{"id":177273,"date":"2025-12-10T13:31:10","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T13:31:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/177273\/"},"modified":"2025-12-10T13:31:10","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T13:31:10","slug":"japanese-government-warns-megaquake-could-kill-300000-and-halve-gdp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/177273\/","title":{"rendered":"Japanese government warns megaquake could kill 300,000 and halve GDP"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Your support helps us to tell the story<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iCTyfe\">From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it&#8217;s investigating the financials of Elon Musk&#8217;s pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, &#8216;The A Word&#8217;, which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iCTyfe\">At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iCTyfe\">The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.<\/p>\n<p>Your support makes all the difference.Read more<\/p>\n<p>Japan on Tuesday issued its first high-level warning that a so-called \u201cmegaquake\u201d could follow the previous night\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/bulletin\/news\/japan-earthquake-video-tsunami-warning-b2880664.html\" title=\"Moment powerful 7.5-magnitude earthquake hit Japan\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">7.5-magnitude offshore tremor. <\/a><\/p>\n<p>The authorities cautioned that the coming days would be critical for coastal regions facing an elevated risk of aftershocks.<\/p>\n<p>The Japan Meteorological Agency said there was an increased possibility of an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/bulletin\/news\/japan-earthquake-tsunami-warning-megaquake-advisory-b2880513.html\" title=\"Why Japan issues \u2018megaquake\u2019 advisories after significant earthquakes\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">earthquake of magnitude 8 or stronger<\/a> along the Japan Trench and the Chishima Trench, marking its first activation of a top-tier alert since the system was introduced in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>The alert covers a broad stretch of the Pacific coast from Hokkaido to Chiba.<\/p>\n<p>Authorities urged the public to review evacuation routes, secure heavy furniture and prepare emergency supplies, stressing that communities should remain \u201cvigilant through next week\u201d even in the absence of any evacuation order.<\/p>\n<p>The earthquake on Monday struck at around 11.15pm local time, about 50 miles off the coast of Aomori, and generated tremors strong enough to produce \u201clong-period ground motions\u201d, slow swinging waves that left high-rise buildings swaying violently. <\/p>\n<p>Some parts of Aomori recorded shaking severe enough that people in upper floors struggled to stand, NHK reported.<\/p>\n<p>Tsunami warnings were issued for parts of Aomori, Iwate and Hokkaido before being downgraded and lifted on Tuesday morning. Waves of up to 70cm were observed in several coastal locations.<\/p>\n<p>Officials said while a large aftershock was possible, it wasn\u2019t certain.<\/p>\n<p>The warning came months after the Cabinet Office released a major update on its planning for a long-feared \u201cmegaquake\u201d scenario, projecting that in a worst-case scenario, a massive offshore rupture could kill about 300,000 people and cause damage equivalent to half of the country\u2019s GDP.<\/p>\n<p>The report estimated that a magnitude 9 quake would result in damages worth \u00a5270 trillion (\u00a31.3 trillion), a sharp increase from earlier projections. The change reflects inflationary pressures as well as new terrain and flood data showing the potential impact could go further inland than previously thought.<\/p>\n<p>In January, Japan\u2019s earthquake investigation panel had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/asia\/japan\/japan-megaquake-advisory-meaning-earthquake-tsunami-b2681319.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">increased the probability of a megaquake happening <\/a>within the next 30 years to over 80 per cent.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2203908120.jpeg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"People observe a minute of silence to remember the victims of the 2011 earthquake, tsunami and nuclear disaster in Rikuzentakata city of Iwate prefecture, Japan, on 11 March 2025\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE\"\/>People observe a minute of silence to remember the victims of the 2011 earthquake, tsunami and nuclear disaster in Rikuzentakata city of Iwate prefecture, Japan, on 11 March 2025 (AFP via Getty)<\/p>\n<p>A megaquake is an earthquake of magnitude 8 or higher, capable of causing more damage than a typical quake, especially when it occurs close to the surface or in densely populated regions.<\/p>\n<p>One is expected to strike along the Nankai Trough, a 900km seabed zone where the Philippine Sea Plate is subducting under the Eurasian Plate. A magnitude 9 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/earthquake\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">earthquake<\/a> along this trough could spark massive tsunamis and the collapse of hundreds of buildings.<\/p>\n<p>The impacts on the population would be particularly severe if the quake were to strike late at night during winter, with most people inside their homes. <\/p>\n<p>The Nankai Trough, off Japan\u2019s southwestern coast, is known to produce major earthquakes every 100 to 150 years. The last major events were in the 1940s, and seismologists say strain has been building steadily since.<\/p>\n<p>In 2011, a magnitude 9 quake struck off northeastern Japan, triggering a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/tsunami\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tsunami<\/a> that killed more than 15,000 people and caused a meltdown at the Fukushima Daiichi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/nuclear-power-plant\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">nuclear power plant<\/a>, the worst nuclear disaster since Chernobyl.<\/p>\n<p>Last year, Japan issued its first-ever advisory warning of a \u201crelatively higher chance\u201d of a megaquake in the Nankai region following a 7.1-magnitude tremor near the edge of the trough.<\/p>\n<p>Japan, one of the most earthquake-prone countries in the world, has heavily invested in early warning systems and infrastructure upgrades, but officials say more preparation is needed to protect communities from a disaster of this scale.<\/p>\n<p>Additional reporting by agencies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Your support helps us to tell the story From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":177274,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":["post-177273","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/177273","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=177273"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/177273\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/177274"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=177273"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=177273"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=177273"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}