{"id":260482,"date":"2026-01-31T04:58:07","date_gmt":"2026-01-31T04:58:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/260482\/"},"modified":"2026-01-31T04:58:07","modified_gmt":"2026-01-31T04:58:07","slug":"asteroid-hurtling-towards-the-moon-to-be-most-energetic-lunar-impact-ever-and-risks-sending-meteors-smashing-into-earth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/260482\/","title":{"rendered":"Asteroid hurtling towards the moon to be &#8216;most energetic lunar impact ever&#8217; and risks sending meteors smashing into Earth"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>An asteroid which risks colliding with the moon in just years could produce &#8220;the most energetic lunar impact event ever recorded in human history&#8221;, scientists say.<\/p>\n<p>Asteroid 2024 YR4, which at one point risked smashing into Earth, has the potential of hitting our Moon in 2032.<\/p>\n<p>Scientists say such a scenario would cause a huge crater on the lunar surface and spark an unusual illumination phenomenon.<\/p>\n<p>A bright glow would be visible from Earth for hours after impact, according to the new study titled &#8220;Observation Timelines for the Potential Lunar Impact of Asteroid 2024 YR4&#8221;. <\/p>\n<p>The flash would be as bright as magnitude \u20133, which is about as bright as a planet like Mars or Jupiter can be to the naked eye from Earth.<\/p>\n<p>It also indicated the collision would spark a global &#8220;Moonquake&#8221; and lead to the creation of a meteor shower, with some of the debris hitting Earth.<\/p>\n<p>The impact could also for as long as 100 years.<\/p>\n<p>Scientists said the asteroid would &#8220;produce a \u223c1 km crater on the Moon, and will be the most energetic lunar impact event ever recorded in human history.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"60126\" data-rm-shortcode-id=\"be07bae3e7246a5b74998e1fd2d46cef\" data-rm-shortcode-name=\"rebelmouse-image\" class=\"rm-shortcode rm-lazyloadable-image \" lazy-loadable=\"true\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%201200%201200'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\" data-runner-src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/nasa-graphic-of-asteroid-2024-yr4-impact-points.webp.webp\" width=\"1200\" height=\"1200\" alt=\"Nasa graphic of Asteroid 2024 YR4 impact points\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Possible locations \u2013 represented by yellow points \u2013 Asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit in December 2032<\/p>\n<p> | <\/p>\n<p>NASA JPL<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"e653d\" data-rm-shortcode-id=\"d574492d4659d54c631f0f0e9b4d7423\" data-rm-shortcode-name=\"rebelmouse-image\" class=\"rm-shortcode rm-lazyloadable-image \" lazy-loadable=\"true\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%201200%20594'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\" data-runner-src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/graphic-of-asteroid-2024-yr4-impact-after-hitting-the-moon.webp.webp\" width=\"1200\" height=\"594\" alt=\"Graphic of Asteroid 2024 YR4 impact after hitting the moon\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Asteroid 2024 YR4 could lead to a crater that would appear on the surface of the Moon and result in meteors being ejected from the lunar surface<\/p>\n<p> | <\/p>\n<p>THE DISCOVERY AND CHARACTERIZATION OF ASTEROID 2024 YR4<\/p>\n<p>They added: &#8220;The associated seismic energy release would lead to a global-scale lunar reverberation (magnitude \u223c5.0) that can be detectable by modern seismometers.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Furthermore, the impact would eject \u223c108 kg of debris that escapes the lunar gravity, with a small fraction reaching Earth to produce a lunar meteor outburst within 100 years.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>There is only a 4.3 per cent probability of the asteroid hitting the moon.<\/p>\n<p>The study concluded that &#8220;despite the associated risk, this scenario offers a rare and valuable scientific opportunity&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>                LATEST SPACE DEVELOPMENTS<\/p>\n<p>        <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"172f1\" data-rm-shortcode-id=\"b8e9cd7402081daa1751e69782a4d72c\" data-rm-shortcode-name=\"rebelmouse-image\" class=\"rm-shortcode rm-lazyloadable-image \" lazy-loadable=\"true\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%205000%203335'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\" data-runner-src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/stock-image-of-an-asteroid.jpg\" width=\"5000\" height=\"3335\" alt=\"Stock image of an asteroid\"\/><\/p>\n<p>There is a 4.3 per cent probability of Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting the moon<\/p>\n<p> | <\/p>\n<p>GETTY<\/p>\n<p>Asteroid 2024 YR4 has had the attention of scientists ever since it became the first asteroid to trigger a &#8220;coordinated international planetary defence response&#8221; amid fears of impact with Earth.<\/p>\n<p>First discovered in December 2024, the space rock is travelling through space as 38,000+ miles per hour.<\/p>\n<p>It is thought to be made from silicate rock and nickel-iron, and to have originated from a group of asteroids in the central Main Belt between Mars and Jupiter.<\/p>\n<p>Asteroid 2024 YR4 was initially given a 3.1 per cent chance of it striking Earth in 2032, before the scenario was ruled out last year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"An asteroid which risks colliding with the moon in just years could produce &#8220;the most energetic lunar impact&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":260483,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[111,139,69,147,392],"class_list":["post-260482","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-space","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-science","tag-space"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260482","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=260482"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260482\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/260483"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=260482"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=260482"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=260482"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}