{"id":278433,"date":"2026-02-11T09:07:08","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T09:07:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/278433\/"},"modified":"2026-02-11T09:07:08","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T09:07:08","slug":"markets-brace-for-us-jobs-data-as-white-house-acknowledges-ice-effects-heineken-to-cut-6000-roles-business-live-business","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/278433\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets brace for US jobs data as White House acknowledges ICE effects; Heineken to cut 6,000 roles \u2013 business live | Business"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction: Markets brace for US jobs report, with White House telling investors \u2018they shouldn\u2019t panic\u2019<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">It\u2019s non-farm payrolls day! The eagerly-awaited US jobs report is out today, and the White House has been trying to moderate expectations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Peter Navarro, senior counselor for trade and manufacturing to Donald Trump, was speaking on Fox News last night.<\/p>\n<p>We have to revise our expectations down significantly for what a monthly job number should look like. When we were letting in 2 million illegal aliens a day we had to produce 200,000 [jobs] a month for steady stay.<\/p>\n<p>Now 50,000 a month is going to be more like what we need. Wall Street, when this stuff comes out, they can\u2019t rain on our parade, they just have to adjust for the fact that we\u2019re deporting millions of illegals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">When asked whether the number would be weak, he rowed back and said no, but stressed that investors need to expect smaller numbers in future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">[A person can\u2019t be illegal \u2013 see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2014\/aug\/24\/open-door-should-we-use-term-illegal-immigrant\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.]<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Navarro: &#8220;The jobs report comes out tomorrow. We have to revise our expectations down significantly for what a monthly job number should look like &#8230; Wall Street has to adjust for the fact that we&#8217;re deporting millions of illegals out of the job market.&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/j7aFJkMGFh\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/j7aFJkMGFh<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Molly Ploofkins (@Mollyploofkins) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mollyploofkins\/status\/2021231824681189683?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">February 10, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">This comes after a warning from National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett on Monday. \u201cOne shouldn\u2019t panic,\u201d he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/video\/2026\/02\/09\/watch-cnbcs-full-interview-with-white-house-national-economic-council-director-kevin-hassett.html\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">told CNBC on Monday<\/a>. \u201cYou should expect slightly smaller job numbers.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The data release, delayed from last week, is expected to show the economy created 70,000 jobs in January, after 50,000 in December.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown, said:<\/p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 is set to open up, after a lacklustre close on Tuesday. On quiet days for earnings reports and economic data points, the index tends to act as a barometer for commodity prices. Gold prices have strengthened slightly and are at close to two-year highs, supported by strengthening sentiment around US rate cuts this year. Copper and oil are also providing a light tailwind today.<\/p>\n<p>US stock futures are erring on the side of optimism ahead of jobs data expected later on. Hopes for a rate cut by the Fed next month have improved slightly after American retail sales unexpectedly flatlined in December, with shares in Costco, Target and Walmart all ending down on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>The next steer for rate setters will be US non-farm payrolls data due later today. Forecasts are for an increase in hiring from 50,000 in December to 70,000 in January. That\u2019s still a relatively light number, but anything lower could see markets gain more confidence in the scope for three rate cuts this year. Changes to the benchmark are also in play today, which are expected to see hiring rates for last year revised downwards.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Economists at Deutsche Bank said:<\/p>\n<p>Our US economists see nonfarm payrolls coming in at +75k, with the unemployment rate staying at 4.4%. Remember as well that today\u2019s report will include the annual benchmark revisions to payrolls, which could rewrite some of the trends over recent history.<\/p>\n<p>We already got the preliminary number in September, which said that payrolls were -911k lower as of March 2025. However, that number can be different from the preliminary release, and last year\u2019s preliminary benchmark revision was -818k but the final number was a smaller -589k, so not as negative as first thought.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The Agenda<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">1.30pm GMT: US non-farm payrolls for January (previous: 50,000; forecast: 70,000)<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">5.30pm GMT: Bank of England policymaker James Talbot gives speech<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Markets brace for US jobs data as White House acknowledges ICE effects; Heineken to cut 6,000 roles \u2013 business live&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/live\/2026\/feb\/11\/markets-us-jobs-report-non-farm-payrolls-bank-of-england-business-live-news-latest?