{"id":335804,"date":"2026-03-18T13:55:22","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T13:55:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/335804\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T13:55:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T13:55:22","slug":"the-rate-of-global-warming-is-accelerating-approaching-a-dangerous-tipping-point","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/335804\/","title":{"rendered":"The rate of global warming is accelerating, approaching a dangerous tipping point"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Multiple recently released studies highlight dire changes in the earth\u2019s climate and environment due to global warming which may soon unleash a self-reinforcing feedback loop which is difficult or impossible to reverse.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsws.org\/en\/articles\/2015\/12\/14\/clim-d14.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2015 Paris agreement<\/a>\u00a0set a somewhat arbitrary but nevertheless significant goal of limiting global average temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit) above the preindustrial level, beyond which significant negative changes in earth\u2019s climate were projected to begin. At the current rate of increase, that turning point will be reached by 2030, if not sooner.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A newly published report in\u00a0Nature,\u00a0titled, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-026-00745-z\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Climate change is speeding up\u2014the pace nearly doubled in ten years<\/a>\u201d (Witz, March 6, 2026) finds that the past three years have been the hottest on record, continuing a decades-long trend of increasing temperatures. The overall rate of increase has risen from 0.2 degrees C. per decade in the 1970s to around 0.35 degrees C. per decade currently, based on data from NASA.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"db relative center\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/88e47da8-614f-4430-a25c-8d1d99ae524a.jpeg\" style=\"max-height:100%\"\/>Emissions from a coal-fired power plant are silhouetted against the setting sun in Kansas City, Mo., Feb. 1, 2021 (AP Photo\/Charlie Riedel, File)<\/p>\n<p>Ironically, the recent surge may be the result of a lowering of particulate matter in the atmosphere due to the introduction of fuel regulations for international shipping. These particles reflect sunlight into space, reducing the amount of solar radiation reaching the ground. Nevertheless, this has only enhanced an overall marked warming trend clearly evident since at least the 1980s, due to the burning of fossil fuels that release heat-trapping gasses into the atmosphere.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Other studies corroborate the acceleration in global warming. One, for example, found that the rate of warming increased from 0.2 degrees C. per decade in the 1970s to 0.27 degrees C. now. That is slightly slower than the study previously cited, but still demonstrates a marked upward trend.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This acceleration is being driven by continuing greenhouse gas emissions. Another study was published in the journal\u00a0PHYS.ORG, prepared by the Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST) (March 6, 2026), and titled \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/phys.org\/news\/2026-03-carbon-emissions-planetary-boundary-analysis.html#google_vignette\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Carbon emissions now more than double the planetary boundary, analysis finds<\/a>.\u201d It found that,\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Based on the condition of limiting the rise in global average temperature to within 1.5\u00b0C, the analysis showed that Earth&#8217;s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/phys.org\/news\/2023-10-window-15c-emissions.html?utm_source=embeddings&amp;utm_medium=related&amp;utm_campaign=internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">safe limit<\/a>\u00a0for annual CO\u2082 emissions is approximately 4\u201317 gigatons (Gt CO\u2082 per year). However, humanity&#8217;s current annual emissions amount to about 37 gigatons (Gt CO\u2082 per year). This level exceeds Earth&#8217;s safe operating space by more than twofold.<\/p>\n<p>The consequences of this trend are alarming. Another recent study published in\u00a0Nature Climate Change\u00a0(Palmer, March 3, 2026) is titled, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41558-026-02573-5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">The hard road back from overshoot<\/a>.\u201d It presents the stark reality that there is no possibility of achieving the Paris agreement\u2019s goal of keeping the increase in global temperatures to below 1.5 C degrees C. above preindustrial levels by drastically reducing greenhouse gas emissions. It is now clear that \u201cemissions have kept climbing, and even the most optimistic models now project that the global temperature will rise past 1.5 \u00b0C in just a few years, reach 2 \u00b0C in the next decade, and will remain above that for decades before coming back down, perhaps.\u201d This is now referred to as \u201covershoot.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"db avenir f6 lh-title pa1 br2 tc mw6 mw-75rem-m bg-black-05 mt3 center\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wsws.org\/en\/special\/pages\/stop-the-imperialist-war-of-extermination-against-iran-live.html?utm_source=wsws&amp;utm_medium=banner&amp;utm_campaign=march-8-iran-war-webinar&amp;utm_content=in-article-top\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"dn db-m\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2f94a743-ac1d-47ab-849f-376aee4f9c78.png\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"db dn-m\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/a3cb3548-ee5f-4fa2-911a-040c4a89c808.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The period of overshoot, even if dramatic measures, much more extensive than the feeble attempts made so far, are undertaken, will have devastating consequences not easily reversed. According to one scientist quoted in the article, \u201cCoral reefs bleach, ice sheets melt, 50% of species vanish and droughts lengthen. These things happen long before temperatures start to fall. \u2018We can\u2019t just go above and then slide back,\u2019 he said. \u2018We carry the damage forward.\u2019\u201d One result is that frequency and strength of extreme storms will increase, with devastating consequences. A number of other scientists corroborate these dire predictions. The longer the drastic reduction in greenhouse gas emissions is delayed, the greater the impacts to the earth\u2019s environment will be.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The article goes on to frame the fight against global warming as a moral imperative, which is to be implemented by educating those in power. A wide range of measures are proposed that can be implemented to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, as with the struggle against the Gaza genocide, the war in Iran and the establishment of a Trump dictatorship, bitter experience demonstrates that such appeals will fail. As the old saying goes, \u201cThere are none so blind as those who will not see.