{"id":321538,"date":"2026-03-10T00:35:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T00:35:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/321538\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T00:35:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T00:35:08","slug":"incoming-1300-pound-nasa-satellite-will-crash-to-earth-on-march-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/321538\/","title":{"rendered":"Incoming! 1,300-pound NASA satellite will crash to Earth on March 10"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"b3a179c1-6465-45fc-9d91-ca6c09bac852\">A big NASA satellite will crash back to Earth on Tuesday (March 10) after nearly 14 years in orbit, experts say.<\/p>\n<p>The spacecraft in question is the 1,323-pound (600-kilogram) Van Allen Probe A, which launched in August 2012 along with its twin, Van Allen Probe B, to study the <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/33948-van-allen-radiation-belts.html\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/33948-van-allen-radiation-belts.html\" data-hl-processed=\"none\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"inline-link\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/33948-van-allen-radiation-belts.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">radiation belts around Earth<\/a> for which they&#8217;re named.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"elk-seasonal\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"b3a179c1-6465-45fc-9d91-ca6c09bac852-2\" class=\"paywall\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Both spacecraft were deactivated in 2019, and Van Allen Probe A&#8217;s time off Earth is now nearly up. As of Monday afternoon (March 9), the <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/us-space-force-history-mission-capabilities\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/us-space-force-history-mission-capabilities\" data-hl-processed=\"none\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"inline-link\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/us-space-force-history-mission-capabilities\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. Space Force<\/a> predicted that the satellite will reenter <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/17683-earth-atmosphere.html\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/17683-earth-atmosphere.html\" data-hl-processed=\"none\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"inline-link\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/17683-earth-atmosphere.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Earth&#8217;s atmosphere<\/a> on Tuesday at 7:45 p.m. EDT (2345 GMT), plus or minus 24 hours.<\/p>\n<p>Article continues below <\/p>\n<p>            You may like<\/p>\n<p id=\"26098787-dab1-4008-b6a2-22c7404bbd77\">&#8220;NASA expects most of the spacecraft to burn up as it travels through the atmosphere, but some components are expected to survive reentry,&#8221; NASA officials wrote in an <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/missions\/van-allen-probes\/nasa-van-allen-probe-a-to-re-enter-atmosphere\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/missions\/van-allen-probes\/nasa-van-allen-probe-a-to-re-enter-atmosphere\/\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer-when-downgrade\" data-hl-processed=\"none\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"inline-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">update on Monday<\/a>. &#8220;The risk of harm coming to anyone on Earth is low \u2014 approximately 1 in 4,200.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>That low risk of injury \u2014 about 0.02% \u2014 takes into account the fact that water covers about 70% of Earth&#8217;s surface. So, any parts that survive reentry will likely splash down in the open ocean, not land in or around a city.<\/p>\n<p>The Space Force&#8217;s estimated reentry time is just that \u2014 an estimate. It will be updated in the coming hours, as more and better data come in.<\/p>\n<p id=\"c3e04638-6d58-42b7-8ad3-4abe16095bf6\">The Van Allen Probes \u2014 which were originally called the Radiation Belt Storm Probes \u2014 launched to a highly elliptical orbit, which took them as far away from Earth as 18,900 miles (30,415 kilometers) and brought them as close as 384 miles (618 km).<\/p>\n<p class=\"newsletter-form__strapline\">Breaking space news, the latest updates on rocket launches, skywatching events and more!<\/p>\n<p>The mission was supposed to last just two years, but the spacecraft managed to continue operating until July 2019 (Probe B) and October 2019 (Probe A). They gathered data that scientists and mission planners analyze to this day.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;By reviewing archived data from the mission, scientists study the radiation belts surrounding Earth, which are key to predicting how <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/solar-cycle-frequency-prediction-facts\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/solar-cycle-frequency-prediction-facts\" data-hl-processed=\"none\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"inline-link\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/solar-cycle-frequency-prediction-facts\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">solar activity<\/a> impacts satellites, astronauts, and even systems on Earth such as communications, navigation and power grids,&#8221; NASA officials said in the same statement. &#8220;By observing these dynamic regions, the Van Allen Probes contributed to improving forecasts of <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/space-weather\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/space-weather\" data-hl-processed=\"none\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"inline-link\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/space-weather\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">space weather<\/a> events and their potential consequences.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Both probes were expected to stay up in Earth orbit until 2034. However, <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/58-the-sun-formation-facts-and-characteristics.html\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/58-the-sun-formation-facts-and-characteristics.html\" data-hl-processed=\"none\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"inline-link\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/58-the-sun-formation-facts-and-characteristics.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the sun<\/a> has been <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/astronomy\/sun\/sun-erupts-with-powerful-x-class-flare-as-huge-cme-races-toward-earth-impact-possible-within-24-hours\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/astronomy\/sun\/sun-erupts-with-powerful-x-class-flare-as-huge-cme-races-toward-earth-impact-possible-within-24-hours\" data-hl-processed=\"none\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"inline-link\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/astronomy\/sun\/sun-erupts-with-powerful-x-class-flare-as-huge-cme-races-toward-earth-impact-possible-within-24-hours\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">unexpectedly active<\/a> in recent years, causing our planet&#8217;s atmosphere to expand and frictional drag on orbiting satellites to increase.<\/p>\n<p>Such effects have likely shortened Van Allen Probe B&#8217;s time in space as well, but less dramatically than its twin&#8217;s. Probe B isn&#8217;t expected to reenter before 2030, according to NASA.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A big NASA satellite will crash back to Earth on Tuesday (March 10) after nearly 14 years in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":321539,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[111,139,69,147,392],"class_list":{"0":"post-321538","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-space","8":"tag-new-zealand","9":"tag-newzealand","10":"tag-nz","11":"tag-science","12":"tag-space"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321538","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=321538"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321538\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/321539"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=321538"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=321538"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=321538"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}