{"id":263868,"date":"2026-02-02T13:01:10","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T13:01:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/263868\/"},"modified":"2026-02-02T13:01:10","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T13:01:10","slug":"opinion-where-is-a-i-taking-us-eight-leading-thinkers-share-their-visions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/263868\/","title":{"rendered":"Opinion | Where Is A.I. Taking Us? Eight Leading Thinkers Share Their Visions."},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"g-text  svelte-i5c8kc\">People have been working on artificial intelligence for decades. But five years ago, few were predicting that A.I. would break through as the most important technology story of the 2020s \u2014 and quite possibly the century. Large language models have turned A.I. into a household topic, but all areas of A.I. have taken great leaps forward.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-i5c8kc\">Now, we are inundated with chatter about how much A.I. will transform our lives and our world. Already, companies are trying to find ways to offload tasks and even entire jobs to A.I. More people are turning to A.I. for social interaction and mental health support. Educators are scrambling to manage students\u2019 increased reliance on these tools. And in the near future A.I. may lead to breakthroughs in drug discovery and energy; it could allow more people to create art and cultural works \u2014 or turn these industries into slop factories.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-i5c8kc\">As society wrestles with whether A.I. will lead us into a better future or catastrophic one, Times Opinion turned to eight experts for their predictions on where A.I. may go in the next five years. Listening to them may help us bring out the best and mitigate the worst out of this new technology.<\/p>\n<p>       <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Melanie_Mitchell_cropped.png\" alt=\"Melanie Mitchell\" class=\"headshot svelte-17mvyj1\" style=\"width: 100px; height: 100px;\"\/> Melanie Mitchell <\/p>\n<p class=\"expert-title svelte-17mvyj1\">Computer scientist and professor at the Santa Fe Institute<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Yuval_Noah_Harari_cropped.png\" alt=\"Yuval Noah Harari\" class=\"headshot svelte-17mvyj1\" style=\"width: 100px; height: 100px;\"\/> Yuval Noah Harari <\/p>\n<p class=\"expert-title svelte-17mvyj1\">Historian, philosopher and author<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Carl_Benedikt_Frey_cropped.png\" alt=\"Carl Benedikt Frey\" class=\"headshot svelte-17mvyj1\" style=\"width: 100px; height: 100px;\"\/> Carl Benedikt Frey <\/p>\n<p class=\"expert-title svelte-17mvyj1\">Professor of A.I. and work at the University of Oxford<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Gary_Marcus_cropped.png\" alt=\"Gary Marcus\" class=\"headshot svelte-17mvyj1\" style=\"width: 100px; height: 100px;\"\/> Gary Marcus <\/p>\n<p class=\"expert-title svelte-17mvyj1\">Founder of Geometric.AI (acquired by Uber) and author of \u201cTaming Silicon Valley\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"headshot svelte-17mvyj1\" style=\"width: 100px; height: 100px;\"\/> Nick Frosst <\/p>\n<p class=\"expert-title svelte-17mvyj1\">Co-founder of Cohere, an A.I. start-up<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Ajeya_Cotra_cropped.png\" alt=\"Ajeya Cotra\" class=\"headshot svelte-17mvyj1\" style=\"width: 100px; height: 100px;\"\/> Ajeya Cotra <\/p>\n<p class=\"expert-title svelte-17mvyj1\">A.I. risk assessor at METR, a research nonprofit<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"headshot svelte-17mvyj1\" style=\"width: 100px; height: 100px;\"\/> Aravind Srinivas <\/p>\n<p class=\"expert-title svelte-17mvyj1\">Co-founder and chief executive of Perplexity, a chatbot search engine<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Helen_Toner_cropped.png\" alt=\"Helen Toner\" class=\"headshot svelte-17mvyj1\" style=\"width: 100px; height: 100px;\"\/> Helen Toner <\/p>\n<p class=\"expert-title svelte-17mvyj1\">Interim executive director of Georgetown University\u2019s Center for Security and Emerging Technology<\/p>\n<p>What is your biggest bet about the future of A.I. in five years?<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Yuval_Noah_Harari_cropped.png\" alt=\"Yuval Noah Harari\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Yuval Noah Harari Historian<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Within five years, A.I. agents are likely to become legal persons in at least some countries.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Melanie_Mitchell_cropped.png\" alt=\"Melanie Mitchell\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Melanie Mitchell Computer scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.I. won\u2019t have cured cancer or solved physics. Also, no one will consider the ability to converse fluently a definitive sign of intelligence.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Helen_Toner_cropped.png\" alt=\"Helen Toner\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Helen Toner A.I. policy researcher<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">I expect we\u2019ll have A.I. systems that can clearly contribute at the cutting edge of multiple scientific fields, but that you still wouldn\u2019t trust with planning summer camps for your kid.