When a Falcon 9 lifted off from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California late Nov. 16, it did something that was unprecedented a decade ago but unremarkable today: it landed the first stage, in this case on a pad next to where it lifted off.<\/p>\n
SpaceX noted that the launch, carrying the Sentinel-6B Earth science satellite, was the 500th reflight of an orbital booster, something no other company has achieved. In the reusability race, the score is SpaceX 500, Everyone Else 0.<\/p>\n
The rest of the world, though, will soon get on the scoreboard. Blue Origin became the second company to land an orbital-class booster three days earlier, when a New Glenn first stage touched down on the company\u2019s ship Jacklyn in the Atlantic Ocean. It was the vehicle\u2019s second flight.<\/p>\n
Blue Origin CEO Dave Limp said in an interview that the first stage may be refurbished and reused for the next New Glenn launch, in early 2026. That will depend on both how long it takes to turn the booster around as well as when the next booster will be completed. \u201cIt\u2019s a bit of a tossup on which one we use next,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
Others will follow. Several Chinese companies are preparing test flights of vehicles whose boosters are intended to land and be reused, often using approaches very similar to SpaceX. Rocket Lab is finishing development of Neutron. The company expects Neutron\u2019s first stage to also be reused, although the company doesn\u2019t plan to recover the stage on its inaugural flight in 2026.<\/p>\n
With booster reuse on the verge of becoming widespread, the focus now is on something that has looked as improbable as landing a booster: reusing the entire launch vehicle. This is again an area that SpaceX has taken the lead in with its massive Starship vehicle.<\/p>\n
\u201cStarship is truly meant to be a rapidly reusable vehicle,\u201d Kiko Donchev, vice president of launch at SpaceX, said during the Economist Space Summit in Orlando on Nov. 5.<\/p>\n
Once fully up and running, he said it could cut the cost of launching a payload by a factor of 100 while increasing the tonnage launched by a similar magnitude.<\/p>\n
\u201cThat is how you take a leap in what\u2019s going to happen in low Earth orbit, on the moon and eventually on Mars,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
Starship, though, is still in development. While several test flights have reused the Super Heavy booster, it has yet to reuse, or even recover intact, the Starship upper stage. That could happen early next year once SpaceX starts flying the upgraded version 3.<\/p>\n
This time, though, the gap between SpaceX and other launch providers won\u2019t span a decade. Stoke Space, a startup, is working on Nova, a vehicle whose two stages are designed for reuse. It is far smaller than Starship \u2014 its payload capacity is several tons, compared to Starship\u2019s 100 tons \u2014 but could be flying as soon as next year.<\/p>\n
Stoke Space CEO Andy Lapsa, who followed Donchev on stage at the Economist conference, made similar comments on the importance of full reusability. \u201cThe reason rapid reusability is so important is because, first of all, it fundamentally changes the economics of launch,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
\u201cAlmost equally important is that it fundamentally changes the availability you have to get to orbit,\u201d he added, avoiding current limits like the production of single-use upper stages. \u201cOnce you start reusing the second stage, you completely remove that constraint.\u201d<\/p>\n
If full reusability can achieve the visions that SpaceX and Stoke Space are dreaming of, it could enable new markets that once seemed economically unfeasible, from microgravity manufacturing to space-based solar power. \u201cThat\u2019s the moment when, I think, you\u2019ll see commercialization of space really start to scale,\u201d Lapsa said.<\/p>\n
It\u2019s unlikely those two companies will have the field to themselves. Blue Origin, for example, has been studying a reusable second stage for New Glenn under an effort called Project Jarvis.<\/p>\n
In this second round of the reusability race, it seems unlikely SpaceX will rush out to a 500-launch lead.<\/p>\n