{"id":222654,"date":"2026-01-08T04:50:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-08T04:50:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/222654\/"},"modified":"2026-01-08T04:50:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-08T04:50:09","slug":"think-society-is-in-decline-research-gives-us-some-reasons-to-be-cheerful","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/222654\/","title":{"rendered":"Think society is in decline? Research gives us some reasons to be cheerful"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Talk to a random member of the public and they\u2019re likely to say that people\u2019s behaviour is getting worse. From <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cq8z8kdd8zvo\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">brazen shoplifting<\/a>, to listening to music out loud on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/uk-news\/2025\/aug\/26\/people-have-forgotten-common-courtesy-what-do-people-think-of-playing-music-out-loud-on-public-transport\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">public transport<\/a>, to violence against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itv.com\/watch\/news\/retail-workers-face-abuse-in-the-run-up-to-christmas\/s7hfp3p\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">retail workers<\/a>, there are plenty of reasons we might feel bleak about other people.<\/p>\n<p>This perception is backed up by research: a <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41586-023-06137-x\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">study published in June 2023<\/a> found that people in over 60 countries believe that basic decency is declining. A 2025 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2025\/03\/12\/almost-half-of-americans-say-people-have-gotten-ruder-since-the-covid-19-pandemic\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">poll<\/a> of 9,600 Americans found that 46% believed that rudeness is overall increasing, whereas only 9% found it was decreasing compared to pre-pandemic levels.<\/p>\n<p>But people\u2019s perception can be inaccurate. In my research, I investigate how accurate people\u2019s perceptions about <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/0022022118767574\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">other people are<\/a>, the implications of inaccurate <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jesp.2018.07.002\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">perceptions<\/a>, and what happens when those <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/19485506241263887\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">misperceptions are corrected<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>And it\u2019s clear that there are some misperceptions at play here. If we look at people\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.taylorfrancis.com\/books\/mono\/10.4324\/9781315622545\/psychology-human-values-gregory-maio\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">values<\/a>, those abstract ideals that guide our behaviour, there are reasons to be positive about society.<\/p>\n<p>In a <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/1073191121998760\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2022 study<\/a> of 32,000 people across 49 cultural groups, the values of loyalty, honesty and helpfulness ranked highest, while power and wealth ranked lowest. The results offer little support for claims of moral decline. An <a href=\"https:\/\/rudnev.shinyapps.io\/Basic_Values\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">interactive tool<\/a>, developed by social scientist Maksim Rudnev using data from the European Social Survey, shows that the pattern remained consistent between 2002-23 across over 30 European countries.<\/p>\n<p>Further studies show people\u2019s values are broadly <a href=\"https:\/\/psycnet.apa.org\/fulltext\/2018-66320-001.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">similar<\/a> across over 60 countries, education levels, religious denominations and gender (there are exceptions of course). That is, there is substantial overlap between the responses between both groups.<\/p>\n<p>Even the values of 2,500 <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/19485506241263887\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Democrats or Republicans<\/a> in the USA in 2021-23, or of 1,500 <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/bjso.12359\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Leave and Remain voters<\/a> of the UK Brexit referendum in 2016-17, are remarkably similar. This suggests an alternate narrative to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kcl.ac.uk\/news\/uks-sense-of-division-reaches-new-high-as-culture-war-tensions-grow-study-finds\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">perceptions<\/a> of countries being divided and polarised.<\/p>\n<p>One limitation of these findings is that they are based on people\u2019s self-reports. This means these results can be inaccurate, for example because people wanted to portray themselves positively. But what about people\u2019s actual behaviour?<\/p>\n<p>Good citizens<\/p>\n<p>Quite a few studies suggest that most people are actually behaving morally. For example, when <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1037\/amp0000469\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">researchers analysed<\/a> actual public conflicts recorded by CCTV, they found that in nine out of ten conflicts a bystander intervened (in cases where bystanders were present). These findings, from 2020, were similar across the Netherlands, South Africa and the UK.<\/p>\n<p>People intervene in <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/bjso.12703\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">knife<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/mannheim-mayor-praises-taxi-driver-who-blocked-attack\/a-71828480\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">terrorist attacks<\/a>, even when they put <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cdxr4qn6d66o\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">themselves in danger<\/a>. While these cases are rare, they demonstrate that many people are willing to help even under extreme circumstances.<\/p>\n<p>In less dramatic situations we can also observe that people are considerate of others. For example, a 2019 study found that in 38 out of 40 countries investigated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/doi\/abs\/10.1126\/science.aau8712\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">lost wallets<\/a> were, on average, more likely to be returned if they contained a bit of cash rather than no cash, and even more likely to be returned when they contained a fair bit of cash. This is likely because finders recognised that the loss would be more harmful to the owner of the wallet.<\/p>\n<p>In another <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/09567976231184887\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">experiment<\/a> (2023), 200 people from seven countries were given US$10,000 (NZ$17,500) with almost no strings attached. Participants spent over US$4,700 on other people and donated US$1,700 to charity.