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Nick Frosst Co-founder of Cohere<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.I. will become boring in the best way. It\u2019ll fade into the background like GPS or spreadsheets, powering everyday tools and humans at work. It\u2019s the most banal use cases that have the most transformative impact.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Carl_Benedikt_Frey_cropped.png\" alt=\"Carl Benedikt Frey\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Carl Benedikt Frey Economist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.I. won\u2019t deliver lasting prosperity if it\u2019s used mainly to automate what we already do. A.I. productivity tools give us cheaper spreadsheets the way better looms gave us cheaper cloth. But the great leaps come from new industries, not faster repetition.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Gary_Marcus_cropped.png\" alt=\"Gary Marcus\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Gary Marcus Cognitive scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">No way will artificial general intelligence arrive by the end of 2027, and most likely not even by the end of 2032, either.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Ajeya_Cotra_cropped.png\" alt=\"Ajeya Cotra\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Ajeya Cotra A.I. risk researcher<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">I think A.I. companies may have substantially automated their own operations with A.I. five years from now, and this could make A.I. progress go much faster.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Aravind Srinivas Chief executive of Perplexity<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">People want highly personal A.I. assistants to work for them. It\u2019s their A.I., not the A.I. We build those, and we will fight for users\u2019 rights to have A.I. assistants privately and securely.<\/p>\n<p>What will A.I.\u2019s impact be on medicine in the near term?<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Gary_Marcus_cropped.png\" alt=\"Gary Marcus\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Gary Marcus Cognitive scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">We\u2019ve seen lots of proof of concept, but there hasn\u2019t been much real-world application yet to my knowledge beyond medical note taking.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Nick Frosst Co-founder of Cohere<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.I. will absolutely increase the effectiveness of doctors by reducing their workload per patient in areas like the ability to quickly review their medical histories, effectively organize new medical information and identify potential problems earlier.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-i5c8kc\">But while A.I. is extremely good at analyzing huge amounts of data and finding answers and useful patterns, it is really bad at coming up with entirely new ideas. The idea that A.I. is likely to autonomously create new medicines, for example? People will probably be disappointed.<\/p>\n<p>What will A.I.\u2019s impact be on programming?<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Yuval_Noah_Harari_cropped.png\" alt=\"Yuval Noah Harari\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Yuval Noah Harari Historian<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Coding is mostly about manipulating information, and involves few physical and biological constraints. It\u2019s an ideal playground for A.I.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Carl_Benedikt_Frey_cropped.png\" alt=\"Carl Benedikt Frey\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Carl Benedikt Frey Economist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">In a randomized <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2302.06590\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">trial<\/a>, developers finished a given task about 56 percent more quickly using GitHub Copilot. Over 80 percent of developers in 2025 <a href=\"https:\/\/survey.stackoverflow.co\/2025\/ai\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">said<\/a> they\u2019re using or plan to use A.I. tools \u2014 though just a third trusted the outputs. Review by humans still matters.<\/p>\n<p>What will A.I.\u2019s impact be on scientific research?<\/p>\n<p>      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Yuval_Noah_Harari_cropped.png\" alt=\"Yuval Noah Harari\" class=\"svelte-1273jvq\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Harari<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-1273jvq\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Frosst<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"svelte-1273jvq\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Srinivas Large  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Melanie_Mitchell_cropped.png\" alt=\"Melanie Mitchell\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Melanie Mitchell Computer scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">I believe this impact will not be as rapid as many think. A.I. systems still can\u2019t do things humans are essential for, like asking the right questions, planning experiments and entire scientific programs, and understanding data in different contexts.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Aravind Srinivas Chief executive of Perplexity<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">As A.I. increasingly contains more of the world\u2019s knowledge, it becomes an even more powerful tool for anyone with questions. Humans have always been great at having questions. A.I. will be great at having answers.<\/p>\n<p>What will A.I.