{"id":257937,"date":"2026-01-29T16:58:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T16:58:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/257937\/"},"modified":"2026-01-29T16:58:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T16:58:09","slug":"strong-january-in-the-bag-and-the-rba-in-sight-commerzbank","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/257937\/","title":{"rendered":"Strong January in the bag and the RBA in sight \u2013 Commerzbank"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Australian Dollar has gained over 6% since the start of the year, making it the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxstreet.com\/brokers\/best-forex-broker\" data-fxs-autoanchor=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">best<\/a> performer among G10 currencies. Market expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxstreet.com\/rates-charts\/rates\" data-fxs-autoanchor=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">rates<\/a> have increased, with a probability of over 60% for a hike next Tuesday. However, caution is advised as recent positive data may not fully support the anticipated rate hikes, report Commerzbank analysts Volkmar Baur and Michael Pfister<\/p>\n<p>RBA rate hike expectations rise<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;One reason for this is that the market now expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates as early as next Tuesday, with a probability of over 60%.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;However, we remain sceptical. One reason why the market is now pricing in significantly more interest rate hikes is not least the positive data.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Overall, this should only have a slight negative impact on the AUD.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Australian Dollar has gained over 6% since the start of the year, making it the best performer&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":257938,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":{"0":"post-257937","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-economy","10":"tag-new-zealand","11":"tag-newzealand","12":"tag-nz"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/257937","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=257937"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/257937\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/257938"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=257937"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=257937"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=257937"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}