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Appeals to the ruling capitalist oligarchy fall on deaf ears. Their interest is in defending the economic system on which their power is based. Any more than token efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions would impinge on their profits and will be resisted. The history of the past half century proves that to be the case. And the growing capitalist crisis is already prompting the Trump administration to conduct a direct assault on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsws.org\/en\/articles\/2025\/11\/03\/fmlk-n03.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">meager environmental regulations<\/a>\u00a0put in place in the preceding decades.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, the Trump administration is actively seeking to suppress research on the effects of climate change on the environment. For example, one study, newly released in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/naturerecord.org\/chapters\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">draft form<\/a>, reviews a large range of existing research on the already evident negative effects of global warming and other human activities on the natural environment and the consequences for humanity. This study was originally sponsored by the US federal government, then canceled by the Trump administration, but the team of scientists working on the project continued with it anyway.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The report paints a grim picture of the environmental degradation that has already occurred. For example, freshwater ecosystems are \u201coverdrawn, polluted, fragmented and invaded.\u201d Biodiversity is reduced. An estimated 34 percent of plant species and 40 percent of animal species are at risk of extinction. The impacts on the human population are already evident, including degradation of clean water, food, health, livelihoods and protection from storms and fire.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ai.wsws.org\/?utm_source=wsws&amp;utm_medium=in-article-ad&amp;utm_campaign=socialism-ai-launch&amp;utm_content=top-third-banner\" class=\"db avenir f6 lh-title pa1 br2 tc mw6 mw-75rem-m bg-black-05 mt3 center\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"dn db-m\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1766238847_184_77352214-3383-472c-9399-8dde327d4f41\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"db dn-m\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1766238847_282_880b7d38-7d68-4143-b20f-aea27f1f8f19\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Another potentially devastating effect of global warming is the rise in sea level. New research, published in\u00a0Nature(Seeger and Minderhoud, March 4, 2026), titled \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10196-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Sea level much higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments<\/a>,\u201d has found that overall sea levels are already 8 inches to a foot (20.32 to 30.48 cm) higher than has been understood. In some areas it is considerably higher, up to several meters, due to ocean dynamics. The implications for millions of people living in coastal areas are significant. The study found the greatest deviations between pre-existing measurements and the new, higher findings were in Latin America, East Africa and the Indo-Pacific, with Southeast Asia and Oceania as global hotspots. Deviations of up to several meters were observed.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>As global temperatures continue to increase, sea levels will rise even more. This is the result of two factors. First, warm water expands. A recent study released by NOAA, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/news-features\/understanding-climate\/climate-change-ocean-heat-content\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Climate Change: Ocean Heat Content<\/a>\u201d (Lindsey and Dahlman, June 26, 2025) documents that the oceans of the world have already absorbed a huge amount of heat from global warming. It found: \u201cUpper layers are accumulating heat faster than deeper layers, but averaged over the full depth of the global ocean, the 1993\u20132024 heat-gain rates are approximately 0.66 to 0.74 watts per square meter averaged over the surface of the Earth.\u201d The authors observe:<\/p>\n<p>Less than a watt per square meter might seem like a small change, but multiplied by the surface area of the ocean (more than 360 million square kilometers), that translates into an enormous global energy imbalance. It means that while the atmosphere has been spared from the full extent of global warming for now, heat already stored in the ocean will eventually be released. That release of ocean heat would commit Earth to at least some additional warming in the future once greenhouse gas emissions stop.<\/p>\n<p>Secondly, the melting of glaciers and continental ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica will contribute significant additional water to the world\u2019s oceans. It is estimated that if all this ice melts, global average sea level would rise about 60\u201370 meters (\u2248200\u2013230 feet), a distinct possibility if global warming continues. This has potentially severe consequences, not only for the permanent inundation of major coastal urban areas around the world, but even more when combined with\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsws.org\/en\/articles\/2025\/12\/15\/vkpa-d15.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">enhanced storm surges<\/a>\u00a0during increasingly powerful hurricanes or typhoons, also the result of global warming.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The bottom line is that unless drastic measures are undertaken to rapidly reduce greenhouse gas emissions and thus slow and eventually stop global warming, the fate of human civilization is bleak. The resources that are now squandered on filling the pockets of the super-rich and financing war and dictatorship could instead fund the technological measures to accomplish the changes necessary to significantly reduce the emission of greenhouse gasses. However, as bitter experience has already shown, the corporate and financial oligarchy will do whatever is necessary to protect its interests regardless of the consequences.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Only the united struggle of the world working class to put an end to capitalism and institute a socialist society across the globe can avert otherwise inevitable disaster.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Sign up for the WSWS email newsletter<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Multiple recently released studies highlight dire changes in the earth\u2019s climate and environment due to global warming which&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":335805,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[390,273,149,3090,111,139,69,40273,147,36007],"class_list":{"0":"post-335804","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-environment","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-environment","10":"tag-fossil-fuels","11":"tag-global-warming","12":"tag-new-zealand","13":"tag-newzealand","14":"tag-nz","15":"tag-paris-agreement","16":"tag-science","17":"tag-sea-level-rise"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/335804","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=335804"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/335804\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/335805"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=335804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=335804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=335804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}