\u2019s impact be on transportation?<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Nick Frosst Co-founder of Cohere<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">I\u2019m most excited about how A.I. will improve the behind-the-scenes logistics of transportation to make moving people and goods more efficient and safe \u2014 like predictive maintenance, smart traffic analysis, route optimization and safety features for drivers.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Helen_Toner_cropped.png\" alt=\"Helen Toner\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Helen Toner A.I. policy researcher<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">I\u2019m very excited for self-driving cars to be rolled out more widely, given the tens of thousands of traffic deaths they could <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/12\/02\/opinion\/self-driving-cars.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">potentially avert each year<\/a> in the United States. But the rollout is proceeding relatively slowly, and it\u2019s unclear how significant A.I.\u2019s effects on other modes of transportation will be.<\/p>\n<p>What will A.I.\u2019s impact be on education?<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Carl_Benedikt_Frey_cropped.png\" alt=\"Carl Benedikt Frey\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Carl Benedikt Frey Economist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.I. tutors may already outperform most human teachers, but they also make shortcuts tempting and can hinder genuine exploration. We need to set aside A.I.-free time to read and explore independently, and encourage using A.I. tutors to question and probe one\u2019s own understanding.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-i5c8kc\">Moreover, we should place greater emphasis on in-person, tutorial-style teaching in which students debate, defend their views and are pushed to articulate their reasoning.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Gary_Marcus_cropped.png\" alt=\"Gary Marcus\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Gary Marcus Cognitive scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Most of the impact has been negative; high schools and colleges are at a loss as to how to proceed now that term papers are no longer valid either as an evaluation or as a means to get students to think. Most other applications remain speculative.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Helen_Toner_cropped.png\" alt=\"Helen Toner\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Helen Toner A.I. policy researcher<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Education was already due for a significant shake-up, so the need to adapt to new A.I. tools might be a blessing in disguise.<\/p>\n<p>What will A.I.\u2019s impact be on mental health?<\/p>\n<p>    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Carl_Benedikt_Frey_cropped.png\" alt=\"Carl Benedikt Frey\" class=\"svelte-1273jvq\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Frey<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Gary_Marcus_cropped.png\" alt=\"Gary Marcus\" class=\"svelte-1273jvq\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Marcus Small  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"svelte-1273jvq\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Srinivas Large  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Melanie_Mitchell_cropped.png\" alt=\"Melanie Mitchell\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Melanie Mitchell Computer scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">On the bad side: A.I.-induced psychosis! On the good side, some people will get a lot out of using chatbots as therapists.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Yuval_Noah_Harari_cropped.png\" alt=\"Yuval Noah Harari\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Yuval Noah Harari Historian<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">The rapid changes of the A.I. revolution are likely to cause a mental health crisis as humans struggle to adapt. We are about to conduct the biggest psychological experiment in human history, on billions of human guinea pigs, and nobody can predict what the results will be.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Nick Frosst Co-founder of Cohere<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.I. chatbots offer scalable support for mild symptoms but they\u2019re no substitute for human therapists. The technology struggles with nuance, cultural context and long-term emotional depth. There are many mental health care challenges that should be handled by human professionals.<\/p>\n<p>What will A.I.\u2019s impact be on art and creativity?<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Melanie_Mitchell_cropped.png\" alt=\"Melanie Mitchell\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Melanie Mitchell Computer scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.I. is, and will continue to be, transformative in art, writing, music, et cetera \u2014 not because A.I. is better at creativity than humans, but because it is a lot cheaper, and often that unfortunately matters more for how much it will be used.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Yuval_Noah_Harari_cropped.png\" alt=\"Yuval Noah Harari\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Yuval Noah Harari Historian<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">In more and more fields, A.I. proves to be more creative than humans. Any creative activity that boils down to finding patterns and breaking patterns is likely to be taken over by A.I.