<\/p>\n<p>But what about changes over time? It might be that people 50 or 100 years ago behaved more morally. There are not many studies that systematically track behaviour change over time, but one study found that Americans <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1037\/bul0000363\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">became slightly more cooperative<\/a> between the 1950s and the 2010s when interacting with strangers.<\/p>\n<p>Why misperceptions persist<\/p>\n<p>Why do quite a few people still believe that society is in moral decline? For one thing, news outlets tend to focus on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/full\/10.1080\/1461670X.2018.1423632\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">negative<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/sf\/article\/101\/1\/506\/6372946?login=false\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">events<\/a>. Negative news is also <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41562-023-01538-4\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">more likely<\/a> to be shared on social media. For example, numerous studies noticed that when disasters strike (<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/0002716205284677\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">hurricanes<\/a>, earthquakes), many media stations report panic and cruelty, even though people usually cooperate with and <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.tics.2020.05.006\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">support each other<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, people who hold more extreme political views \u2013 on either the left or the right \u2013 are more likely to post online, as are <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/i-investigated-millions-of-tweets-from-the-kremlins-troll-factory-and-discovered-classic-propaganda-techniques-reimagined-for-the-social-media-age-237712\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bots from Russia<\/a> and elsewhere. In other words, what we see on social media is by no means representative of the population.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, none of this denies that a minority of people can cause serious harm, or that some aspects of public life, such as online abuse of children, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/society\/2025\/dec\/11\/online-child-sexual-abuse-surges-by-26-percent-in-year-as-police-say-tech-firms-must-act\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">may be worsening<\/a>. Further, these trends do not necessarily reflect how the average person behaves or what they value.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"A young woman and older woman smiling at a table outdoors\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/file-20251211-56-fae8u7.jpg\" \/>People still value helpfulness and honesty. <a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/www.shutterstock.com\/image-photo\/being-kind-nice-joyful-woman-smiling-1298861614\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Dmytro Zinkevych\/Shutterstock<\/a><\/p>\n<p>It matters if people are overly pessimistic about others. People who wrongly believe that others care <a href=\"https:\/\/commoncausefoundation.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/CCF_survey_perceptions_matter_full_report.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">more about selfish values<\/a> and less about compassionate ones are, on average, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.frontiersin.org\/journals\/psychology\/articles\/10.3389\/fpsyg.2019.00559\/full\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">less likely to volunteer or vote<\/a>. This is not surprising: why invest your time in people you think would never return the favour?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/full\/10.1177\/01461672231192384\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Numerous experiments<\/a> have found that showing people that others share, on average, similar values and beliefs to their own, can make them more <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/19485506241263887\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">trusting and hopeful<\/a> for the future. Talking to others, be it friends, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/0146167214529799\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">people you only know loosely<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bps.org.uk\/psychologist\/why-you-should-talk-strangers\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">strangers<\/a>, can make us realise that other people are mostly friendly, and it can also make us feel better.<\/p>\n<p>Volunteering, joining local groups or attending neighbourhood events can be a good idea: <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1037\/bul0000298\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">helping others<\/a> makes us <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10664-023-10293-z\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">feel better<\/a>. Finally, reading positive news stories or <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0284438\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">focusing on other people\u2019s kindness<\/a> can also help our outlook.<\/p>\n<p>In a nutshell, the evidence suggests that moral decline is not happening, even if there are examples of some bad behaviour on the rise. If we all were to stop talking to other people assuming they would mean us harm, cease to go the extra mile for other people and so on, there is a risk we all become more self-centred and decline would eventually happen. Luckily, we, as a society, can influence our own fate.<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"The Conversation\" height=\"1\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer-when-downgrade\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/1767847809_388_count.gif\" style=\"border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/paul-hanel-423108\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Paul Hanel<\/a>, Senior Lecturer, Department of Psychology, <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-essex-1291\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">University of Essex<\/a>.\u00a0This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/think-society-is-in-decline-research-gives-us-some-reasons-to-be-cheerful-268834\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Talk to a random member of the public and they\u2019re likely to say that people\u2019s behaviour is getting&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":222655,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":["post-222654","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/222654","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=222654"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/222654\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/222655"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=222654"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=222654"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=222654"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}