{"id":251913,"date":"2026-01-26T03:21:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T03:21:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/251913\/"},"modified":"2026-01-26T03:21:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-26T03:21:09","slug":"productivity-puzzle-what-will-keep-new-zealands-green-shoots-growing-dr-jacqueline-rowarth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/251913\/","title":{"rendered":"Productivity puzzle: What will keep New Zealand\u2019s green shoots growing? \u2013 Dr Jacqueline Rowarth"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"\">\n         This is far<br \/>\n         preferable to the alternative but needs something more.\n        <\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">That something is growth \u2013 otherwise the green shoots that have been welcomed will wither on the vine.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Ensuring that the economy continues to grow requires ongoing productivity gains.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Economist Cameron Bagrie is clear in his explanations: \u201cThe agriculture sector is consistently a 2%-per-year productivity story. The problem is that the decade average for the rest of the economy is 0.3%.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Agriculture fits with the biological metaphor of green shoots and has been doing its best.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Remember Covid? Remember post-Covid? Actually, remember pre-Covid?<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Bagrie has the data.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">The question for the country is, how can agriculture do even better?<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Productivity is about output per unit of input, such as hours (labour), or land and buildings (capital).<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Inputs such as fertiliser and seeds assist in increased production per hectare, and new technologies assist in production per hour and per hectare.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">The challenge for New Zealand farmers is that most are already advanced in using the tools that are appropriate for their systems.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">They are also adept at considering where and how they can change their system to be more productive, resilient and economically viable.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">This thinking is behind the upsurge in dairying and land-use change consents in the South Island.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Arable farmers have been struggling for several years and are now evaluating increased integration with dairy farming.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">In some cases, this will mean more dairy cows, with a consequent decrease in chemical use as grass replaces crops, and a decrease in potential nitrogen leaching from soil organic matter to waterways \u2013 dairying means decreased cultivation of the soil.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Keeping pasture cover means nitrogen uptake from the soil by plants continues.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Per hectare, milk production also feeds more people their indispensable amino acids for fewer greenhouse gases than cereals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Listen to Jamie Mackay interview Dr Jacqueline Rowarth on The Country below:<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">In the productivity stakes, the arable farmers wouldn\u2019t be considering a change if they didn\u2019t think dairying would provide a better future for their families.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Their better future also means increased income for the country with exports, taxes and employment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Sense Partners\u2019 report for the Dairy Companies Association of New Zealand, now over two years old, showed the contribution that dairy employment makes to the regions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">In 2023, dairying was a third of employment in Waimate, but over 50% of wages.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">For South Taranaki, the 26% employment share equated to a 41% share of wages paid in the district.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">The same is true for the Southland District, where dairy provided 5.4% of jobs and accounted for 28% of wages.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Regions benefit from dairy farming and processing and the money spreads out.<\/p>\n<p><img  alt=\"Dr Jacqueline Rowarth is Adjunct Professor at Lincoln University, a farmer-elected director on the DairyNZ and Ravensdown boards, and a member of the Scientific Council of the World Farmers' Organisation.\" class=\"article-media__image responsively-lazy\" data-test-ui=\"article-media__image\"\/>Dr Jacqueline Rowarth is Adjunct Professor at Lincoln University, a farmer-elected director on the DairyNZ and Ravensdown boards, and a member of the Scientific Council of the World Farmers&#8217; Organisation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">More dairy farmers mean more electricians and mechanics, more veterinarians, more supermarket employees, more teachers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">And the taxes mean more money for the Government to spend on infrastructure, health, education and whatever else is needed by society.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Mostly, what is \u201cneeded\u201d is thought to be a decrease in the cost of living.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Food is often blamed, but the latest data from StatsNZ show that the largest contributors to the annual inflation rate were \u201chousing and household utilities\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">In the 12 months to the December 2025 quarter, electricity was up 12.2% and local authority rates and payments were up 8.8%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Food did contribute and is fourth and sixth on Stats NZ\u2019s contributor list, with overseas accommodation fifth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Productivity gains on the land can assist with costs of production, but farmers and growers do not set the price consumers pay.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Productivity gains on the land will, however, assist with increasing incomes and affordability of living, including the holidays that have been enjoyed around the country and world during recent months.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">The Government has been working to enable productivity gains by reducing paperwork in councils (local government reorganisation) and in businesses (which include those of farmers and growers).<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">The overall goal of sustainability has not changed, but the path to growth has.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">New Zealand farmers have a track record of evaluating land-use change successfully, not just with dairying (delicious high-quality protein), but also kiwifruit (delicious and full of vitamins but not protein) and grapes for wine (simply delicious).<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">M\u0101nuka honey and goat and sheep milk, all with health promotion, have been somewhat boom and bust, showing the fickleness of the \u201chealth\u201d attraction.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Buffalo, alpaca and ostriches have mostly faded from being \u201cthe next-best thing in production\u201d into \u201can interesting activity to have tried\u201d (except for a few enthusiasts still enjoying what they are doing and finding a market for their niche product).<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">Productivity growth means aligning what we can produce with what people overseas want to eat.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">High-quality protein, produced sustainably, appears to be the answer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\">New Zealand farmers are already answering the call.<\/p>\n<p class=\"AaByrilogD\" style=\"display:none\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/the-country\/author\/jacqueline-rowarth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/the-country\/author\/jacqueline-rowarth\">Dr Jacqueline Rowarth<\/a> is Adjunct Professor at Lincoln University, a farmer-elected director on the DairyNZ and Ravensdown boards, and a member of the Scientific Council of the World Farmers\u2019 Organisation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"This is far preferable to the alternative but needs something more. That something is growth \u2013 otherwise the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":251914,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1952,3278,2518,226,63570,809,117,111,43,139,69,624,8685,63571,26777,6923,1533,2963],"class_list":{"0":"post-251913","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-zealand","8":"tag-dr","9":"tag-facts","10":"tag-green","11":"tag-growing","12":"tag-jacqueline","13":"tag-keep","14":"tag-new","15":"tag-new-zealand","16":"tag-news","17":"tag-newzealand","18":"tag-nz","19":"tag-productivity","20":"tag-puzzle","21":"tag-rowarth","22":"tag-shoots","23":"tag-what","24":"tag-will","25":"tag-zealands"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251913","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=251913"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251913\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/251914"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=251913"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=251913"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=251913"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}