{"id":236357,"date":"2026-01-16T13:01:24","date_gmt":"2026-01-16T13:01:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/236357\/"},"modified":"2026-01-16T13:01:24","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T13:01:24","slug":"why-greenlands-vast-natural-resources-wont-necessarily-translate-into-huge-profits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/236357\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Greenland\u2019s vast natural resources won\u2019t necessarily translate into huge profits"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The US is sabre-rattling over Greenland once again. The vast island\u2019s natural resources are back on the agenda, a year after then-US national security advisor Michael Waltz announced: \u201cThis is about critical minerals. This is about natural resources.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/topics\/greenland-4062\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Greenland<\/a> is endowed with both fossil fuels and critical raw materials. It possesses at least 25 of the 34 raw materials <a href=\"https:\/\/denmark.representation.ec.europa.eu\/news\/aftale-med-gronland-om-baeredygtige-rastoffer-2023-11-30_da\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">considered critical<\/a> by the European Union. <\/p>\n<p>The EU\u2019s 2024 Critical Raw Materials Act seeks to improve European supply security of these, and both Trump and the EU want to weaken Chinese dominance in the trade. Meanwhile, vast amounts of oil are found offshore across eastern and western Greenland.<\/p>\n<p>The value of these resources is hard to estimate as the prices of oil and critical raw materials fluctuate wildly. Like with <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/what-the-us-strike-on-venezuela-could-mean-for-global-oil-prices-272858\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Venezuela\u2019s oil<\/a>, it will take an enormous amount of money to build the infrastructure needed to mine the natural resources in Greenland. Mining and fossil fuel projects are capital-intensive, requiring large upfront investments with long lead times before projects yield profits. <\/p>\n<p>Outside its capital Nuuk, there is almost no road infrastructure in Greenland and limited deep-water ports for large tankers and container ships.<\/p>\n<p>Around the world, private mining and fossil fuel corporations can exploit public infrastructure such as roads, ports, power generation, housing and specialist workers to make their operations profitable. In Greenland, huge capital investment would be required to extract the first truckload of minerals and the first barrel of oil.<\/p>\n<p>As such, the government faces a classic dilemma. Let private multinationals extract but lose the lion\u2019s share of revenues? Or insist on state ownership but struggle to find the capital and state capacity to enable extraction.<\/p>\n<p>Mining, past and present<\/p>\n<p>Greenland\u2019s mineral riches have been known about for some time. In April 2025, Danish state broadcaster DR aired a documentary about how Denmark had historically siphoned off profits from a cryolite mine in Greenland. <\/p>\n<p>The programme led to a major <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/apr\/13\/greenland-documentary-forces-danes-to-confront-their-colonial-heritage\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">political and media crisis<\/a>, with some believing it challenged perceptions of Greenland being financially dependent on Denmark. Minerals are a prominent but sensitive topic in Greenland\u2019s relationship to the rest of the world.<\/p>\n<p>Foreign companies have tried to set up viable mining industries in Greenland for decades, with little to show for it. Indeed, contrary to US President Donald Trump\u2019s assertions, American corporations have long had the opportunity to enter Greenland\u2019s mining sector. The capital intensity twinned with extremely harsh climactic conditions mean that, so far, no firm has begun commercial mining activities.<\/p>\n<p>Greenland\u2019s natural resources minister, Naaja Nathanielsen, <a href=\"https:\/\/danwatch.dk\/kaempe-dansk-kovending-groenlandsk-minister-indgaar-nyt-samarbejde-om-kritiske-mineraler\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">said in 2025<\/a> that she wanted mining to become a \u201cvery good, stable supplement\u201d to the country\u2019s overwhelming dependence on the fisheries industry.<\/p>\n<p>Yet in 2021 Greenland\u2019s new socialist Inuit Ataqatigiit government <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2025\/mar\/05\/greenland-mining-energy-transition-minerals-environmental-laws-uranium-rare-earth-toxic-waste-investor-state-dispute-settlement-isds-aoe\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">banned uranium mining<\/a> on pollution grounds. Australian company Energy Transitions Minerals (ETM) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sermitsiaq.ag\/erhverv\/kuannersuit-etm-har-opgjort-erstatningskrav-til-76-milliarder\/636628\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sued Greenland and Denmark<\/a> in 2023 for 76 billion kroner (\u00a38.9 billion), equivalent to almost four times Greenland\u2019s GDP.<\/p>\n<p>            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/711682\/original\/file-20260109-55-aek6rp.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"a campaigner holds up an anti-uranium flyer in greenland in the run-up to the 2021 election.\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/file-20260109-55-aek6rp.jpg\" class=\"native-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>              Uranium? No thank you. The campaign in the run-up to the 2021 Greenland election was ultimately successful.<br \/>\n              <a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/epaimages.com\/search.pp?flush=1&amp;multikeyword=uranium%20greenland&amp;startdate=&amp;enddate=&amp;autocomplete_City=&amp;metadatafield5=&amp;autocomplete_Country=&amp;metadatafield44=&amp;autocomplete_Person=&amp;metadatafield39=\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">EPA\/Emil Helms DENMARK OUT<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The mining company claimed to have been robbed of future profits after its uranium project at Kuannersuit\/Kvanefjeld was terminated. <\/p>\n<p>Danish courts have struck down most of ETM\u2019s claims as baseless and there has been a report of concerns ETM could <a href=\"https:\/\/noah.dk\/nyheder\/myndighedernes-forsvarsskrifter?