{"id":356439,"date":"2026-03-31T07:10:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T07:10:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/356439\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T07:10:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T07:10:12","slug":"unsettling-times-for-businesses-as-confidence-falls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/356439\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;Unsettling times for businesses&#8217; as confidence falls"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/4K4Y3ZS_Shopping_Retail_png\" width=\"1050\" height=\"656\" alt=\"Composite image of shopping related imagery\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"photo-captioned__information\">\nRetail is more concerned about the exchange rate than other sectors, ANZ&#8217;s chief economist says.<br \/>\nPhoto: RNZ\n<\/p>\n<p>Business confidence has dived as firms continue to digest the implications of the war in Iran, mirroring last week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/business\/590810\/households-closing-their-wallets-as-consumer-confidence-falls\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">consumer confidence survey<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The ANZ Bank&#8217;s monthly business survey shows confidence fell 26-points in March to a net 33 percent from 59 percent in February, while other indicators also plummeted.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation indicators also rose, with a net 60 percent of firms expecting to raise prices in the next three months &#8211; an increase of 7 points.<\/p>\n<p>ANZ said survey results gathered during the past week were weaker still, which did not bode well for April&#8217;s reading.<\/p>\n<p>The net percent of firms expecting cost increases rose to a net 85 percent from 79 percent, which was the highest rate in about three years.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s unsettling times for businesses,&#8221; ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Just as the economic recovery was starting to feel real, dark clouds have gathered. It&#8217;s not just anxiety about the future.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Many firms are already reporting that their activity has taken a hit as people defer their decision-making in the face of uncertainty.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>In terms of impacts already being experienced, overall activity fell to net 18 percent from 23 percent of firms reporting stronger activity than a year ago.<\/p>\n<p>The retail sector was down 20 points to 5 percent, with construction down 16 points to a negative 13 percent.<\/p>\n<p>She said past activity, which was the best indicator of GDP, took a hit, particularly in the late-month data.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The fall in the activity indicators as the month went on is understandable, as it has become increasingly clear that this is not a short-lived shock, but something more persistent.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Firms are understandably in a mood to reduce their risk-taking, but the unfortunate truth is that one firm&#8217;s risk (a purchase, an investment, a hire) is someone else&#8217;s opportunity.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>She said the weakness was broad-based.<\/p>\n<p>Biggest problems<\/p>\n<p>Zollner said competition was still the number one problem facing businesses, while non-wage costs were also starting to grow, along with concerns about the Middle East and government policy.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;By sector, retail is more concerned about the exchange rate than other sectors,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Construction is particularly concerned about competition, and turnover remains a significant worry for retail, construction and manufacturing.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/radionz.us6.list-manage.com\/subscribe?u=211a938dcf3e634ba2427dde9&amp;id=b3d362e693\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sign up for Ng\u0101 Pitopito K\u014drero<\/a>, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Retail is more concerned about the exchange rate than other sectors, ANZ&#8217;s chief economist says. Photo: RNZ Business&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":201128,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[48,138,47,219,111,43,139,69,49,46,44,45],"class_list":{"0":"post-356439","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-audio","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-current-affairs","11":"tag-economy","12":"tag-new-zealand","13":"tag-news","14":"tag-newzealand","15":"tag-nz","16":"tag-podcasts","17":"tag-public-radio","18":"tag-radio-new-zealand","19":"tag-rnz"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/356439","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=356439"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/356439\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/201128"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=356439"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=356439"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=356439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}