{"id":311967,"date":"2026-03-04T03:54:16","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T03:54:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/311967\/"},"modified":"2026-03-04T03:54:16","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T03:54:16","slug":"immigration-account-150-million-in-the-red-visa-numbers-overestimated","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/311967\/","title":{"rendered":"Immigration account $150 million in the red, visa numbers overestimated"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/4NR9BFJ_copyright_image_158723.jpeg\" width=\"1050\" height=\"656\" alt=\"No caption\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"photo-captioned__information\">\nPhoto: 123rf.com\n<\/p>\n<p>Over-optimistic forecasting of visa numbers has contributed to a blow-out in Immigration New Zealand&#8217;s finances.<\/p>\n<p>Visa fees rose sharply in 2024, but the agency&#8217;s memorandum account &#8211; balancing costs and visa revenue &#8211; has sunk into a $152 million deficit.<\/p>\n<p>The education and workforce select committee heard that deficit is likely to continue, despite INZ shedding 100 jobs last year.<\/p>\n<p>It is spending $336 million over eight years on a new IT system.<\/p>\n<p>Immigration policy manager Si\u00e2n Roguski said there was also a set of assumptions, which forecast higher revenue and volumes, but which never eventuated. One of them was an over-estimate of accredited employer work visa numbers, which have been hit by the economic downturn.<\/p>\n<p>The deficit coincided with a rise in user-pays funding (91 percent) and a surge in applications submitted before visa fees were due to rise.<\/p>\n<p>New legislation has widened the potential for user-pays, to charge third-parties who benefit from immigration, such as the international education sector.<\/p>\n<p>Another bill &#8211; not yet before Parliament &#8211; will look at tightening up compliance activities.<\/p>\n<p>Immigration minister Erika Stanford said the government wanted to &#8220;make sure we are not being taken advantage of&#8221;, cracking down on employers or those not abiding by their visa conditions.<\/p>\n<p>Opposition immigration spokesperson Phil Twyord asked whether she thought last year&#8217;s tally of 16 prosecution was an adequate response to the scale of migrant exploitation.<\/p>\n<p>Stanford said INZ staff had been moved from visa operations to compliance, and the response had been stepped up.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, compliance manager Steve Watson said there were 49 migrant exploitation cases now before the courts. More than 2000 businesses have had their accreditation to recruit migrants suspended or revoked.<\/p>\n<p>Outgoing INZ head Alison McDonald said its biometric and ID programme has been delayed as it works with other departments, including Internal Affairs, on a new whole-of-government identity scheme.<\/p>\n<p>Middle East conflict<\/p>\n<p>Refugee services manager Fiona Whiteridge said 41 quota refugees have not been able to travel to New Zealand because of the Middle East war.<\/p>\n<p>A dedicated desk was being set up to field questions and requests for visa extensions for Iranian migrants in New Zealand, and others affected by travel disruption, said Stanford.<\/p>\n<p>Twyford asked whether the government would create a longerterm solution as it did for Ukrainians when war broke out in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Stanford said that had not yet been discussed, while they dealt with the immediate knock-on effects of the conflict in Iran.<\/p>\n<p>No decision has been taken on the future of the community organisation refugee sponsorship pilot programme (CORS), which settled almost 200 refugees.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/radionz.us6.list-manage.com\/subscribe?u=211a938dcf3e634ba2427dde9&amp;id=b3d362e693\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sign up for Ng\u0101 Pitopito K\u014drero<\/a>, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Photo: 123rf.com Over-optimistic forecasting of visa numbers has contributed to a blow-out in Immigration New Zealand&#8217;s finances. Visa&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":311968,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[48,47,111,43,139,69,49,46,44,45],"class_list":{"0":"post-311967","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-zealand","8":"tag-audio","9":"tag-current-affairs","10":"tag-new-zealand","11":"tag-news","12":"tag-newzealand","13":"tag-nz","14":"tag-podcasts","15":"tag-public-radio","16":"tag-radio-new-zealand","17":"tag-rnz"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/311967","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=311967"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/311967\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/311968"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=311967"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=311967"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=311967"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}