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Nick Frosst Co-founder of Cohere<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">As both a musician and someone building A.I., I see the creative potential of this technology through a unique lens. A.I. can generate feedback or thought-starters, but it\u2019s the human who decides what feels right.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s one misconception about A.I. that you think is worth dispelling?<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Melanie_Mitchell_cropped.png\" alt=\"Melanie Mitchell\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Melanie Mitchell Computer scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">The misconception that A.I. has \u201cmagic\u201d or \u201cemergent\u201d abilities that are impossible to understand and predict. This is mainly a view of the public (and policymakers, to some extent). Technologists and Silicon Valley often push this narrative but I don\u2019t know how much they really believe it.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Yuval_Noah_Harari_cropped.png\" alt=\"Yuval Noah Harari\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Yuval Noah Harari Historian<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.I. isn\u2019t a tool entirely under human control \u2014 it is an agent that can make decisions and invent ideas by itself. While I don\u2019t think A.I. will become conscious in the near future, it is highly likely these models will be able to simulate consciousness very effectively, causing a significant percentage of humanity to believe they are conscious.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Carl_Benedikt_Frey_cropped.png\" alt=\"Carl Benedikt Frey\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Carl Benedikt Frey Economist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">It\u2019s a mistake to assume A.I. will leave manual work untouched. In practice, A.I. systems are lowering knowledge barriers and enabling competent do-it-yourself repairs. A homeowner can photograph a worn washer or boiler, receive a parts list, and follow a clear, step-by-step guide to replace it.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Gary_Marcus_cropped.png\" alt=\"Gary Marcus\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Gary Marcus Cognitive scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">People are greatly confused about large language models, attributing a humanlike intelligence to mimicry machines that turn out to be superficial and unreliable. Intelligence is about reasoning flexibly in face of the unknown, and large language models continue to struggle mightily with that.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Nick Frosst Co-founder of Cohere<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">It\u2019s a misconception that A.I. is autonomous. Today\u2019s systems are sophisticated pattern-matchers, not thinkers.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Ajeya_Cotra_cropped.png\" alt=\"Ajeya Cotra\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Ajeya Cotra A.I. risk researcher<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Whenever the latest generation of A.I. fails to make an enormous impact immediately, A.I. skeptics wrongly assume that this disproves the concerns about A.I.\u2019s catastrophic risks.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Aravind Srinivas Chief executive of Perplexity<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">It\u2019s a misconception that A.I. will result in vast unemployment. New technologies sometimes shift the nature of work in society, but they don\u2019t remove working from society.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Helen_Toner_cropped.png\" alt=\"Helen Toner\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Helen Toner A.I. policy researcher<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">I believe the narrative around A.I.\u2019s negative environmental impacts has gotten way out of hand. Yes, on aggregate the industry uses quite a bit of energy and water, but that\u2019s true of any large industry. The relevant question is how it compares to other industries, and how it compares to how much value we\u2019re getting out of it.<\/p>\n<p>Which of the following statements do you think will be true by 2030?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUnemployment in the United States will have increased significantly as a result of A.I.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Gary_Marcus_cropped.png\" alt=\"Gary Marcus\" class=\"svelte-4xtzez\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Marcus True    <\/p>\n<p>\u201cA.I. will have led to a breakthrough treatment or cure for a major disease.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>     <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Melanie_Mitchell_cropped.png\" alt=\"Melanie Mitchell\" class=\"svelte-4xtzez\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Mitchell<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-4xtzez\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Frosst<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Ajeya_Cotra_cropped.png\" alt=\"Ajeya Cotra\" class=\"svelte-4xtzez\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Cotra False   <\/p>\n<p>\u201cA.I. will have played a role in a major global security event.