{"id":295455,"date":"2026-02-21T17:08:20","date_gmt":"2026-02-21T17:08:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/295455\/"},"modified":"2026-02-21T17:08:20","modified_gmt":"2026-02-21T17:08:20","slug":"big-jumps-and-falls-on-the-line-in-the-six-nations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/295455\/","title":{"rendered":"Big jumps and falls on the line in the Six Nations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This weekend\u2019s Six Nations and Rugby Europe Championship promises to shake up the World Rugby rankings.<\/p>\n<p>Three of the fixtures across the seven matches could see the lower-ranked team heading to the clash on the weekend move above their opponents.<\/p>\n<p>That trend could start with the first <a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetrugby.com\/tournament\/six-nations\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Six Nations<\/a> clash of the round with fourth-placed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetrugby.com\/team\/ireland\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">England<\/a> hosting fifth-placed Ireland.<\/p>\n<p>Rankings permutations<\/p>\n<p>A win by 15 points or less will see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetrugby.com\/team\/ireland\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ireland<\/a> move into fourth position in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetrugby.com\/tag\/world-rugby\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">World Rugby<\/a> rankings but if they beat Steve Borthwick\u2019s side by 16 points or more, Andy Farrell\u2019s men will jump two places into third regardless of the result between France and Italy.<\/p>\n<p>This is because France cannot improve their rating of 88.40 by beating Italy in Lille because of the 8.59 point differential between the teams before home weighting is factored in.<\/p>\n<p>A tight win for Borthwick\u2019s charges won\u2019t be enough to reclaim third place in the rankings if France do beat the Azzurri but a winning margin of over 15 for the hosts will be.<\/p>\n<p>Italy came within a successful kick of beating Les Bleus the last time they visited France and if they manage to go one better this weekend, the hosts will drop at least one place and as many as two depending on the result in London.<\/p>\n<p>A second Six Nations defeat would not result in Ireland dropping from their current ranking of fifth, even if it is an emphatic defeat.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, an all-time high of seventh is again within Italy\u2019s grasp if they can upset France and Scotland do not beat Wales by more than 15 points. Italy are guaranteed seventh place if they win by more than 15 points, regardless of what Scotland do in Cardiff.<\/p>\n<p>A win at the Principality Stadium could result in a double jump for Scotland, moving ahead of Fiji and Australia, but to do so Italy would also need to lose.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-1 text-sm font-semibold leading-snug text-title line-clamp-3 sm:mb-0 sm:text-[15px] sm:leading-5 sm:line-clamp-2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetrugby.com\/news\/ireland-team-five-takeaways-as-correct-sam-prendergast-call-highlights-andy-farrells-terrible-handling-of-fly-half-battle\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ireland team: Five takeaways as correct Sam Prendergast call highlights Andy Farrell\u2019s \u2018terrible\u2019 handling of fly-half battle<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Wales could drop<\/p>\n<p>Wales could drop below Japan and Georgia into 14th place if they suffer a 14th consecutive Six Nations defeat and Georgia also beat Spain and one of the margins is by more than 15 points. Spain will climb above Uruguay to match their highest ranking of 14th if they beat Georgia, but a win by more than 15 points will see them move above the Lelos for the first time since the rankings were introduced in October 2003. A 16th consecutive loss to Georgia will not result in a fall from 15th for Spain.<\/p>\n<p>Staying with the Rugby Europe Championship, Portugal will climb one or two places depending on the margin of victory over Romania. A defeat to Romania will see them slip below Samoa into 20th place.