{"id":26634,"date":"2025-09-16T22:41:09","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T22:41:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/26634\/"},"modified":"2025-09-16T22:41:09","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T22:41:09","slug":"markets-live-asx-to-fall-wall-street-slips-from-record-highs-ahead-of-fed-rate-cut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/26634\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets live: ASX to fall, Wall Street slips from record highs ahead of Fed rate cut"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>50m agoTue 16 Sep 2025 at 9:51pmMarket snapshot<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/lcimg-b66ce72d-29b3-4a93-9314-8dc821cb619d.jpeg\" alt=\"David Chau profile image\" class=\"Avatar_avatarImage__f1Jjg\" style=\"display:none\"\/>ASX futures: -0.3% to 8,841 pointsASX 200 (Tuesday close): +0.3% to 8,878 pointsAustralian dollar: +0.3% at 66.85 US centsWall Street: Dow Jones (-0.3%), S&amp;P 500 (-0.1%), Nasdaq (-0.1%)Europe: FTSE (-0.9%), DAX (-1.8%), Stoxx 600 (-1.1%)Spot gold: +0.3% to $US3,690\/ounceOil (Brent crude): +1.6% to $US 68.50\/barrelIron ore: +0.7% to $US106.30\/tonneBitcoin: +1.3% at $US116,913<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Prices current at around 7:40am AEST<\/p>\n<p>10m agoTue 16 Sep 2025 at 10:30pmTrump risks plunging the US into recession, says economics professor Justin Wolfers<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/lcimg-b66ce72d-29b3-4a93-9314-8dc821cb619d.jpeg\" alt=\"David Chau profile image\" class=\"Avatar_avatarImage__f1Jjg\" style=\"display:none\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Donald Trump says there&#8217;s &#8220;NO INFLATION!!!&#8221; in America.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">But the official data doesn&#8217;t lie. It shows consumer prices rose 2.9% in the year to August, well above the US Federal Reserve&#8217;s target.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">This is putting the central bank in a difficult position, says the University of Michigan&#8217;s economics professor, Justin Wolfers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">If the US president acts &#8220;in a relatively sensible way, I think there&#8217;s a roughly one-in-four chance of a recession over the next year,&#8221; he told The Business host Alicia Barry.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">But if the president &#8220;were to lean in to full-throttle Trumpism, trying to take away the independence of the Fed, getting our trading partners offside, destroying the bureaucracy, and instituting a form of crony capitalism, I think the chances of a recession over the next 12 months [will] skyrocket maybe as much as 70 per cent,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">You can listen to Professor Wolfers&#8217;s full insights here:<\/p>\n<p>Loading&#8230;23m agoTue 16 Sep 2025 at 10:17pmThousands of people contest wills as house prices soar<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/lcimg-b66ce72d-29b3-4a93-9314-8dc821cb619d.jpeg\" alt=\"David Chau profile image\" class=\"Avatar_avatarImage__f1Jjg\" style=\"display:none\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">A will can offer peace of mind for families before the death of a loved one, but the process can also go horribly wrong.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Those who seek to be beneficiaries of a will may need legal assistance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Some lawyers say the rate of people dying intestate (ie without a valid will) has risen to around 60%, which is very high.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">More people are contesting wills to try to get a slice of a deceased relative&#8217;s estate. That&#8217;s because there&#8217;s a lot of money tied up in these estates, with house prices rising and a boom in the share market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">For more, here&#8217;s the story by David Taylor (again)!<\/p>\n<p>Loading&#8230;36m agoTue 16 Sep 2025 at 10:04pmCashrewards&#8217;s abrupt closure leaves shoppers many unanswered questions<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/lcimg-b66ce72d-29b3-4a93-9314-8dc821cb619d.jpeg\" alt=\"David Chau profile image\" class=\"Avatar_avatarImage__f1Jjg\" style=\"display:none\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Cashrewards \u2014 a loyalty program that once had 2.5 million Australians in its database \u2014 has left many shoppers stunned after its abrupt shutdown last week.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The cashback website pays back its members a percentage of the purchase price in cash after they shop in its partnered retailers.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">At this stage, we don&#8217;t know why Cashrewards closed down.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Neither Cashrewards, nor ANZ Bank&#8217;s venture capital fund 1835i, which owns the cashback app, have made any public statements.