{"id":28374,"date":"2025-09-17T20:24:08","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T20:24:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/28374\/"},"modified":"2025-09-17T20:24:08","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T20:24:08","slug":"us-fed-chief-says-two-more-rate-cuts-in-2025-a-probability-not-certainty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/28374\/","title":{"rendered":"US Fed chief says two more rate cuts in 2025 a probability, not certainty"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">The central bank faces competing pressures in adjusting rates, with Trump\u2019s sweeping tariffs fuelling inflation risks while the job market weakens.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">The Fed typically holds rates at higher levels to bring inflation back to its 2% target, but could slash rates to support the labour market too.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">On Wednesday, the Fed lifted its 2025 growth forecast to 1.6% from June\u2019s 1.4% projection.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">It made no change to its unemployment and inflation forecasts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">Trump has intensified pressure on the Fed this year, calling repeatedly for major rate cuts and criticising Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">Besides appointing Miran when another official retired early, Trump moved in August to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, sparking a legal fight that could have prevented her from attending the gathering.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">Meanwhile, Miran has come under fire from Democratic lawmakers for taking a leave of absence rather than resigning from his White House role, a decision he attributed to the short tenure he fills, ending January 31.<\/p>\n<p>Dissents<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">Economists had expected more division among the FOMC as policymakers walk a tightrope balancing inflation and labour market risks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">This time, employment concerns won out, even as inflation remains above 2%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">The Fed said in a statement announcing its rate cut that \u201cdownside risks to employment have risen\u201d, even as inflation has \u201cmoved up and remains somewhat elevated\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">It noted that job gains have slowed while the unemployment rate has inched up \u2013 even as it \u201cremains low\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">All eyes are now on Powell\u2019s press briefing, which takes place shortly after the rate decision is unveiled.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">The expectation of two more rate cuts this year is slightly more than anticipated previously.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">The Fed made its last rate cut in December, and had held interest rates steady all year as it monitored the effects of Trump\u2019s tariffs on inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">The impact so far appears limited but economists warn their full effects have yet to materialise.<\/p>\n<p>\u2018Political attention\u2019<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">The central bank faces heightened scrutiny moving forward too.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">Miran\u2019s confirmation \u2013 without resigning from the CEA \u2013 risks a sense of political influence over Fed decisions, EY chief economist Gregory Daco earlier told AFP.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">Economists will be monitoring Miran\u2019s remarks and further votes on rate decisions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">Separately, the legal battle by Cook \u2013 the first black woman on the Fed\u2019s board of governors \u2013 could have broader implications for the bank.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">A federal appeals court ruled late Monday that Cook could remain in position while challenging her removal over alleged mortgage fraud.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">But the Trump administration plans to appeal the outcome, potentially bringing the case to the Supreme Court.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">\u201cThe backdrop that we\u2019re experiencing, where there is increased political attention on the Fed, is concerning,\u201d Daco said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">\u201cHistory has showed that in times when a central bank is under political influence, the economic outcomes are suboptimal,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">This could mean higher inflation, lower growth and more financial market volatility.<\/p>\n<p class=\"IGIlsTinqXLQ\" style=\"display:none\">&#8211; Agence France-Presse<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The central bank faces competing pressures in adjusting rates, with Trump\u2019s sweeping tariffs fuelling inflation risks while 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