However, Burrows said there was a significant degree of uncertainty around the system\u2019s intensity and exact path, which will determine how severe the impacts are and where they are felt most.<\/p>\n
\u201cThere is still uncertainty on the exact intensity of this system or the position of this system, and that will affect the distribution of rain associated with it.\u201d<\/p>\n
That uncertainty is also reflected in the current severe weather outlook.<\/p>\n
\u201cIn our severe weather outlook, we have a low confidence of a heavy rain warning for northern Northland late through Monday.\u201d<\/p>\n
By Tuesday, the low could move across the northern North Island<\/a>, potentially bringing stronger winds and more widespread rain.<\/p>\n \u201cThat low might move over the northern North Island during the day, but there is still a lot of uncertainty with the depth and the position.<\/p>\n \u201cAt the moment, strong winds are possible for the north of the North Island, and there is a low confidence of severe gale northeasterlies affecting Northland and Auckland.\u201d<\/p>\n Rain is expected to spread across northern and western regions, with some areas facing a moderate chance of reaching warning thresholds.<\/p>\n Burrows said regions including Northland, Auckland, the Coromandel Peninsula, western Tasman<\/a> and the country\u2019s western ranges were being monitored as the system develops.<\/p>\n The wettest conditions are likely to arrive midweek, as the low moves slowly across the country.<\/p>\n \u201cIt\u2019s going to be a very wet day through Wednesday, before it starts to clear eastwards through Thursday, with a ridge of high pressure pushing back in.\u201d<\/p>\n \u26a0\ufe0f Severe Weather Update \u26a0\ufe0f<\/p>\n \ud83d\udfe1 A Heavy Rain Watch has been issued for Northland (10pm Mon \u2013 4 pm Tue) \ud83c\udf27\ufe0f A low may form north of the country on Monday and then move over the northern North Island during\u2026 pic.twitter.com\/k85cvl2xMA<\/a><\/p>\n
\ud83d\udfe1A Strong Wind Watch has been issued for Northland (3am \u2013 5pm Tue) \ud83d\udca8<\/p>\n