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">According to the Australian Financial Review, Cashrewards was failing to meet ANZ&#8217;s expectations, amid a wider review of the bank&#8217;s performance and profitability by its new chief executive, Nuno Matos.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">For more, here&#8217;s the story by Yiying Li:<\/p>\n<p>47m agoTue 16 Sep 2025 at 9:54pmThere&#8217;s a 100 per cent chance the US will cut interest rates tomorrow, according to markets<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/lcimg-b66ce72d-29b3-4a93-9314-8dc821cb619d.jpeg\" alt=\"David Chau profile image\" class=\"Avatar_avatarImage__f1Jjg\" style=\"display:none\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The world&#8217;s largest central bank, the Federal Reserve, has begun its two-day meeting \u2014 and it will almost certainly lead to US interest rates being cut by 0.25 percentage points.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Money markets are 100% certain that will be the outcome, after a months-long bullying campaign by Donald Trump (who has repeatedly called Fed chair Jerome Powell a &#8220;major loser&#8221;, while trying to fire the bank&#8217;s governor, Lisa Cook, for alleged mortgage fraud on very flimsy grounds).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">However, it&#8217;s likely the Fed would be cutting rates anyway, regardless of the US president&#8217;s attempts to interfere with the bank&#8217;s independence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The latest economic figures from America are pointing to a major slowdown in the jobs market, with hiring slowing to a crawl and a big uptick in workers filing for unemployment benefits.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">This will probably force the hand of the Fed, which is currently more concerned about a slowing economy rather than the recent rebound in inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">(To be fair, they&#8217;re worried about both scenarios. So whether they lift or cut interest rates could produce bad results for the US economy, especially if it enters into a period of stagflation, which we&#8217;ll get into later).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">For more, here&#8217;s an interesting analysis piece by my colleague David Taylor:<\/p>\n<p>50m agoTue 16 Sep 2025 at 9:50pm<\/p>\n<p>ASX to follow Wall Street lower ahead of US rate cut decision<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/lcimg-b66ce72d-29b3-4a93-9314-8dc821cb619d.jpeg\" alt=\"David Chau profile image\" class=\"Avatar_avatarImage__f1Jjg\" style=\"display:none\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Good morning, and welcome to the ABC&#8217;s finance blog! I&#8217;ll be your guide for the next few hours.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Wall Street&#8217;s main indexes fell slightly from their record highs, as investors decided to take profits (cash out) ahead of the US interest rate decision (expected tomorrow at 4am AEST).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Our local share market is likely to start its day marginally lower, with ASX futures down 0.3%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">However, the Australian dollar has risen to a 10-month high of around 66.85 US cents.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">That&#8217;s because the US greenback has weakened on expectations interest rates are about to be slashed in America.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Spot gold, meanwhile, continues to hit new record highs. It briefly went above $US3,700 per ounce overnight.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Basically, when rates are coming down, it increases the attractiveness of holding assets that don&#8217;t pay interest, like precious metals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Also, it&#8217;s because there&#8217;s a lot of &#8220;safe haven&#8221; demand for gold due to heightened levels of geopolitical conflict and concerns about the health of the US economy, tariffs and trillions of dollars in government debt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"50m agoTue 16 Sep 2025 at 9:51pmMarket snapshotASX futures: -0.3% to 8,841 pointsASX 200 (Tuesday close): +0.3% to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":26635,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[4231,26610,138,7011,4234,4241,220,10992,111,139,69,4156,7420,4247,18270,4233],"class_list":["post-26634","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-markets","tag-asx","tag-aud","tag-business","tag-dollar","tag-dow-jones","tag-gold","tag-markets","tag-nasdaq","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-oil","tag-sp","tag-sp-500","tag-usd","tag-wall-street"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26634","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26634"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26634\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26635"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26634"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26634"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26634"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}