{"id":372818,"date":"2026-04-10T10:53:16","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T10:53:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/372818\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T10:53:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T10:53:16","slug":"australias-economy-is-underpinned-by-housing-which-is-why-housing-wont-get-cheaper-super-boss-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/372818\/","title":{"rendered":"Australia&#8217;s economy is underpinned by housing, which is why housing won&#8217;t get cheaper, super boss warns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Australia&#8217;s entire economy is built on housing, and operates on a &#8220;myth&#8221; that we can keep generating wealth by constantly inflating housing prices, argues the head of Australia&#8217;s largest super fund.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Paul Schroder, the chief executive of AustralianSuper, has issued a stark warning that our nation must rethink its over-reliance on real estate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">He said he&#8217;s calling out the &#8220;central truth&#8221; that Australia spends way too much on housing and &#8220;not anywhere near enough&#8221; on productive investment.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2026-03-19\/home-owners-record-equity-australian-real-estate-domain-report\/106459336\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Home owners see equity surge despite rising interest rates<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">Australian home owners now have the protection of a &#8220;financial shield&#8221; in uncertain times but there is a widening the gap between established owners and aspiring first home buyers, Domain says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">He said many Australians say they want improved housing affordability and lower house prices but it&#8217;s &#8220;nonsense&#8221; to expect that those things will occur under our current policy settings, because the &#8220;entire construct of the Australian economy&#8221; is embedded in the housing mortgage book.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">AustralianSuper is Australia&#8217;s largest superannuation fund.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">It manages the wealth of more than 3.7 million Australians and has more than <a class=\"Link_link__kR0xA Link_link__5eL5m ScreenReaderOnly_srLinkHint__OysWz Link_showVisited__C1Fea Link_showFocus__ALyv2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.australiansuper.com\/global-investors\" data-component=\"Link\" data-uri=\"coremedia:\/\/externallink\/106551416\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$410 billion<\/a> in assets under management, making it one of the 40 largest asset owners in the world.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;You know how they say in casinos &#8216;The house always wins&#8217;?&#8221; Mr Schroder told the ABC.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;I would say that in the financial sector, in the Australian economy, the &#8216;house&#8217; always wins.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;And the reason why the &#8216;house&#8217; always wins is that housing prices, and housing valuations, underpin the entire banking system,&#8221; he argued.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"A man wearing a suit and tie gestures with his hands while speaking.\" class=\"Image_image__5tFYM ContentImage_image__DQ_cq\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/bd19db7ad8ff354bb531c3b1e085db65.jpeg\" loading=\"lazy\" data-component=\"Image\" data-lazy=\"true\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP FigureCaption_text__zDxQ5 Typography_sizeMobile12__w_FPC Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">Paul Schroder is the CEO of AustralianSuper. (AAP: Bianca De Marchi)<\/p>\n<p>Australia&#8217;s inflated housing wealth<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Mr Schroder made his comments on <a class=\"Link_link__kR0xA Link_link__5eL5m ScreenReaderOnly_srLinkHint__OysWz Link_showVisited__C1Fea Link_showFocus__ALyv2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/listen\/programs\/abc-business-daily\/can-paul-schroder-save-the-australian-dream\/106542254\" data-component=\"Link\" data-uri=\"coremedia:\/\/audioepisode\/106542254\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">today&#8217;s episode<\/a> of That&#8217;s Business with Alan Kohler, the ABC&#8217;s new business podcast published every Friday afternoon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">He said Australia needed to have a serious conversation about its capital allocation, because the inflated level of our housing wealth was extreme compared to the size of our economy.<\/p>\n<p>Loading&#8230;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">He said the nominal value of gross domestic product (GDP) in the United States is US$31.4 trillion and the value of US housing stock is US$55 trillion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">By comparison, Australia&#8217;s GDP is worth $2.7 trillion and its housing stock is <a class=\"Link_link__kR0xA Link_link__5eL5m ScreenReaderOnly_srLinkHint__OysWz Link_showVisited__C1Fea Link_showFocus__ALyv2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/media-centre\/media-releases\/total-value-dwellings-reaches-12-trillion\" data-component=\"Link\" data-uri=\"coremedia:\/\/externallink\/106551546\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">worth $12.3 trillion<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">He said the &#8220;whole show&#8221; in Australia was built on housing and it couldn&#8217;t continue this way.