{"id":315082,"date":"2026-03-06T00:12:15","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T00:12:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/315082\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T00:12:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T00:12:15","slug":"solar-in-poor-countries-is-creating-a-huge-lead-hazard","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/315082\/","title":{"rendered":"Solar in poor countries is creating a huge lead hazard"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Solar panels have become incredibly cheap. This has been overwhelmingly good for the world, but skeptics continue to note issues with <a href=\"https:\/\/thebreakthrough.org\/issues\/energy\/solar-and-nuclear-both-must-live-energy-technology-fanaticism-needs-to-die\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">intermittency<\/a>, seasonality, and the <a href=\"https:\/\/e360.yale.edu\/features\/solar-land-grabs-agrovoltaics\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">land use requirements<\/a> of engaging in massively redundant overbuilding. <\/p>\n<p>But that\u2019s not what today\u2019s post is about. Today, I\u2019m writing about solar in a context where none of these limitations really matter and cheap panels are just a huge win: poor countries in sub-Saharan Africa.<\/p>\n<p>If you live, as hundreds of millions of people do, in a village that does not have a functioning electrical grid, the goofy environmentalist dream of a decentralized power system based on rooftop solar is incredibly appealing. I sometimes hear this characterized as \u201cleapfrogging,\u201d as if getting power in that manner is genuinely superior to having centralized utilities. I don\u2019t believe that\u2019s true. But it is absolutely superior to having no electricity at all.  <\/p>\n<p>Beyond the baseline consideration, the other big advantage that solar power has in most of Africa is that seasonality considerations are much weaker. The closer you are to the equator, the less variation in sunlight there is between summer and winter. Even better, it doesn\u2019t get really cold in the winter, so home heating needs aren\u2019t as energy intensive. Many American environmentalists want to shift to a 100 percent renewable grid while also persuading residents of the northeastern United States to switch to heat pumps. Building a stable, winter-peaking electricity system based on solar panels at the latitude of Massachusetts carries specific challenges that simply aren\u2019t relevant in many African countries.<\/p>\n<p>Long story short, equipping African households with decentralized solar systems \u2014 especially when paired with batteries so they work at night \u2014 is a huge win for human betterment. You probably won\u2019t solve big economic-development problems this way, because these systems don\u2019t provide enough power for industrial or commercial uses. But you\u2019ll make life better in concrete, tangible ways for some of the poorest people on Earth. <\/p>\n<p>Accordingly, many institutions are working with African governments to spread decentralized solar\/battery systems, and there is clear evidence of a <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/latest-insights\/the-first-evidence-of-a-take-off-in-solar-in-africa\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">rapid solar takeoff<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!Nevn!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa089f6d3-6244-4ada-ae76-b2a883e55d9e_1606x1420.png\" data-component-name=\"Image2ToDOM\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img can-restack\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/a089f6d3-6244-4ada-ae76-b2a883e55d9e_1606.jpeg\" width=\"1456\" height=\"1287\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/a089f6d3-6244-4ada-ae76-b2a883e55d9e_1606x1420.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1287,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:274215,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.slowboring.com\/i\/189392657?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa089f6d3-6244-4ada-ae76-b2a883e55d9e_1606x1420.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" alt=\"\"   class=\"sizing-normal\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Great news! Except there\u2019s a big problem with the batteries. <\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cgdev.org\/sites\/default\/files\/lead-safe-off-grid-electrification-understanding-issues.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">new report from the Center for Global Development<\/a> documents that most of these systems use lead-acid batteries, like Americans use in cars. Lead-acid batteries work for a while and then need to be recycled. If they\u2019re recycled safely, that\u2019s fine. But in poor countries, most lead-acid batteries are not recycled safely and they become a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.slowboring.com\/i\/131170370\/theres-a-huge-global-lead-poisoning-problem\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">huge source of toxic lead poisoning<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>C.G.D. believes that decentralized solar systems are currently generating somewhere between 250,000 and 1.5 million tons of unsafe lead-acid battery waste per year, a number that could grow much higher. <\/p>\n<p>Americans have mostly heard about lead issues in recent years due to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2024\/04\/26\/1198909905\/flint-water-lead-poisoning-anniversary-chicago\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tragic situation in Flint, Michigan<\/a>. But on the whole, lead exposure via faulty water pipes is a relatively minor issue. Across American history, the biggest culprits for lead exposure have been lead paint and leaded gasoline. Both were phased out decades ago, but old paint chips and lingering lead in soil have remained problems for years, albeit at diminishing rates. <\/p>\n<p>The global situation is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.slowboring.com\/p\/two-visions-of-environmentalism\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">quite different and much worse<\/a>, to the point that in low- and middle-income countries, half of children have blood lead levels above the threshold that would trigger emergency action in the United States. <\/p>\n<p>It sounds fantastical to cite numbers this high. But there is credible (albeit somewhat