{"id":327394,"date":"2026-03-13T08:07:07","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T08:07:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/327394\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T08:07:07","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T08:07:07","slug":"uk-economy-unexpectedly-flatlined-in-january-official-figures-show-economic-growth-gdp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/327394\/","title":{"rendered":"UK economy unexpectedly flatlined in January, official figures show | Economic growth (GDP)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The UK economy entered the Middle East crisis after a weak start to the year, according to official figures showing flatlining January output before the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/us-israel-war-on-iran\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">US-Israel war on Iran<\/a> hit global energy prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Figures from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ons.gov.uk\/economy\/grossdomesticproductgdp\/bulletins\/gdpmonthlyestimateuk\/january2026\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Office for National Statistics<\/a> (ONS) showed 0% growth in gross domestic product (GDP), down from an increase of 0.1% in December, as the economy failed to recover from uncertainty surrounding the chancellor Rachel Reeves\u2019s autumn budget.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Falling significantly short of City predictions for growth of 0.2%, the figures came as the UK and other countries faced a potentially severe economic hit as the Middle East conflict drove up oil and gas prices, hitting consumers with higher living costs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Output in Britain\u2019s dominant service sector flatlined, amid sharp declines in activity in the recruitment industry and hospitality sector.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2026\/feb\/17\/uk-unemployment-rate-ons-interest-rates\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Unemployment<\/a> in the UK has risen to the highest level in five years in recent months, with businesses complaining that employer tax increases and a rising \u201cnational living wage\u201d are hitting jobs. Hiring has fallen most in sectors including hospitality and retail.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The production sector \u2013 which includes manufacturing, mining, and energy generation \u2013 fell by 0.1% on the month, while the construction industry grew by 0.2%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Over the broader three months to the end of January, growth rose by 0.2%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Alpesh Paleja, deputy chief economist at the CBI, said: \u201cThe broader picture is still one of an economy treading water since the middle of last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cHowever, this data is already backward-looking. The near-term outlook is now dominated by heightened uncertainty surrounding conflict in the Middle East.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Oil prices <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/mar\/11\/us-oil-iran-israel-war\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">rose past $100 a barrel<\/a> on Thursday for a second time this week, as widespread Iranian attacks on energy facilities across the region overshadowed a vast release of government reserves.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Analysts said that if sustained, higher energy prices would drive up inflation, dashing hopes of an interest rate cut from the Bank of England next week. Financial markets anticipate Threadneedle Street could be forced to increase borrowing costs next year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Against an increasingly volatile backdrop, Reeves is expected to use a speech early next week to spell out Labour\u2019s plan for the economy amid growing calls for an emergency energy support package.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Responding to the GDP figures, the chancellor said: \u201cOur economic plan is the right one, but I know there is more to do.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cIn an uncertain world, we are building a stronger and more secure economy by cutting the cost of living, cutting national debt and creating the conditions for growth to make all parts of the country better off.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Experts said sharply rising living costs, alongside heightened geopolitical uncertainty, would damage consumer spending and business confidence, with the potential to trigger a recession if the conflict was sustained.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The economy <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2026\/feb\/12\/uk-economy-grows-rachel-reeves-budget-ons-gdp-growth\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">grew by 1.3% in 2025<\/a>, an improvement on growth of 1.1% in 2024, although worse than official forecasts of 1.5% amid uncertainty over tax increases and the health of the public finances.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The UK economy entered the Middle East crisis after a weak start to the year, according to official&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":327395,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":["post-327394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/327394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=327394"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/327394\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/327395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=327394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=327394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=327394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}