{"id":205766,"date":"2025-12-28T22:57:08","date_gmt":"2025-12-28T22:57:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/205766\/"},"modified":"2025-12-28T22:57:08","modified_gmt":"2025-12-28T22:57:08","slug":"aussie-house-prices-will-double-by-2030-in-many-areas-modelling-shows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/205766\/","title":{"rendered":"Aussie house prices will double by 2030 in many areas, modelling shows"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1089135 wp-image-1089133\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1089133\" data-capiid=\"e4d64745f0187fdf699853e7ae343089\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"Auburn Health Family\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1089133\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The prices home buyers pay now could pale in comparison to what they\u2019ll pay in just five years\u2019 time. Picture: Tim Hunter.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Australia is on the cusp of a property divide like never before, with explosive figures warning values in many suburbs are poised to double by 2030 even as other areas brace for huge price drops.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The bombshell findings come from PropTrack modelling, which projected what homes across every capital city and suburb would cost by 2030 if recent growth patterns returned. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The picture is terrifying for anyone still trying to crack the property market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">REA Group economist Angus Moore said prices weren\u2019t done climbing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">He noted that if prices continued to grow at the same rate as the past five years, buyers would pay about 61 per cent more in Sydney, 68 per cent more in Brisbane and 75 per cent more in Adelaide by 2030.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Melbourne prices would be 17 per cent higher, Perth prices would go up by 66 per cent and in Hobart and Canberra the rise would be about 40 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE:<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/lisa-wilkinson-peter-fitzsimons-settle-on-15m-castle\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=daily_telegraph&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> Lisa Wilkinson\u2019s new $15m \u2018castle\u2019 after cash loss<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1089135 wp-image-1089127\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1089127\" data-capiid=\"43e7db1ca9ffe58ce259774fbccb6908\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"clarke\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1089127\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">High stakes auctions have put continued pressure on home buyers to pay more. Picture: Sam Ruttyn<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realcommercial.com.au\/news\/racing-car-circuit-for-sale-for-10m\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=daily_telegraph&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Chris Hemsworth to move on Aus \u2018billionaire playground\u2019 <\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Mr Moore said the modelling was not a forecast but highlighted \u201chow strong the past five years have been, particularly for what were once more affordable markets\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>SYDNEY<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">If you think Sydney property is expensive now, brace yourself: the average house price is on track to hit $2.4m by 2030 \u2014 nearly $1m more than today \u2014 if the recent five-year pattern repeats.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">PropTrack\u2019s suburb-by-suburb breakdown shows some areas are careening toward price doubles, blowing Sydney\u2019s affordability crisis into uncharted territory.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE:<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/inside-story-on-sale-of-cricket-icon-michael-clarkes-20m-mansion\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=daily_telegraph&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> Michael Clarke\u2019s $20m bid after sad cancer update<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1089135 wp-image-1089128\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1089128\" data-capiid=\"64cb5d4f60ebf903b1e834b5b79fb242\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1089128\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sydney units, which are in greater supply, were likely to underperform houses.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/exroyal-andrews-wild-demand-after-being-forced-out-of-home\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=daily_telegraph&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Former Prince Andrew\u2019s shock demand in eviction<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Another half-decade like 2020\u20132025 would leave Sydney houses more than double Melbourne prices \u2014 despite the cities having similar populations. Sydney prices would also be almost $1m higher than in Brisbane, even with the Olympics-fuelled growth expected there.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Units are projected to rise by only about $80,000 over the next five years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Mr Moore said Sydney growth came from a cocktail of chronic undersupply, booming population growth, strong employment, and cashed-up upgraders armed with fresh equity.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Suburbs on track to double include Sylvania Waters, Waverley, Warrawee, and southwest pockets such as Denham Court, Oakdale and Leppington.<\/p>\n<p>MELBOURNE<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">In Melbourne, it\u2019s the family-friendly suburbs, not the blue-chip enclaves, poised to boom.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">PropTrack\u2019s modelling showed Lower Plenty, Diamond Creek, Beaconsfield, Romsey and Mentone outperforming blue chip Toorak, where the median house price is currently about $4.71m.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Toorak is tipped to gain $220,000, but outer-suburban pockets could see jumps of $350,000 or more.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/australian-suburbs-where-house-prices-are-falling-despite-rate-cuts\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=daily_telegraph&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Down $50k: Unexpected suburbs defying home price growth<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1089135 wp-image-1089129\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1089129\" data-capiid=\"8cabf2d6fbb58e27368f34a52f535c5a\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1089129\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Prices could rise above $1m across many Melbourne suburbs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">More than 50 new suburbs are on track to join Melbourne\u2019s million-dollar club within the five-year period, including Taylors Hill, Berwick, Reservoir, Altona North and Heidelberg Heights.