uncertain) research indicating that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cgdev.org\/blog\/does-lead-exposure-really-kill-five-million-people-year-probably-yes\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">five million people per year die<\/a> as a result of lead-induced cardiovascular impairments. And roughly <a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/wbro\/article\/40\/2\/229\/7734093?login=false#526697740\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">20 percent of the gap in academic achievement<\/a> between poor and rich countries is due to lead\u2019s impact on kids\u2019 cognitive development. <\/p>\n<p>The sources of poor-country lead toxicity are varied. <\/p>\n<p>There are tainted spices. In some parts of the world, cosmetics that contain lead are common. The Food and Drug Administration periodically warns about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fda.gov\/food\/alerts-advisories-safety-information\/fda-issues-warning-about-imported-cookware-may-leach-lead-august-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">cookware widely used in South Asia that leaches lead<\/a> into food.<\/p>\n<p>But another major source of lead is the recycling of lead-acid batteries, as the C.G.D. report details. Unsafe recycling has long been known to cause an intense, localized environmental hazard right where the smelting is taking place. But a couple of years ago, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cgdev.org\/blog\/battery-recycling-far-bigger-source-lead-exposure-we-thought\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rory Todd and Lee Crawfurd realized that if you sample a wider radius<\/a>, you find elevated levels of lead contamination across a much larger area. <\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!6xcZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F05ccdb15-e9f0-43cd-b9bb-bda030635b97_1264x842.png\" data-component-name=\"Image2ToDOM\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img can-restack\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/05ccdb15-e9f0-43cd-b9bb-bda030635b97_1264.jpeg\" width=\"1264\" height=\"842\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/05ccdb15-e9f0-43cd-b9bb-bda030635b97_1264x842.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:842,&quot;width&quot;:1264,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:152905,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.slowboring.com\/i\/189392657?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F05ccdb15-e9f0-43cd-b9bb-bda030635b97_1264x842.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" alt=\"\"   loading=\"lazy\" class=\"sizing-normal\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The upshot is that poorly regulated recycling of lead-acid batteries (the kind used to start cars, motorcycles, and other vehicles) is a much bigger problem than was previously realized. <\/p>\n<p>In rich countries, solar systems use cleaner, safer, but more expensive lithium-ion batteries. The batteries directly funded by the World Bank <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cgdev.org\/sites\/default\/files\/lead-safe-off-grid-electrification-understanding-issues.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">also use lithium ion<\/a>. But solar panels themselves have become relatively cheap and widely available, while battery storage remains the expensive component of an off-grid system. Lead batteries are cheaper than lithium ion, so it seems that lead batteries are dominating the market in poor countries. Those batteries are then recycled and ecological catastrophe ensues. <\/p>\n<p>If you look at C.G.D.\u2019s estimates for how much lead waste is being generated by off-grid solar systems, the span of uncertainty is annoyingly high. It\u2019s either a medium-sized deal or else a super-gigantic deal and, to their credit, the researchers aren\u2019t lying to us and pretending to have more certainty than they really do. <\/p>\n<p>But the uncertainty is not just troubling; it\u2019s a sign of how little attention is paid to lead-related problems. Only a tiny number of people work on this issue, to the point where even basic measurement is hard. <\/p>\n<p>And the neglect is tragic because, in most cases, these are fairly tractable problems. <\/p>\n<p>Both lithium-ion batteries and safe recycling are perfectly workable technologies. Using lead-acid batteries and recycling them in an unsafe manner is cheaper, which is why it happens, but it causes massive externalities. With better regulation or more generous funding of higher quality batteries, we wouldn\u2019t need to be doing this to the world. <\/p>\n<p>The solar issue is worth paying attention to not just for the irony that a green technology is contributing to extreme environmental harm, but precisely because decentralized solar is such a fundamentally promising technology for poor countries. It\u2019s plausible that African solar generation will go vertical over the next few years, which would be great \u2014 except if it also means a huge increase in unsafe recycling of lead batteries, then that would be terrible. The world desperately needs to get ahead of this problem. <\/p>\n<p data-attrs=\"{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.slowboring.com\/p\/solar-in-poor-countries-is-creating?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}\" data-component-name=\"ButtonCreateButton\" class=\"button-wrapper\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.slowboring.com\/p\/solar-in-poor-countries-is-creating?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"button primary\" target=\"_blank\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Solar panels have become incredibly cheap. This has been overwhelmingly good for the world, but skeptics continue to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":315083,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[273,111,139,69,147],"class_list":["post-315082","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-environment","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/315082","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=315082"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/315082\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/315083"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=315082"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=315082"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=315082"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}