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>     <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Ajeya_Cotra_cropped.png\" alt=\"Ajeya Cotra\" class=\"svelte-4xtzez\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Cotra<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"svelte-4xtzez\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Srinivas False   <\/p>\n<p>\u201cMost Americans will be using A.I. chatbots at least once a day.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>     <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"svelte-4xtzez\" style=\"width: 40px; height: 40px;\"\/> Srinivas False   <\/p>\n<p>Most people define artificial general intelligence as a form of A.I. that is comparable to human intelligence. How likely is it that we will see A.G.I. in the next 10 years?<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Yuval_Noah_Harari_cropped.png\" alt=\"Yuval Noah Harari\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Yuval Noah Harari Historian<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Everything hinges on the definition. I think that defining A.G.I. as \u201ccomparable to human intelligence\u201d is meaningless. It is like defining airplanes as \u201cable to fly like birds.\u201d Similarly, by 2035 A.I. intelligence will be far superior to humans in some ways, and much inferior in other ways. There is no reason to expect that A.I. will progress toward the goal of \u201chuman intelligence.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-i5c8kc\">But A.I. will be capable of navigating systems like finance and the law better than the average human, and will also be able to outperform humans in war making and in inventing and interpreting religious mythologies.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Nick Frosst Co-founder of Cohere<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.G.I. requires abstraction, self-awareness and transfer learning across domains \u2014 all capabilities that are nowhere near. The architecture of the human brain is still a black box, and computing paradigms aren\u2019t designed for it. Possible in 50 years? Maybe. In 10? Unlikely.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Aravind Srinivas Chief executive of Perplexity<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.G.I. is still poorly defined. So we don\u2019t think about it much.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s a technology that had a transformational impact similar to A.I.?<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Melanie_Mitchell_cropped.png\" alt=\"Melanie Mitchell\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Melanie Mitchell Computer scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Social media.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Yuval_Noah_Harari_cropped.png\" alt=\"Yuval Noah Harari\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Yuval Noah Harari Historian<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">The evolution of language in the Stone Age. A.I. is the first technology that is an agent rather than a tool. And A.I. is the first entity on the planet that is going to master language better than humans, and in that way gain control of all language-based systems humans have created since the Stone Age, from finance to religion.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Carl_Benedikt_Frey_cropped.png\" alt=\"Carl Benedikt Frey\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Carl Benedikt Frey Economist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">The personal computer and the internet.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Gary_Marcus_cropped.png\" alt=\"Gary Marcus\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Gary Marcus Cognitive scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">A.I. will be as ubiquitous as cellphones, but so far comes with more negatives.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Nick Frosst Co-founder of Cohere<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Human flight \u2014 especially when you think about A.G.I. Flight has been profoundly transformative for humans and how we live, the same way A.I. has \u2014 but the same way artificial flight doesn\u2019t really mimic birds, artificial intelligence \u201cbrains\u201d don\u2019t work in the same way human intelligence does.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Ajeya_Cotra_cropped.png\" alt=\"Ajeya Cotra\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Ajeya Cotra A.I. risk researcher<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">I think A.I. will eventually be more transformative than the invention of agriculture \u2014 as transformative as the emergence of Homo sapiens as a species.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Aravind Srinivas Chief executive of Perplexity<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">There is nothing like it. We have no precedent. A.I. is best as a tool that empowers the human search for wisdom. History is full of such tools, but what makes A.I. unique is its ability to contain so many answers about the world right here around us.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-i5c8kc\">In the short term, many of the world\u2019s answers are locked away in certain industries, or only passed among elites. A.I. changes that.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Helen_Toner_cropped.png\" alt=\"Helen Toner\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Helen Toner A.I. policy researcher<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">The steam engine.<\/p>\n<p>What advice would you give a high school student about how to think about A.I. and prepare for the future?