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-698c29dc8f08327a59cb1ca5#block-698c29dc8f08327a59cb1ca5\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Updated at\u00a003.13 EST<\/p>\n<p>Key events<\/p>\n<p>Show key events only<\/p>\n<p>Please turn on JavaScript to use this feature<\/p>\n<p>London Stock Exchange Group shares jump on reports of Elliott stake<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Shares in the London Stock Exchange Group jumped 7% after it emerged that the activist investor Elliott Management has built a stake in the company and is engaging with the board to improve performance, according to a source cited by Reuters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">LSEG shares are now up 1.5%, after losing more than a third of its value in the past 12 months, including a sell-off in global software stocks last week that wiped out nearly $1tn in combined value.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The data and analytics group, which also runs the London Stock Exchange, has been hit by concerns that rising competition and artificial intelligence tools will squeeze its income.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The source said Elliott, a New York-based hedge fund known for its attempts to shake up listed companies, has been in talks with LSEG to help engineer an improvement and urge it to consider a fresh share buyback, confirming an initial report by the Financial Times.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">This marks a fresh campaign by the US investor after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/feb\/10\/bp-shares-jump-after-feared-us-hedge-fund-elliott-takes-stake\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">it pressured BP <\/a>to overhaul its strategy, tighten its operations and boost cashflow.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Markets brace for US jobs data as White House acknowledges ICE effects; Heineken to cut 6,000 roles \u2013 business live&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/live\/2026\/feb\/11\/markets-us-jobs-report-non-farm-payrolls-bank-of-england-business-live-news-latest?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-698c3f308f0829198944a332#block-698c3f308f0829198944a332\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a>Heineken to cut up to 6,000 jobs<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Heineken said it will cut up to 6,000 jobs globally and issued a lower estimate for profit growth in 2026 than last year, as the Dutch brewer and other companies grapple with weak demand for beer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The world\u2019s second-biggest brewer by market value, which makes Heineken, Tiger and Amstel, outlined plans to reduce its global workforce by 5,000 to 6,000 over the next two years \u2013 almost 7% of its 87,000 headcount.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Beer sales across the industry have struggled amid stretched consumer finances, geopolitical turmoil and bad weather. In some countries, people are drinking less because of concerns over the health impact of alcohol, and the popularity of weight loss drugs like Wegovy and Mounjaro, which have led to changing diets and lifestyles.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Heineken\u2019s finance chief Harold van den Broek said:<\/p>\n<p>We really do this to strengthen our operations and to be able to invest in growth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Some of the job cuts will be in Europe and other non-priority markets that offer fewer growth prospects, he said, and some will come from previously announced measures targeting Heineken\u2019s supply network, head office and regional business divisions.<\/p>\n<p>A Heineken sign is seen at the main access to the new Heineken brewery in Meoqui, in Chihuahua state, Mexico February 27, 2018.  Photograph: Jos\u00e9 Luis Gonz\u00e1lez\/Reuters<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The company is looking for a new chief executive after the surprise resignation of Dolf van den Brink in January.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">It is expecting slower profit growth of 2% to 6% this year, compared with the 4% to 8% it predicted in 2025. The brewer reported a better-than-expected rise of 4.4% in organic operating profits last year.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Markets brace for US jobs data as White House acknowledges ICE effects; Heineken to cut 6,000 roles \u2013 business live&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/live\/2026\/feb\/11\/markets-us-jobs-report-non-farm-payrolls-bank-of-england-business-live-news-latest?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-698c3a4c8f08327a59cb1cf1#block-698c3a4c8f08327a59cb1cf1\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Updated at\u00a003.33 EST<\/p>\n<p>Introduction: Markets brace for US jobs report, with White House telling investors \u2018they shouldn\u2019t panic\u2019<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">It\u2019s non-farm payrolls day! The eagerly-awaited US jobs report is out today, and the White House has been trying to moderate expectations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Peter Navarro, senior counselor for trade and manufacturing to Donald Trump, was speaking on Fox News last night.<\/p>\n<p>We have to revise our expectations down significantly for what a monthly job number should look like. When we were letting in 2 million illegal aliens a day we had to produce 200,000 [jobs] a month for steady stay.