, with trade thinned ahead of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday. <\/p>\n<p>Javier Ghersi | Moment | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>The dollar was on the back foot on Thursday, with trade thinned ahead of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday and investors turning to the coming year where a series of U.S. interest rate cuts are priced in.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/JPY=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">yen<\/a>\u00a0drifted 0.4% higher to 155.87 per dollar and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/EUR=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">euro<\/a>\u00a0clambered above $1.16 in morning trade.<\/p>\n<p>A resurgent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/NZD=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">New Zealand dollar<\/a>\u00a0skipped out to a three-week peak of $0.5714 following a hawkish shift at the central bank and strong economic data.<\/p>\n<p>The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut rates on Wednesday but said that a hold was discussed and flagged that the easing cycle was likely over, with markets shifting to price in an interest rate hike by December next year.<\/p>\n<p>That contrasts with more than 90 basis points of cuts priced for the U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/federal-reserve\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Federal Reserve<\/a> between now and the end of 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Data showed New Zealand retail sales rose in the third quarter, while business confidence jumped to its highest in a year.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Kiwi green shoots are really starting to mushroom quite quickly now,&#8221; said Westpac strategist Imre Speizer.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/AUD=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Australian dollar<\/a>\u00a0has also been gaining after a hotter-than-expected inflation reading on Wednesday added to the case that the easing cycle there is also finished.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/AU10Y-AU\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Australia&#8217;s 10-year rate<\/a>\u00a0of 4.48% is the highest in the G10, which analysts point out makes the currency look cheap.<\/p>\n<p>At $0.6526 the Aussie is in the middle of a channel where it has traded for about 18 months. Kit Juckes at Societe Generale, however, notes it has more closely tracked China&#8217;s yuan than interest rates lately &#8211; which could support further gains as the yuan has climbed sharply in recent sessions.<\/p>\n<p>Pushback from China&#8217;s central bank fixing mechanism steadied the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/CNY=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">yuan<\/a>\u00a0at the open on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/GBP=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sterling<\/a>\u00a0inched up to its highest since late October at $1.3256 and was on course for the largest weekly rise since August as Britain&#8217;s budget alleviated some concerns about the national finances.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.DXY\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">dollar index<\/a>\u00a0was flat at 99.433, having retreated from a six-month high hit a week ago to head for its largest weekly drop since July.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The market will soon be thinking about the big trades for 2026, and I strongly doubt that &#8216;long USD&#8217; will be one of them,&#8221; said Spectra Markets&#8217; President Brent Donnelly.<\/p>\n<p>He said if White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett &#8211; an advocate for rate cuts &#8211; were appointed the next Federal Reserve chair it ought to be negative for the dollar.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Once we get past Friday, all the corporate and real money USD demand is done.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The dollar was on the back foot on Thursday, with trade thinned ahead of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":158794,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[104736,4232,3750,2339,138,553,3737,3748,22687,59732,41417,104734,111,104737,139,69,47696,104735,3749],"class_list":["post-158793","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-australia-10-year-bond","tag-australian-dollar","tag-australian-dollar-us-dollar-fx-spot-rate","tag-breaking-news-markets","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-currency-markets","tag-dxy-us-dollar-currency-index","tag-eur-usd","tag-forex-markets","tag-gbp-usd","tag-money-markets","tag-new-zealand","tag-new-zealand-dollar-us-dollar-fx-spot-rate","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-u-s-dollar","tag-us-dollar-chinese-renminbi-fx-spot-rate","tag-usd-jpy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158793","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=158793"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158793\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/158794"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=158793"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=158793"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=158793"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}