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;John Howard said <a class=\"Link_link__kR0xA Link_link__5eL5m ScreenReaderOnly_srLinkHint__OysWz Link_showVisited__C1Fea Link_showFocus__ALyv2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2025-04-20\/when-housing-turned-toxic-captured-in-talkback-chat-with-pm\/105155458\" data-component=\"Link\" data-uri=\"coremedia:\/\/article\/105155458\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">nobody wants<\/a> their house to drop in value,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;For the last 25 years, all of our additional wealth has gone into inflated housing prices that you can&#8217;t really do anything about because you&#8217;ve got to move from one house to another house.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2025-04-20\/when-housing-turned-toxic-captured-in-talkback-chat-with-pm\/105155458\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Australia dealing with damage from ideas about housing<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">Do home owners ever complain when house prices rise? A former prime minister said they didn&#8217;t, but we&#8217;re now dealing with the fallout.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">He said our conversation about capital allocation and housing affordability had to be genuine, too, because nothing will change unless everyone was serious about changing things.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;Is it embedded in everybody&#8217;s model that we genuinely want housing to be a smaller proportion &#8230; of GDP?&#8221; Schroder asked.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;Is that a thing we would like because we&#8217;d rather earnings capital, we&#8217;d rather turn wealth into investible job-creating things?\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;Is it just a kind of polite conversation or is it really serious [enough] that we&#8217;re prepared to re-set the expectations, the measures, the targets, the valuation process?&#8221; he asked.<\/p>\n<p>The super industry could help Australians buy a home<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Mr Schroder said Australia&#8217;s superannuation industry had a big role to play in this conversation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Alan Kohler wondered if the super industry could help Australians to purchase homes in more innovative ways, asking:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;Have you thought about something like, when someone joins AustralianSuper, one of the options would be that you would build them a house and they would pay it off during the course of their working life, and so by the time they, as part of their super savings &#8230; would pay off the house, and by the time they retired, they would own it?<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;So you&#8217;d actually go and build houses for your members that they pay off during their working life?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Mr Schroder said there were probably creative ways in which houses could be built in more intelligent ways.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;I think it could happen at the fund level, [but] there&#8217;d be a couple of things we&#8217;d need to protect against,&#8221; Mr Schroder replied.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;One is, you&#8217;ve got to make sure that other [superannuation] members aren&#8217;t paying something that they&#8217;re not getting a benefit from. It&#8217;s really important for us to have equity between members.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2026-02-02\/rba-interest-rate-hikes-housing-affordability-inflation\/106292572\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Unnecessary interest rate cuts derailed the national housing affordability project<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">The great unspoken truth about central banking and monetary policy is that while it&#8217;s aimed at consumer prices, its most direct impact is on house prices, which are arguably the most important prices of all.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;And the next part is, you&#8217;d have to make sure that if we were to embark on something it&#8217;s not just some sort of money-wasting white elephant.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;[But] I think there are ways to have &#8216;super and housing,&#8217; not just &#8216;super or housing&#8217;,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">However, Mr Schroder said he was worried about the more extreme end of the political debate where people were saying that super should be used &#8220;for&#8221; housing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">He said that&#8217;s not what the discussion should be about.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;We need super and housing,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;And I reckon there&#8217;s a sweet-spot where super could fund things, or help fund things, that might help people be housed more quickly,&#8221; Mr Schroder said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Australia&#8217;s entire economy is built on housing, and operates on a &#8220;myth&#8221; that we can keep generating wealth&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7054,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[172625,138,219,6338,150611,111,139,69,194725,32354,153067],"class_list":{"0":"post-372818","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-australiansuper","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-economy","11":"tag-housing-market","12":"tag-housing-policy","13":"tag-new-zealand","14":"tag-newzealand","15":"tag-nz","16":"tag-paul-schroder","17":"tag-property-prices","18":"tag-superannuation-industry"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/372818","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=372818"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/372818\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7054"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=372818"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=372818"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=372818"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}