<\/p>\n<p>Now 50,000 a month is going to be more like what we need. Wall Street, when this stuff comes out, they can\u2019t rain on our parade, they just have to adjust for the fact that we\u2019re deporting millions of illegals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">When asked whether the number would be weak, he rowed back and said no, but stressed that investors need to expect smaller numbers in future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">[A person can\u2019t be illegal \u2013 see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2014\/aug\/24\/open-door-should-we-use-term-illegal-immigrant\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.]<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Navarro: &#8220;The jobs report comes out tomorrow. We have to revise our expectations down significantly for what a monthly job number should look like &#8230; Wall Street has to adjust for the fact that we&#8217;re deporting millions of illegals out of the job market.&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/j7aFJkMGFh\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/j7aFJkMGFh<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Molly Ploofkins (@Mollyploofkins) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mollyploofkins\/status\/2021231824681189683?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">February 10, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">This comes after a warning from National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett on Monday. \u201cOne shouldn\u2019t panic,\u201d he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/video\/2026\/02\/09\/watch-cnbcs-full-interview-with-white-house-national-economic-council-director-kevin-hassett.html\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">told CNBC on Monday<\/a>. \u201cYou should expect slightly smaller job numbers.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The data release, delayed from last week, is expected to show the economy created 70,000 jobs in January, after 50,000 in December.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown, said:<\/p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 is set to open up, after a lacklustre close on Tuesday. On quiet days for earnings reports and economic data points, the index tends to act as a barometer for commodity prices. Gold prices have strengthened slightly and are at close to two-year highs, supported by strengthening sentiment around US rate cuts this year. Copper and oil are also providing a light tailwind today.<\/p>\n<p>US stock futures are erring on the side of optimism ahead of jobs data expected later on. Hopes for a rate cut by the Fed next month have improved slightly after American retail sales unexpectedly flatlined in December, with shares in Costco, Target and Walmart all ending down on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>The next steer for rate setters will be US non-farm payrolls data due later today. Forecasts are for an increase in hiring from 50,000 in December to 70,000 in January. That\u2019s still a relatively light number, but anything lower could see markets gain more confidence in the scope for three rate cuts this year. Changes to the benchmark are also in play today, which are expected to see hiring rates for last year revised downwards.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Economists at Deutsche Bank said:<\/p>\n<p>Our US economists see nonfarm payrolls coming in at +75k, with the unemployment rate staying at 4.4%. Remember as well that today\u2019s report will include the annual benchmark revisions to payrolls, which could rewrite some of the trends over recent history.<\/p>\n<p>We already got the preliminary number in September, which said that payrolls were -911k lower as of March 2025. However, that number can be different from the preliminary release, and last year\u2019s preliminary benchmark revision was -818k but the final number was a smaller -589k, so not as negative as first thought.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The Agenda<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">1.30pm GMT: US non-farm payrolls for January (previous: 50,000; forecast: 70,000)<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">5.30pm GMT: Bank of England policymaker James Talbot gives speech<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Markets brace for US jobs data as White House acknowledges ICE effects; Heineken to cut 6,000 roles \u2013 business live&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/live\/2026\/feb\/11\/markets-us-jobs-report-non-farm-payrolls-bank-of-england-business-live-news-latest?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-698c29dc8f08327a59cb1ca5#block-698c29dc8f08327a59cb1ca5\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Updated at\u00a003.13 EST<\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Introduction: Markets brace for US jobs report, with White House telling investors \u2018they shouldn\u2019t panic\u2019 Good morning, and&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":278434,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":{"0":"post-278433","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-economy","10":"tag-new-zealand","11":"tag-newzealand","12":"tag-nz"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/278433","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=278433"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/278433\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/278434"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=278433"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=278433"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=278433"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}