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR0x1von90Om6gdyoIUjpk5ix34pMjVs6l2fHRQsIM0Vneu5GThOkBz5eg0_aem_j8vojutBbylU-5e3TK9ieg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">declare bankruptcy<\/a> and thereby potentially avoid paying the large legal fees. <a href=\"https:\/\/etransmin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/ETM-Summary-of-dispute-and-SoC-Eng-FINAL.pdf#page=2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">In a statement<\/a>, ETM said its subsidiary GM \u201cworked in good faith for over a decade, in close cooperation with the Greenlandic and Danish governments\u201d. It added that both governments had used GM to promote Greenland as a safe destination for mining investors.<\/p>\n<p>But <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/journals\/business-and-politics\/article\/climate-obstruction-and-capital-accumulation-by-feigned-victimization-tc-energy-and-the-political-economy-of-investorstate-dispute-settlement\/5D816ABF04724452EFE1524463ED01B2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">research in 2025<\/a> labelled similar behaviour \u201cfeigned victimisation\u201d. Generally, this is where corporations perceive or position themselves victims of unfair processes rather than powerful participants concerned with profits.<\/p>\n<p>      Read more:<br \/>\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/greenland-is-rich-in-natural-resources-a-geologist-explains-why-273022\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Greenland is rich in natural resources \u2013 a geologist explains why<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Drilling in the Greenlandic crust would reverberate in Copenhagen as Greenland has a mining profit-sharing agreement with Denmark. As part of the gradual transfer of autonomy from Denmark, Greenland now retains ownership over its natural resources. <\/p>\n<p>However, Denmark provides an annual block grant of 3.9 billion kroner (around half of Greenland\u2019s state budget) to support the domestic economy, which is overwhelmingly comprised of fisheries. Denmark will cut its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.europarl.europa.eu\/RegData\/etudes\/BRIE\/2025\/769527\/EPRS_BRI(2025)769527_EN.pdf#page=4\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">block grant<\/a> by 50% of mining profits, meaning essentially mining profits are shared 50-50 between the two up to the value of the block grant.<\/p>\n<p>Recently, the Australian-American corporation <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mining.com\/critical-metals-to-build-pilot-plant-in-greenland\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Critical Metals<\/a> received construction approval for a permanent office for its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.criticalmetalscorp.com\/projects\/project-tanbreez\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tanbreez project<\/a> to supply rare earth minerals, including heavy rare earth elements, in southern Greenland. <\/p>\n<p>The following day, mining company <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/01\/08\/-greenland-critical-minerals-mining-amaroq-us-government.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Amaroq declared<\/a> that the US is considering investing in its mining projects in southern Greenland through EXIM, the US Export-Import Bank. If the state loan is approved, it will be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mining.com\/critical-metals-in-line-for-120m-us-loan-to-fund-greenland-rare-earth-project\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Trump\u2019s first<\/a> to an overseas mining project.<\/p>\n<p>A recent executive order from Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.canarymedia.com\/articles\/clean-energy-supply-chain\/us-critical-minerals-2025-trump\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">earmarked US$5 billion<\/a> (\u00a33.7 billion) to support mining projects critical for national security. This demonstrates the close relationship between the extractive industries and military activity.<\/p>\n<p>Fossil fuel production is less likely to happen any time soon. In 2021, for environmental reasons Greenland\u2019s government banned fossil fuel exploration and extraction. A parliamentary majority still <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/greenlands-fossil-fuel-ban-is-up-in-the-air-after-recent-election-252071\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">favours the ban<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>With volatile oil and gas prices and the same climactic and infrastructural challenges as for other natural resources, fossil fuel production in Greenland is implausible even in the event of a full US takeover.<\/p>\n<p>There are many reasons why the Trump administration might want to dominate the Arctic, not least to gain relative power over Russia and China. But natural resource extraction is unlikely to feature centrally.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s more, the US already has military bases in Greenland, following a defence agreement with Denmark. As such, it\u2019s more likely that recent US moves are yet another chapter in the return of the country\u2019s imperialist ambitions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The US is sabre-rattling over Greenland once again. The vast island\u2019s natural resources are back on the agenda,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":236358,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[273,111,139,69,147],"class_list":["post-236357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-environment","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/236357","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=236357"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/236357\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/236358"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=236357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=236357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=236357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}