{"id":299920,"date":"2026-02-24T15:25:24","date_gmt":"2026-02-24T15:25:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/299920\/"},"modified":"2026-02-24T15:25:24","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T15:25:24","slug":"nvidia-results-are-ai-markets-biggest-test-amid-competitive-worries","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/299920\/","title":{"rendered":"Nvidia results are AI market&#8217;s biggest test amid competitive worries"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">By Arsheeya Bajwa and Aditya Soni<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">Feb 24 (Reuters) &#8211; As <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/NVDA\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Nvidia;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nvidia<\/a> heads into quarterly earnings on Wednesday, AI investors are seeking evidence that the chipmaker&#8217;s profits are growing apace on the back of a $630 billion capital spending budget from Big Tech. But signs of risk to Nvidia&#8217;s long-held dominance are also emerging \u200cfrom hyperscalers&#8217; plans to design their own cheaper AI chips.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">After powering much of the U.S. stock market rally for the past three years, Nvidia&#8217;s stock has risen \u200cjust about 2% so far in 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">Along with Advanced Micro Devices, which is set to unveil a new flagship AI server later this year, Alphabet&#8217;s Google has emerged as a top rival with a deal to provide Claude chatbot \u200bcreator Anthropic with its in-house chips called TPUs. Google is also in talks to supply Meta &#8211; a large Nvidia customer, according to media reports.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">To defend its position, Nvidia struck a deal, reportedly worth $20 billion, last year to license chip technology from Groq &#8211; a move that analysts say would boost its position in the booming market for inference, the process by which a trained AI model answer questions in real time. Nvidia last week also agreed to sell millions of chips to Meta, though it did not disclose the value of the deal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">But Nvidia, the biggest winner of the \u200cAI boom, has itself stoked doubts about whether the spending is \u2060sustainable by drawing out the process of a potential $100 billion investment in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yahoo.com\/organizations\/openai\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:OpenAI;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">OpenAI<\/a>, one of its biggest customers. A recent media report said it plans to replace that commitment with a smaller $30 billion investment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">&#8220;This earnings in particular is important because people are so concerned about AI spending &#8211; whether \u2060we&#8217;re in a bubble,&#8221; said Ivana Delevska, chief investment officer of Spear Invest, which holds the company&#8217;s shares in an exchange-traded fund. &#8220;Showing that earnings are not really decelerating will be pretty important.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">Wall Street expects Nvidia to report that profit in the quarter ended January surged more than 62%, according to data compiled by LSEG, a slowdown from 65.3% growth in the previous quarter as it faces tougher comparisons \u200bwith \u200bits previous earnings.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">Revenue likely jumped more than 68% to $66.16 billion. Analysts expect Nvidia to forecast that first \u200bquarter revenue will grow another 64.4% to $72.46 billion. The company has surpassed \u200csales expectations for the past 13 quarters, though that delta has shrunk.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">RBC analysts expect the company to forecast April quarter revenue at least 3% above estimates. Spear Invest&#8217;s Delevska, an Nvidia bull, sees the company forecasting sales as much as $10 billion above estimates, expecting it to surpass market estimates by more than 13%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">STILL NO. 1<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">Analysts are still expecting demand for Nvidia&#8217;s pricey chips, which act as the &#8220;brains&#8221; of servers processing huge AI workloads to remain robust, and garner most of Big Tech&#8217;s massive spending to expand AI data center capacity this year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">Nvidia&#8217;s executives also hinted in January that they were discussing data center orders for next year with customers, leading several analysts to forecast the company would update a $500 billion order backlog figure it \u200cfirst offered in October.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">The biggest constraint on Nvidia&#8217;s growth, though, could be supply chain bottlenecks that limit the \u200bspeed of AI chip shipments as Nvidia and rivals are vying for space on contract chipmaker TSMC&#8217;s 3-nanometer assembly \u200blines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">&#8220;We think Nvidia will meet expectations, but it is hard to see them delivering \u200bmuch upside in light of TSMC capacity,&#8221; Jay Goldberg of Seaport Research Partners wrote in a note.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">But the potential return of Nvidia&#8217;s AI chip \u200csales to China &#8211; earlier restricted due to export curbs placed by the \u200bU.S. government &#8211; could help bump up sales.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">CEO Jensen \u200bHuang said last month he hopes China will allow the company to sell its powerful H200 AI chip in the country and that the license is being finalised.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">Rival AMD added sales of AI chips back to its forecast for the current quarter after it received licenses to ship some of its modified processors to China.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">Nvidia is \u200bexpected to record adjusted gross margin of 75% in the fourth \u200cquarter, an increase of more than one percentage point from the year-ago period.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">Analysts don&#8217;t expect the company to hurt from the global memory supply shortage. Nvidia&#8217;s \u200bpricing power and the likelihood of it already having locked in high-bandwidth memory allocations for the year would cushion it from the impact of rising memory \u200bprices, they said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\">(Reporting by Arsheeya Bajwa and Aditya Soni in Bengaluru; Editing by Sayantani Ghosh)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"By Arsheeya Bajwa and Aditya Soni Feb 24 (Reuters) &#8211; As Nvidia heads into quarterly earnings on Wednesday,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":299921,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[365,363,364,111,139,1042,69,57833,145],"class_list":["post-299920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nvidia","tag-nz","tag-quarterly-earnings","tag-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/299920","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=299920"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/299920\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/299921"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=299920"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=299920"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=299920"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}