<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Melanie_Mitchell_cropped.png\" alt=\"Melanie Mitchell\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Melanie Mitchell Computer scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Learn about how these systems work, what their limitations are, and how to use them to help you do things rather than do them for you. Don\u2019t use them to do your homework!<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Carl_Benedikt_Frey_cropped.png\" alt=\"Carl Benedikt Frey\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Carl Benedikt Frey Economist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">As automated writing becomes ubiquitous, face-to-face skill will be a key differentiator. Choose careers defined by change, where human interaction and experiential learning confer the edge.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Gary_Marcus_cropped.png\" alt=\"Gary Marcus\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Gary Marcus Cognitive scientist<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Creativity and critical thinking skills will always be in demand.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Nick_Frosst_cropped.png\" alt=\"Nick Frosst\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Nick Frosst Co-founder of Cohere<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Learn to collaborate with A.I. Study fields that combine technical literacy with skills that only humans can do.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Ajeya_Cotra_cropped.png\" alt=\"Ajeya Cotra\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Ajeya Cotra A.I. risk researcher<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Think of A.I. as the emergence of an intelligent alien species. This new species could be catastrophic for humanity, including driving us extinct. It could also go extremely well for us, but you should be prepared for the good outcomes to be very wild. This is the central challenge of your generation, and you should try to find a way to help it go better.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Aravind_Srinivas_cropped.png\" alt=\"Aravind Srinivas\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Aravind Srinivas Chief executive of Perplexity<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">Learn how to ask more questions. Nothing will matter more in the age of A.I.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Helen_Toner_cropped.png\" alt=\"Helen Toner\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Helen Toner A.I. policy researcher<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">For anything you might work on, ask yourself: Is this like a construction site, or like the gym? On a construction site, machines are amazing \u2014 you can lift heavier things and build better buildings with an excavator and a crane. But at the gym, the whole point is to increase your own capacity.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-i5c8kc\">With A.I., the analogy is that we now all need to figure out where A.I. can help us do bigger, cooler things, like building personalized software, and where we need to build our own cognitive abilities first, like learning to write.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Yuval_Noah_Harari_cropped.png\" alt=\"Yuval Noah Harari\" class=\"svelte-1npag3j\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Yuval Noah Harari Historian<\/p>\n<p class=\"speaker-quote svelte-1npag3j\">This is the first time in history nobody has any idea what the world will look like in 10 years \u2014 what the job market will look like, what social relations will look like, et cetera. So hedge your bets. Don\u2019t focus on a narrow subject like coding. Give equal importance to your head (intellectual skills), your heart (social skills) and your hands (motor skills). It is in the combination of these three that humans still have a large advantage over A.I.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-i5c8kc\">Also, try to enjoy the ride.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-i5c8kc\">Note: The New York Times has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/12\/05\/technology\/new-york-times-perplexity-ai-lawsuit.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sued<\/a> Perplexity for copyright infringement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"People have been working on artificial intelligence for decades. But five years ago, few were predicting that A.I.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":263869,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[365,363,364,58648,10408,150905,111,139,69,145],"class_list":{"0":"post-263868","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-artificial-intelligence","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-artificial-intelligence","10":"tag-artificialintelligence","11":"tag-computers-and-the-internet","12":"tag-creativity","13":"tag-language-and-languages","14":"tag-new-zealand","15":"tag-newzealand","16":"tag-nz","17":"tag-technology"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263868","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=263868"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263868\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/263869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=263868"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=263868"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=263868"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}