{"id":39583,"date":"2025-09-23T22:03:12","date_gmt":"2025-09-23T22:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/39583\/"},"modified":"2025-09-23T22:03:12","modified_gmt":"2025-09-23T22:03:12","slug":"oecd-says-us-gdp-growth-to-slow-next-year-as-tariffs-lower-immigration-weigh-on-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/39583\/","title":{"rendered":"OECD Says US GDP Growth to Slow Next Year as Tariffs, Lower Immigration Weigh on Economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> KEY TAKEAWAYS<br \/>\nThe OECD on Tuesday raised its growth forecast for the U.S. economy in 2025 on the back of AI investments, but noted that tariffs and lower net immigration are taking a toll and would lead to slowing growth next year.The OECD said it expects the U.S.&#8217;s annual real GDP growth rate to come in at 1.8% in 2025, up from from its previous projection of 1.6%.However, U.S. GDP is projected to grow by just 1.5% next year, the OECD said.<\/p>\n<p id=\"mntl-sc-block_2-0\" class=\"comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html\"> The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development on Tuesday raised its growth forecast for the U.S. economy in 2025 on the back of investing around the AI boom, but noted that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/here-is-every-tariff-in-effect-after-trump-deadline-11782883\" data-component=\"link\" data-source=\"inlineLink\" data-type=\"internalLink\" data-ordinal=\"1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tariffs<\/a> and l<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/four-ways-trump-s-immigration-crackdown-is-reshaping-the-economy-11811318\" data-component=\"link\" data-source=\"inlineLink\" data-type=\"internalLink\" data-ordinal=\"2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ower net immigration<\/a> are taking a toll and would lead to slowing growth next year.\n<\/p>\n<p id=\"mntl-sc-block_4-0\" class=\"comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html\"> The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/o\/oecd.asp\" data-component=\"link\" data-source=\"inlineLink\" data-type=\"internalLink\" data-ordinal=\"1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">OECD<\/a> said it expects the U.S.&#8217;s annual real <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/g\/gdp.asp\" data-component=\"link\" data-source=\"inlineLink\" data-type=\"internalLink\" data-ordinal=\"2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">gross domestic product<\/a> growth rate to come in at 1.8% in 2025, up from its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/oecd-slashes-us-growth-outlook-on-tariffs-uncertainty-11747055#citation-1\" data-component=\"link\" data-source=\"inlineLink\" data-type=\"internalLink\" data-ordinal=\"3\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1.6% projection in June<\/a>. That is, however, well below the 2.8% GDP growth registered in 2024.\u00a0 U.S. GDP is projected to rise by just 1.5% next year.\n<\/p>\n<p id=\"mntl-sc-block_6-0\" class=\"comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html\"> &#8220;Strong AI-related investment boosted outcomes in the United States,&#8221; the Paris-based body said, but also noted that GDP growth is falling from 2024 as &#8220;strong investment growth in high technology sectors is more than offset by higher tariff rates and a drop in net immigration.&#8221;\n<\/p>\n<p id=\"mntl-sc-block_8-0\" class=\"comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html\"> The OECD said that the overall effective tariff rate in the U.S. rose to around 19.5% at the end of August, the month when President Donald Trump&#8217;s &#8220;reciprocal&#8221; tariffs <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/new-trump-reciprocal-tariff-rates-go-into-effect-11786496\" data-component=\"link\" data-source=\"inlineLink\" data-type=\"internalLink\" data-ordinal=\"1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">went into effect<\/a>. That is the highest rate since 1933, it said. The OECD also noted a softening in U.S. labor markets.\n<\/p>\n<p id=\"mntl-sc-block_12-0\" class=\"comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html\"> The OECD also raised its projections for economic expansion around the world, noting that &#8220;global growth was more resilient than anticipated in the first half of 2025, &#8221; particularly in many emerging markets, which front-loaded their exports into the U.S. and supported their economies.\n<\/p>\n<p id=\"mntl-sc-block_14-0\" class=\"comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html\"> The OECD now expects global growth of 3.2% this year, up from the 2.9% expansion it had forecast in June, but below the 3.3% notched last year. It maintained its global growth forecast for next year of 2.9%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"KEY TAKEAWAYS The OECD on Tuesday raised its growth forecast for the U.S. economy in 2025 on the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":39584,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":["post-39583","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39583","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39583"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39583\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39584"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39583"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39583"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39583"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}