{"id":290725,"date":"2026-02-19T00:07:09","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T00:07:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/290725\/"},"modified":"2026-02-19T00:07:09","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T00:07:09","slug":"federal-reserve-officials-warn-progress-towards-inflation-goal-will-be-uneven","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/290725\/","title":{"rendered":"Federal Reserve officials warn progress towards inflation goal will be \u2018uneven\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Unlock the Editor\u2019s Digest for free<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__content-sign-up-topic-description o3-type-body-base\">Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.<\/p>\n<p>Federal Reserve policymakers warned that progress towards the central bank\u2019s inflation target \u201cmight be slower and more uneven than generally expected\u201d, according to minutes from last month\u2019s rate-setting meeting. <\/p>\n<p>Minutes released on Wednesday of the Federal Open Market Committee\u2019s January 27-28 meeting showed policymakers anticipated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/us-inflation\" title=\"\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">US inflation<\/a> would continue to slow towards its 2 per cent goal even as \u201cthe pace and timing of this decline remained uncertain\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cMost participants, however, cautioned that progress towards the committee\u2019s 2 per cent objective might be slower and more uneven than generally expected and judged that the risk of inflation running persistently above the committee\u2019s objective was meaningful,\u201d the minutes read. <\/p>\n<p>The FOMC voted last month to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/561faeca-845a-4508-bbc2-a20489ac40f1\" title=\"\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">hold borrowing costs steady<\/a> following three straight 0.25 percentage point cuts, leaving the federal funds rate in a range of 3.5 to 3.75 per cent. Two governors dissented from the decision, voting instead for a further quarter-point cut. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/federal-reserve\" title=\"\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Fed<\/a> chair Jay Powell said after the January meeting that the committee would likely keep rates on hold for the foreseeable future as inflation edged lower and the labour market showed \u201cevidence of stabilisation\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Wednesday\u2019s record of the meeting made clear that most committee members backed that position, with policymakers indicating it would \u201clikely be appropriate to hold the policy rate steady for some time as the committee carefully assesses incoming data\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>Some of them \u201cjudged that additional policy easing may not be warranted until there was clear indication that the progress of disinflation was firmly back on track\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Several members went further, noting a rate rise \u201ccould be appropriate if inflation remains at above-target levels\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The Fed targets price stability and maximum employment. <\/p>\n<p>Wednesday\u2019s minutes suggested the Fed was homing in on the inflation side of its mandate given that \u201calmost all members no longer judged that downside risks to employment had risen in recent months\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>On the jobs market, which was dogged by tepid hiring in 2025, rate setters generally agreed that recent data \u201csuggested that labor market conditions may be stabilising after a period of gradual cooling\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>A report last week showed the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/a369333a-41b5-4e55-8e6e-cb04bb0f2e9f\" title=\"\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">US economy added 130,000 jobs<\/a> in January, its strongest performance in more than a year.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation has ratcheted gradually lower in recent months, but remains above the Fed\u2019s target level. The central bank\u2019s preferred PCE inflation gauge rose at a 2.8 per cent annual pace in November. A separate index of consumer prices climbed at a 2.4 per cent rate in January.<\/p>\n<p>Policymakers were generally confident that the effect of tariffs on prices would decline this year, while some indicated housing inflation was likely to continue to fall. Several members also said that higher productivity growth due to technological developments should help tame price rises.<\/p>\n<p class=\"n-content-recommended__title o3-type-body-highlight\">Recommended<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/94112b05-ac15-4ab2-89d4-c546f597e5b0\" data-trackable=\"image-link\" data-trackable-context-story-link=\"image-link\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-hidden=\"true\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"o-teaser__image\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/https:\/\/images.ft.com\/v3\/image\/raw\/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2F89f499.jpeg\" alt=\"A trader wearing glasses looks at monitors on the NYSE floor, surrounded by small American flags and trading screens.\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>But policymakers emphasised that the fall in price growth could still be slower than anticipated, with some pointing to reports from business contacts who expected tariffs and demand pressures to continue fuelling price increases.<\/p>\n<p>Markets were steady following the release of the minutes on Wednesday, with the two-year yield up slightly to 3.46 per cent. Trading in federal funds futures shows investors expect two to three rate cuts this year. <\/p>\n<p>Additional reporting by Kate Duguid in New York<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Unlock the Editor\u2019s Digest for free Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":290726,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":{"0":"post-290725","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-economy","10":"tag-new-zealand","11":"tag-newzealand","12":"tag-nz"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/290725","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=290725"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/290725\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/290726"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=290725"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=290725"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=290725"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}