The latest assessment was part of a collaboration between the nonprofit Endangered Wildlife Trust and the South African National Biodiversity Institute<\/a> that brought together 163 researchers from 40 institutions to update the conservation statuses of 336 mammal species native to South Africa, Lesotho and Eswatini (formerly known as Swaziland).<\/p>\n The review was guided by the standards set down by the IUCN, the global wildlife conservation authority that puts out the global edition of the Red List.<\/p>\n The assessment found that 20% of the 336 species are threatened with extinction while 11% are categorized as near threatened. Of the 67 endemic species, those found nowhere else on Earth, 29 are threatened with extinction.<\/p>\n Apart from the southern elephant seal, the researchers noted that the status of two other native mammals, roan antelope (Hippotragus equinus) and Hartmann\u2019s mountain zebra (Equus zebra hartmannae), has also improved since the last Mammal Red List for Southern Africa was published in 2016.<\/p>\n Causes of past decline still \u2018poorly understood\u2019<\/p>\n According to the latest assessment, between 1986 and 1994, the Marion Island population of southern elephant seals declined by 37% for reasons as yet unclear. Some experts suspect depletion of the elephant seal\u2019s prey as the primary cause for their decline.<\/p>\n At the time the last edition of the Mammal Red List for Southern Africa was published in 2016, scientists estimated that the elephant seal population on Marion Island and Prince Edward Island was around 3000 individuals.<\/a> The latest assessment says that it has grown to about 5,500 as of 2023.<\/p>\n The assessment authors noted that there are \u201cno major threats that could cause rapid population decline.\u201d<\/p>\n Tamanna Patel, the Mammal Red List coordinator at the Endangered Wildlife Trust, said this is population-specific recovery: The seals enjoy strong protections on the two islands, which form part of a marine protected area. Their breeding grounds in the region are also protected under South Africa\u2019s Seabirds and Seals Protection Act<\/a> of 1973.<\/p>\n \u201cThis tells us that conservation and increased protection of species habitats can result in species recovery,\u201d Patel told Mongabay in an email.<\/p>\n She noted that sustaining the gains would require continuous monitoring and more research into the factors behind the previous population declines and recent recovery.<\/p>\n \u201cWe do not fully understand the causes of the past decline, most likely attributed to food limitation. The causes of changes in food availability remain poorly understood,\u201d Patel said.<\/p>\n \u201cIn all likelihood, climate-related impacts and oceanographic changes have also influenced prey availability and distribution as well as spatial distribution of southern elephant seal foraging efforts,\u201d she added.<\/p>\n Nic Rawlence, an expert in paleo-genetics, the study of ancient DNA, at the University of Otago in Aotearoa New Zealand, who has studied the Australasian lineage of southern elephant seals, was cautiously optimistic about the improved conservation status.<\/p>\n \u201cI\u2019m quite surprised that southern elephant seals in South Africa have been downgraded to Least Concern given the causes of the stark population declines in the second half of the 20th century are not fully understood,\u201d Rawlence said in an email.<\/p>\n He added, however, the fact that the populations are recovering shows the ecosystem can support an increased number of the species.<\/p>\n Rawlence was part of a major study<\/a> published last year that analyzed the genetic makeup of the Australasian lineage of the seals to understand their resilience to climate change. They found that while the animals struggled with the impacts of shifting climate and human activities, they also adapted over time by expanding their range or withdrawing from certain habitats when conditions become difficult.<\/p>\n Rawlence said multidisciplinary, multicountry research into the causes of the past declines, including the potential impacts of climate change, oceanographic change and food availability, is needed. This will help scientists and conservationists implement evidence-based conservation management strategies now and in the future, he said.<\/p>\n Mixed picture for global population<\/p>\n In 2014,<\/a> the IUCN\u2019s global assessment also categorized the southern elephant seal\u2019s conservation status as being of least concern. Earlier assessments by the global authority in 2008 and 1996 also reached similar conclusions. In its 2014 assessment, the IUCN said \u201cthis apex marine predator faces few threats and conflicts as they live far from human population centres and have limited interactions with commercial fisheries.\u201d<\/p>\n Citation:<\/p>\n Berg, A. A., Askew, M., Seersholm, F. V., Verry, A. J., Hoelzel, A. R., Welch, A., \u2026 De Bruyn, M. (2025). Postglacial recolonization of the Southern Ocean by elephant seals occurred from multiple glacial refugia. Global Change Biology, 31(3). doi:10.1111\/gcb.70101<\/a><\/p>\n Banner image: According to scientists, the enhanced protection for southern elephant seals is likely benefiting other species in their habitat. Image courtesy of Nico de Bruyn.<\/p>\n ![\"Populations](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/2-3-scaled.jpg\")
Populations of elephant seals in South Africa are growing as their breeding colonies face limited threats. Images courtesy of Charles Kinsey.<\/p>\n![\"Populations](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1-5-scaled.jpg\")
Populations of elephant seals in South Africa are growing as their breeding colonies face limited threats. Images courtesy of Charles Kinsey.<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/3211d4774d10f7666706bf3cb7d62273164be601bb3f25c6c357b112f0e5ddb3.png\")
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