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Buyers\u2019 advocate Emily Wallace said the shift reflected families chasing space. \u201cNot necessarily first-home buyers, but home buyers wanting a yard for the kids.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Melbourne\u2019s median dwelling price, based on sales of townhouses, houses and units, was projected to rise beyond $1m by 2030.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Mr Moore said Melbourne\u2019s slower growth was the result of faster home building.<\/p>\n<p>BRISBANE AND GOLD COAST<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Queensland is set for the most eye-watering increases of all.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The typical home price is on track to soar 84 per cent to $1.53m by 2030 if the past five years repeat.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1089135 wp-image-1089130\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1089130\" data-capiid=\"b09dea4c95f1653ca161d9eac800d114\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"D BNE Story Ferry CBD Runrise\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1089130\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Brisbane has already become Australia\u2019s most expensive capital after Sydney and more growth would see the market pull even further ahead of most of the country.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Some suburb prices could double, particularly across Logan, Wide Bay and Central Queensland.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Twelve of the state\u2019s current cheapest markets are projected to have prices near $1m by 2030. Logan\u2019s Kooralbyn is one of the standouts: its units could leap from a $291,000 median to $946,000, a rise of 225 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Queensland prestige suburbs were projected to have extreme rises: Surfers Paradise houses would cost an average of $9m in five years, while in Mermaid Beach it would be $6.4m. Prices in Brisbane suburb New Farm would be $5.26m.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Prestige agent Russell Rollington said $9m for Surfers Paradise was \u201cambitious but possible\u201d. He cited a recent $7m off-market sub-penthouse sale, which was more than double its 2020 price.<\/p>\n<p>ADELAIDE<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">According to the report, if history repeats, Adelaide\u2019s median house price could increase from its current $841,000 median to a whopping $1.464m, based on the 75 per cent growth it has demonstrated over the past five years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Those looking to buy a unit will also need a significantly larger deposit if unit prices increase by the 64 per cent they have in the past five years. The median unit price would go from the current $573,000 to an eye-watering $938,000.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1089135 wp-image-1089131\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1089131\" data-capiid=\"6b4dda7062f1cae075e311e844362e3d\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"Supplied Editorial Aerial view of Adelaide CBD with office buildings. Picture: Supplied&#10; by Knight Frank\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1089131\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Adelaide was once one of the most affordable cities, but it has flipped into one of the more expensive.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Adelaide houses would be the third-most expensive in the nation with a median of $1.47m, behind Sydney at $2.4m and Brisbane at $1.54m.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Homeowners in Adelaide\u2019s northern suburbs look set to be the biggest winners.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Another 209 per cent increase \u2013 the growth seen there over the past five years \u2013 would take Davoren Park\u2019s median to $1.578m.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Elizabeth North and Elizabeth Downs houses weren\u2019t far behind, with prices up 197 per cent and 193 per cent respectively.<\/p>\n<p>HOBART<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">About half of Hobart\u2019s suburbs would have $1m median house prices by 2030 if five-year growth trends repeated. They included Dodges Ferry and Rokeby, among others.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The citywide median house price in Hobart would be $1m and the median unit price would be $738,000.<\/p>\n<p>DARWIN<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Darwin house prices would average $756,000 by 2030 and Darwin unit prices would average $451,000.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Territory home prices are expected to surge by up to 107 per cent by 2030 if the pandemic price boom is replicated.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The top performer of 2030 was expected to be the Muirhead house market, with 107 per cent growth across five years and the median house price jumping from $730,000 to $1.512m, based on trends since the pandemic boom.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1089135 wp-image-1089132\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1089132\" data-capiid=\"ebee3c6fb24296ef0ddb5532d80a686e\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1089132\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">REA Group economist Angus Moore said more housing supply was needed to moderate prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Meanwhile, Dundee Beach would likely see the average cost of a house hit $564,000, up 66 per cent from the current median of $340,000.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The prices home buyers pay now could pale in comparison to what they\u2019ll pay in just five years\u2019&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":205767,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":["post-205766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205766","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=205766"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205766\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/205767"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=205766"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=205766"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=205766"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}