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-1 text-sm font-semibold leading-snug text-title line-clamp-3 sm:mb-0 sm:text-[15px] sm:leading-5 sm:line-clamp-2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetrugby.com\/news\/nigel-owens-hollie-davidson-should-have-stuck-by-her-decision-as-tmo-makes-incorrect-call\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nigel Owens: Hollie Davidson should have stuck by her \u2018decision\u2019 as TMO makes incorrect call<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Romania moved into 21st place last week but cannot climb this weekend as a win by more than 15 points will still leave them 0.05 rating points behind Portugal. Switzerland sit one place below their visitors in 28th but victory will be enough to see them swap places with the Netherlands and move to within one of their all-time high. The Dutch will climb above Namibia in victory and gain another place if Belgium lose to Germany.<\/p>\n<p>Belgium cannot improve their rating by beating the lower-ranked Germany so will remain 23rd in victory, but could fall as many as four places in defeat depending on the margin and outcome of Switzerland v Netherlands.<\/p>\n<p>Want more from Planet Rugby? Add us as <a rel=\"noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=planetrugby.com\" target=\"_blank\">a preferred source on Google to your favourites list<\/a> for world-class coverage you can trust.<\/p>\n<p>ENGLAND (4) 87.71 v IRELAND (5) 86.81<\/p>\n<p>England win by 15 points or less \u2013 England 88.32, Ireland 86.20<br \/>England win by more than 15 points \u2013 England 88.62, Ireland 85.89<br \/>Draw \u2013 England 87.32, Ireland 87.20<br \/>Ireland win by 15 points or less \u2013 England 86.32, Ireland 88.20<br \/>Ireland win by more than 15 points \u2013 England 85.62, Ireland 88.89<\/p>\n<p class=\"px-3 xs:px-4 mt-3 mb-2 font-semibold leading-snug text-base text-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetrugby.com\/news\/england-v-ireland-prediction-steve-borthwicks-side-to-get-title-hunt-back-on-track-while-questions-grow-louder-for-andy-farrell\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">England v Ireland prediction: Steve Borthwick\u2019s side to \u2018get title hunt back on track\u2019 while \u2018questions grow louder\u2019 for Andy Farrell<\/a><\/p>\n<p>WALES (11) 74.23 v SCOTLAND (9) 81.10<\/p>\n<p>Wales win by 15 points or less \u2013 Wales 75.62, Scotland 79.71<br \/>Wales win by more than 15 points \u2013 Wales 76.31, Scotland 79.02<br \/>Draw \u2013 Wales 74.62, Scotland 80.71<br \/>Scotland win by 15 points or less \u2013 Wales 73.62 Scotland 81.71<br \/>Scotland win by more than 15 points \u2013 Wales 73.31, Scotland 82.02<\/p>\n<p>FRANCE (3) 88.40 v ITALY (10) 79.81<\/p>\n<p>France win by 15 points or less \u2013 France 88.39, Italy 79.81 (No change)<br \/>France win by more than 15 points \u2013 France 88.39, Italy 79.81 (No change)<br \/>Draw \u2013 France 87.40, Italy 80.81<br \/>Italy win by 15 points or less \u2013 France 86.39, Italy 81.81<br \/>Italy win by more than 15 points \u2013 France 85.40, Italy 82.8<\/p>\n<p>Latest World Rugby Rankings<\/p>\n<p>(As of 20\/02\/2026)<\/p>\n<p>1 South Africa 93.94<br \/>2 New Zealand 90.33<br \/>3 France 88.40<br \/>4 England 87.71<br \/>5 Ireland 86.81<br \/>6 Argentina 84.97<br \/>7 Australia 81.53<br \/>8 Fiji 81.14<br \/>9 Scotland 81.10<br \/>10 Italy 79.81<br \/>11 Wales 74.23<br \/>12 Japan 74.09<br \/>13 Georgia 73.18<br \/>14 Uruguay 69.19<br \/>15 Spain 69.16<br \/>16 USA 68.26<br \/>17 Chile 66.72<br \/>18 Tonga 66.66<br \/>19 Portugal 66.53<br \/>20 Samoa 66.43<\/p>\n<p>READ MORE:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetrugby.com\/news\/england-great-doubles-down-on-scotland-criticism-after-gregor-townsend-slip-of-the-tongue-sums-up-the-mentality\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">England great doubles down on Scotland criticism after Gregor Townsend slip of the tongue \u2018sums up the mentality\u2019<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"This weekend\u2019s Six Nations and Rugby Europe Championship promises to shake up the World Rugby rankings. Three of&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":295456,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[13742,1463,1464,8019,1224,111,43,139,69,11063,117543,213,8020],"class_list":{"0":"post-295455","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-sports","8":"tag-georgia","9":"tag-home-page","10":"tag-internationals","11":"tag-ireland","12":"tag-italy","13":"tag-new-zealand","14":"tag-news","15":"tag-newzealand","16":"tag-nz","17":"tag-scotland","18":"tag-six-nations","19":"tag-sports","20":"tag-world-rugby"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295455","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=295455"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295455\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/295456"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=295455"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=295455"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=295455"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}